Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, March 1st, 2026

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 03/01/2026 10:00 AM EST

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
  • Dense Fog conditions have developed this morning across much of North Florida, as well as portions of the Florida Keys, reducing visibilities.
    • Smoke from the National Wildfire in South Florida may create hazardous driving conditions along portions of I-75 (Alligator Alley) throughout the day, but especially this morning with any fog mixed in.
  • As the day progresses and conditions warm up, additional scattered shower and embedded thunderstorm activity will develop from the Treasure Coast and through South Florida (25-60% chance of rain).
  • The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather along Southeast Florida as thunderstorms developing during the peak heating times of the day may become strong to severe.
    • These thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging winds (50-60 mph), large hail (upwards of 1”) and locally heavy downpours.
  • Scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms will bring locally heavy downpours across portions of the Treasure Coast and South Florida today creating rainfall totals of 1-2".
  • For the rest of the state, mostly dry and sunny conditions can be expected behind the frontal boundary.
  • Sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions will be possible for the interior Big Bend and Suwannee Valley where relative humidity values are expected to fall near critical thresholds this afternoon over existing drought conditions.
  • High temperatures will reach well into the 70s and lower 80s across the state today.
  • Most of the shower and thunderstorm activity can be expected to dissipate during the overnight hours; however, lingering isolated showers and an embedded thunderstorm or two may be possible closer towards the coastlines and coastal waters overnight across South Florida (15-35% chance of rain).
  • Low-level moisture and calm winds will bring back the chance for fog to develop overnight and into Monday morning throughout the state, with dense fog possible across much of the Big Bend and Suwannee Valley.
    • Fog mixed in with wildfire smoke, especially across South Florida, will significantly reduce visibilities.
  • Low temperatures will fall into the upper 40s to middle 50s across North Florida, upper 50s to lower 60s across Central Florida and 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
  • Calm marine conditions will create a moderate risk for rip currents along numerous Panhandle and East Coast beaches, with portions of the First and Space Coasts seeing a high risk.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report