Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, January 15, 2026

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 01/15/2026 10:05 AM EST

FDEM Banner

                You are subscribed to the State Watch Office Morning Situation Report via GovDelivery.

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
  • A potent winter cold front will continue to push southward across the Peninsula today, bringing with it widely scattered showers across Central and South Florida (40-80% chance of rain).
  • These scattered showers are ongoing across much of the Peninsula south of the I-4 corridor and will sweep southeastward throughout the day before pushing offshore by the late afternoon hours.
  • In the wake of this front, cold, windy, and dry conditions will filter into the state.
    • Breezy wind gusts upwards of 30 mph are possible this afternoon statewide.
    • Across North Florida, elevated wildfire conditions will develop this afternoon given critically low RH values (25-30%) and breezy winds. Locally greater wildfire conditions cannot be ruled out in areas experiencing the most severe drought.
  • High temperatures will struggle to climb out of the middle 40s to lower 50s across North Florida with afternoon temperatures feeling like the upper 30s to middle 40s.
  • Highs will reach the upper 50s to middle 60s in Central Florida and upper 60s to middle 70s in South Florida.
  • By tonight, clear and calm conditions will promote a very cold night statewide.
  • A Freeze Warning is in effect for nearly all North and Central Florida, stretching as far south as Hendry County in South Florida for widespread sub-freezing temperatures.
    • A Hard Freeze is likely for much of North Florida where low temperatures will reach into the upper teens to middle 20s away from the coast with widespread patchy frost developing by daybreak.
    • Low temperatures will dip into the upper 20s to lower 30s even in Central Florida, mainly away from the coastlines as well. Coastal locations will remain in the lower to upper 30s.
    • In South Florida, lows will reach the lower to upper 30s for interior locations while coastal Southeast Florida can expect lows in the lower to upper 40s.
  • Cold Weather Advisories are also in effect for nearly the entire state tonight, as far south as Monroe and interior Miami-Dade counties, for dangerously cold sub-freezing wind chills.
    • Coastal Southeast Florida may even see wind chills by daybreak Friday morning in the upper 30s to lower 40s.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all Florida beaches today with breezy winds and developing ocean swells.
    • Surf of 2-5' can be expected for most Florida beaches today; a High Surf Advisory is in effect for coastal Collier county from 3 PM EST to 1AM EST for surf of 4-6'. 
 

 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report