Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, January 25th, 2026

• A complex and active weather day is on deck across the Sunshine State as a very strong cold front will race across the northern half of the state.
• Areas of dense fog this morning along East-Central and South Florida will slowly lift and dissipate this morning, especially as winds begin to increase ahead of an approaching cold front.
• This strong cold front is expected to bring a line of showers and thunderstorms across Panhandle late in the morning and near midday, then follow the I-10 corridor quickly throughout the rest of the daytime hours and into the evening (70-near 100% chance of rain).
• The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for Severe Weather extending from the Panhandle and through the Capital City, with a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) through the upper Suwannee Valley as embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible.
• The main hazards associated with these strong to severe thunderstorms include frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (55-65 mph), isolated embedded tornadoes and locally heavy rainfall.
• Organized flash flooding is not expected, but rainfall totals of 1-2" locally may lead to instances of nuisance ponding of water over low-lying or urban corridors.
• Breezy southerly to southeasterly winds can be expected to develop statewide reaching 10-15 mph across the Peninsula and 20-25 mph throughout the Panhandle and Big Bend outside of thunderstorm activity.
• On top of that wind gusts will reach 15-25 mph statewide, with stronger wind gusts of 25-40 mph across the Panhandle and Big Bend.
• Wind Advisories will go into effect late this morning along the Panhandle for those elevated winds of 15-25 mph and wind gusts upwards of 35-45 mph through the early evening hours. Locally higher gusts cannot be ruled out.
• Shower chances extend across much of the state during the evening and overnight period as the cold front continues to push eastward bringing scattered activity with embedded thunderstorms across the Big Bend and towards the I-4 corridor through the overnight period (45-80% chance of rain).
• Across South Florida, enough moisture ahead of the front may be able to help create some isolated showers late in the overnight and into the early morning hours on Monday.
• Slightly lighter winds and elevated moisture may lead to instances of patchy fog developing along Southwest Florida by the early morning hours on Monday.
• High temperatures will reach the 70s to lower 80s across North Florida this afternoon with well above normal temperatures in the 80s across Central and South Florida.
• Low temperatures will drop into the middle to upper 20s for the western Panhandle, 30s across the eastern Panhandle and western Big Bend and 40s to middle 50s for the rest of North Florida.
• Cold air racing into the Panhandle and elevated winds will lead to wind chills dropping into the teens and 20s across the Panhandle and lower to middle 40s across the western Big Bend by sunrise Monday morning.
• An Extreme Cold Warning will go into effect overnight and continue through Monday morning for very dangerous wind chills as low as 10-degrees expected along the far western Panhandle (Escambia, Santa Rosa and Okaloosa counties).
• Cold Weather Advisories will go into effect early Monday morning for the rest of the Panhandle and through the US-231 corridor for wind chills as low as 17-25-degrees.
• Central and South Florida will see low temperatures in the upper 50s to upper 60s and near 70-degrees.
• A high risk for rip currents extends along all Panhandle and East Coast beaches due to breezy winds and elevated wave heights of 2-5' (locally 6-7'). 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report