Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, January 17, 2026

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 01/17/2026 10:49 AM EST

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
  • A few showers are ongoing across the western Panhandle this morning, and additional scattered showers will develop across the Panhandle and Big Bend throughout the day amidst warm and moist southerly flow (30-60% chance of rain).
  • Across coastal Southeast Florida, a few light sprinkles or a brief shower cannot be ruled out throughout the day, though activity will not be widespread in nature (15-20% chance of rain).
  • A mostly dry day is on tap for the rest of the Peninsula where ongoing drought may lead to locally sensitive wildfire conditions this afternoon, though winds will remain light.
  • High temperatures will climb into the lower to middle 60s across the Panhandle and Big Bend, with lower to middle 70s across the Peninsula.
  • Tonight, scattered showers will continue to stream across the Panhandle and Big Bend before becoming more numerous and widespread after midnight (60-90% chance of rain).
  • This slug of widespread showers and light rain will begin to translate eastward after midnight with scattered to numerous showers spreading across Northeast Florida before daybreak Sunday (50-70% chance of rain).
    • Rainfall totals will generally remain below 0.5" for much of the Panhandle and Big Bend, however locally higher totals upwards of 1-2" cannot be ruled out.
  • Cold air behind the front will attempt to catch up to the departing rain which could lead to a few locations across the western Panhandle transitioning to a wintry mix or wet snow before sunrise (20-40% chance of snowflakes mixing in).
    • If snow can mix in, any accumulations will remain minimal, insignificant, and confined to grassy and elevated surfaces.
  • Warm southerly winds will promote fog and low clouds to develop across South Florida overnight, which could be locally dense.
  • Low temperatures will dip into the middle to upper 30s by daybreak Sunday across the Panhandle and Big Bend.
  • Lows in the lower to middle 40s can be expected across Northeast Florida, with 50s across Central and interior South Florida. Coastal Southeast Florida will only reach the middle to upper 60s tonight.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for most Panhandle and East Coast beaches today. A local moderate risk is also expected for Charlotte and Lee County beaches.
 

 

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Morning Situation Report