Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, February 27, 2026

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 02/27/2026 10:07 AM EST

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Areas of patchy dense fog across portions of the interior Peninsula will slowly lift and dissipate through the morning hours. 
    • Areas of fog mixed with wildfire smoke may lead to near zero visibility this morning.
  • Sea fog may linger along the West-Central Florida coastline through the afternoon hours.
  • Scattered showers across the Panhandle and Big Bend early this morning will increase in coverage throughout the morning and afternoon hours ahead of a slow-moving frontal boundary, sliding eastward towards Northeast Florida (75-90% chance of rain).
  • Additional showers and embedded thunderstorms will also begin to develop across Central Florida later this afternoon (50-75% chance of rain).
    • Although there is no organized risk for severe weather, some of this activity could be locally strong and produce gusty winds (30-50mph), small hail, and locally heavy downpours.
    • Rainfall totals will remain below 1" for much of North and Central Florida, however localized totals upwards of 3" cannot be ruled out.
  • A few isolated showers cannot be ruled out south of Lake Okeechobee this afternoon as well (25-40% chance of rain).
  • High temperatures will climb into the middle 70s to lower 80s throughout North Florida and lower to upper 80s throughout the Peninsula.
  • Pockets of lower relative humidities across interior South Florida may keep the locally elevated wildfire conditions in place where a few active wildfires continue to burn.
    • Isolated lightning strikes today could lead to additional wildfire ignition across portions of the Peninsula.
  • Tonight, shower and embedded thunderstorm activity will begin to slowly drift towards Central Florida as the frontal boundary is slow to sag southward (50-80% chance of rain).
  • Areas of low clouds and patchy fog may develop across North Florida tonight where lingering low-level moisture and warmer temperatures overlap.
  • Additional areas of patchy fog cannot be ruled out across interior South Florida tonight as well ahead of the main rain activity.
    • Where fog and smoke combine, visibility reductions may become significant, creating hazardous nighttime driving conditions. 
  • Lows will fall into the middle to upper 50s across North Florida and lower to middle 60s throughout the Peninsula.  
  • A high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle beaches this afternoon, with a moderate risk for most East Coast and Nature Coast beaches.
 

 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report