Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, March 5, 2026

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
  • Areas of patchy dense fog throughout portions of Northeast Florida and the Panhandle will gradually lift and dissipate as the sun continues to rise.
  • Very little change is expected today as high pressure off the local Atlantic waters keeps easterly flow and warm temperatures around.
  • An increase in low-level moisture and the local sea breezes will promote a few isolated to widely scattered showers throughout the state this afternoon (15-30% chance of rain),
  • The greatest chance of rain is expected along the Gulf sea-breeze pinned across West-Central Florida (35-60% chance of rain).
    • Rainfall totals will generally remain below 0.5-1" across West-Central Florida, though localized pockets upwards of 2-3" cannot be ruled out.
  • Drier air aloft will limit greater thunderstorm development, though a few isolated thunderstorms are possible mainly along the I-75 corridor.
  • The easterly flow will be accompanied by a few breezy wind gusts upwards of 20 mph throughout Southeast Florida and along the I-95 corridor.
  • Temperatures will continue a warming trend today, reaching the 80s throughout much of the state. Onshore winds will keep temperatures in the 70s along the coastlines.
  • Feels-like temperatures may approach the lower 90s throughout portions of interior West-Central Florida.
  • Shower activity from the daytime will begin to dissipate across the Peninsula through the evening and early overnight hours (15-25% chance of rain).
  • Another night of low clouds and fog is expected throughout much of North and interior Central Florida, some of which could become locally dense.
  • Low temperatures will only fall into the lower to middle 60s for North and Central Florida, with upper 60s to lower 70s in South Florida.
  • Onshore winds and swells of 3-4' along all Atlantic beaches will create a high risk for rip currents. A moderate risk can be expected for nearly all Panhandle beaches.
 

 

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Morning Situation Report