Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, February 25, 2026

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary: 
  • One last cool start this morning for the Sunshine State today as temperatures will warm up nicely throughout the day.
    • Frost Advisories will be allowed to expire by the early to mid-morning hours from the Suwannee Valley through the Peninsula with temperatures steadily warming up.
  • High pressure overhead will continue to bring mostly dry conditions across the state, with a slim chance for brief showers moving onshore from the Emerald Coast this afternoon (5-10% chance of rain).
  • Very dry conditions will persist throughout East-Central and interior South Florida where relative humidity values will fall below critical thresholds again (15-35%).
    • Elevated wildfire conditions can be expected to persist and locally critical conditions cannot be fully ruled out.
  • Dense smoke will be possible throughout the day across South Florida and South-Central Florida today due to the ongoing National Wildfire in the Everglades.
  • High temperatures will return to the upper 60s to middle 70s across the state this afternoon.
  • As the next cold front approaches slowly from the west, shower activity will increase along the Panhandle this evening bringing isolated to widely scattered showers onshore (15-30% chance of rain).
  • Instances of patchy fog may be possible across the Panhandle and interior West Florida early Thursday morning; however, elevated winds may limit fog development.
  • Low temperatures will fall back into the 40s and 50s across the state, with coastal portions of the Panhandle and Southeast Florida reaching the lower 60s.
  • Winds shifting out of the south to southwest will allow for a high risk for rip currents to return to much of the Panhandle. Lingering swells off the East Coast will keep a high risk in place for numerous beaches.
 

 

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Morning Situation Report