Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, February 14, 2026

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 02/14/2026 09:31 AM EST

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
  • High pressure will remain centered over the Southeast U.S. today bringing another sunny, dry, and pleasant day to the state.
  • A localized chance of a light sprinkle exists along the immediate Treasure Coast this afternoon with some coastal shower activity, though any activity will be very brief in nature (15-20% chance of rain).
  • Pockets of near critically low relative humidities are expected this afternoon across North Florida and the spine of the Peninsula which, paired with ongoing drought, will continue to promote elevated wildfire conditions.
  • High temperatures will climb into the middle to upper 70s across North Florida this afternoon and upper 70s to lower 80s throughout Central and South Florida.
    • Coastal and beach locations of North Florida will remain cooler with onshore flow where highs in the middle to upper 60s are expected.
  • Mostly dry conditions will continue to prevail tonight for much of the state as a potent upper-level disturbance along the Gulf Coast approaches.
  • Fog and low clouds may develop along coastal Big Bend, the Nature Coast, and portions of West-Central Florida with moist southerly flow ahead of our frontal disturbance.
    • Some of this fog could be locally dense and Dense Fog Advisories may be issued if conditions warrant.
  • Scattered showers will begin to develop ahead of the front across the western Panhandle after midnight (60-80% chance of rain), spreading across the eastern Panhandle and western Big Bend before sunrise (25-50% chance of rain).
    • Overall coverage of these showers and locally embedded thunderstorms will increase towards daybreak as a more organized line of activity enters the Panhandle around sunrise.
  • Breezy southerly winds will begin to develop ahead of the front, with wind gusts upwards of 25-30 mph expected across the western Panhandle by early Sunday morning.
  • Low temperatures tonight will remain in the 50s for most, with middle 60s to lower 70s along coastal Southeast Florida and the Keys.
  • A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
  • Generally calm surf of 1-3' is expected at all statewide beaches this afternoon.
    • Surf will begin to increase to 4-6' after midnight along the western Panhandle where a High Surf Advisory will go into effect at 3 AM CST tonight.
 

 

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Morning Situation Report