Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, January 10, 2026

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
  • Areas of locally dense fog across Northeast Florida and the coastal Panhandle will dissipate mid to late morning, giving way to a warm and mostly dry day statewide.
  • A few light coastal showers will be possible along the I-95 corridor of East-Central and Southeast Florida today, though any activity will be brief in nature (15-25% chance of rain).
  • A few scattered showers or embedded thunderstorms are likely later this afternoon and evening across the western Panhandle as a cold front approaches (50-80% chance of rain).
  • A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Thunderstorms is outlooked for the western Panhandle where a few locally strong to severe storms could produce gusty winds, heavy downpours, and possibly a brief tornado.
    • Rainfall totals will generally remain below 0.5" west of US-231, though locally higher amounts upwards of 1-2" cannot be ruled out.
  • Southerly winds ahead of this approaching cold front will increase today, with wind gusts upwards of 25 mph possible across the Panhandle this afternoon.
  • High temperatures will remain warm to possibly near record warmth across North Florida this afternoon, with highs in the upper 70s to middle 80s expected statewide.
  • The broken line of showers and embedded thunderstorms will trek eastward across the Panhandle early overnight, weakening as it does so.
    • Only a few scattered showers are expected across the Panhandle and Big Bend (30-50% chance of rain), though a rumble of thunder cannot be ruled out.
    • This line of showers will begin to approach Northeast Florida by daybreak Sunday.
  • A few lingering coastal showers are also possible across coastal Southeast Florida and the Keys overnight (15-25% chance of rain).
  • With moist southerly flow ahead of the cold front across Central Florida, another night of fog and low clouds will be possible, some of which could be locally dense.
  • Low temperatures will cool off in the wake of the front across the Panhandle tonight, dipping into the upper 40s to middle 50s.
  • Warmer overnight lows in the upper 50s to middle 60s can be expected across the Peninsula, with coastal Southeast Florida and the Keys only reaching the upper 60s to lower 70s.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
 

 

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Morning Situation Report