Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, January 16, 2026

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 01/16/2026 09:34 AM EST

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
  • A cool but sunny and dry day is on tap for the Sunshine State as high pressure briefly settles in over the state.
  • Very dry air will remain in place across the state, especially for Northeast Florida and along the I-75 corridor where critically low relative humidities (20-30%) may lead to elevated wildfire conditions this afternoon.
    • Locally greater wildfire conditions cannot be ruled out in any areas experiencing the most severe drought.
  • Winds will remain light today statewide, though a few breezy gusts upwards of 20 mph are possible across the western Panhandle this afternoon.
  • High temperatures will climb into the lower to middle 60s for much of the state today. Northeast Florida can expect highs in the middle to upper 50s and South Florida can expect middle to upper 60s.
  • Moist southerly flow will return to portions of South Florida and the Panhandle tonight as the next frontal system approaches.
  • A few isolated showers may develop across the western Panhandle after midnight, though any activity will be brief in nature (20-30% chance of rain). Otherwise, dry conditions are expected statewide.
  • Lows in the middle 40s to lower 50s can be expected for much of the state tonight, though temperatures will only reach the upper 50s to lower 60s across coastal Southeast Florida.
  • The local cold spot for the state will be across Northeast Florida and the Suwannee River Valley where lows will dip into the lower to middle 30s by daybreak Saturday.
    • Instances of patchy frost cannot be ruled out in any rural or elevated locations.
  • Lingering high surf and onshore winds will bring a moderate to high risk for rip currents to most Florida beaches today. A low risk is expected for Northeast Florida beaches.
 

 

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Morning Situation Report