Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, February 23rd, 2026.

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
  • High pressure moving in from the northern Plains will bring much cooler and drier air than we’ve seen in the last couple of weeks.
    • Cold Weather Advisories across the state will expire mid-morning due to the chilly start from cold temperature and breezy winds.
  • Plenty of sunshine can be expected today with lingering breezy northwesterly winds across the state.
  • Very dry air will cause relative humidity values to near and below critical thresholds nearly statewide this afternoon (20-30%).
    • This combined with wind gusts of 20-30 mph over expanding extreme drought will create critical wildfire conditions nearly statewide, also leading to the issuance of Red Flag Warnings.
    • The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking Elevated to Critical (level 1-2 of 3) for Fire Weather across the Big Bend and the Peninsula.
  • High temperatures will reach the 50s and lower 60s throughout the state this afternoon.
  • Clear skies will allow for temperatures to fall overnight. Lighter winds can also be expected for much of the state, leading to instances of frost throughout portions of North and Central Florida by Tuesday morning.
  • Low temperatures will fall into the middle 20s to lower 30s across North and North-Central Florida, middle 30s across Central Florida and middle 30s to lower 40s across South Florida.
    • Freeze Warnings will go into effect tonight nearly statewide for sub-freezing to freezing temperatures by the early morning hours on Tuesday, with hard freeze conditions possible for the Big Bend.
  • Despite lighter winds it will still feel cooler than the temperatures in the morning as feels-like temperatures will be in the 20s and 30s statewide by sunrise. 
    • Cold Weather Advisories will go into effect tonight nearly statewide, except for coastal portions of South Florida.
  • Gusty post-frontal winds out of the northwest and large ocean swells will create a moderate to high rip current risk statewide.
    • Large ocean swells across the Peninsula will lead to wave heights of 4-8’ with larger breaking waves of 8-11’ off the Southeast Florida beaches.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report