Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, February 16th, 2026

• The remainder of yesterday’s cold front and associated shower activity will push through South Florida this morning and clearing the Keys by the early to mid-afternoon hours today (15-25% chance of rain).
• There may be a very slim chance for an embedded rumble of thunder this morning, especially closer towards the coastal waters.
• Partly to mostly cloudy skies will linger throughout the state for most of today as the upper-level disturbance associated with Sunday’s frontal system moves overhead.
• Dry conditions return across the state; however, moisture in place and cloud cover will keep relative humidity values above critical thresholds throughout the day.
• Wind gusts will remain slightly elevated near 10-15 mph throughout the day, with stronger wind gusts upwards of 15-25 mph along the eastern coastline.
• High temperatures will reach the upper 60s to upper 70s across the state, with interior portions of South Florida reaching the lower 80s this afternoon.
• Onshore winds along portions of the East-Central Florida coastline and enough moisture may bring a few light sprinkles or a brief shower this evening and overnight (10-20% chance of rain).
• Instances of fog will be possible across interior portions of the Big Bend and North-Central Florida by early Tuesday morning.
• Low temperatures will fall into the middle 40s to lower 50s across North Florida, 50s across Central Florida and upper 50s to middle 60s across South Florida.
• A moderate to high risk for rip currents will linger statewide as ocean swells gradually dissipate and winds shift out of the northeast and become lighter.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report