Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, December 14th 2025

• Patchy fog this morning will gradually lift and dissipate throughout the morning hours. Isolated showers this morning are ongoing along the Panhandle as a cold front moves through the region this morning.
• This cold front will push through the state today and may bring a few brief sprinkles or light shower or two, but overall conditions are expected to remain dry as the front passes through (20-30% chance of rain).
• Further south, an upper-level disturbance to the south of the Peninsula will continue to bring light to moderate rainfall with a few embedded thunderstorms (20-60% chance of rain).
• Organized flash flooding is not expected; however, any locally heavy rounds of shower or thunderstorm activity could lead to some nuisance ponding of water or localized flash flooding for urban and low-lying areas of the South Florida metro.
• Rainfall totals of 0.5” are forecast, with locally higher totals upwards of 2-3” possible.
• Wind gusts of 15-20 mph will develop by the late afternoon hours across North Florida, with stronger wind gusts of 25-30 mph closer towards the coastlines.
• By the overnight hours, wind gusts of 15-25 mph can be expected statewide with stronger wind gusts of 30-40 mph along the coastlines.
• Wind Advisories will go into effect this evening and overnight for much of the First and Space Coasts for winds of 20-25 mph and wind gusts upwards of 40 mph.
• The warmest part of the day across the Panhandle and western Big Bend will be near midday and the early afternoon hours reaching the upper 50s to lower 60s as the colder air moves in quickly behind the front.
• The rest of North Florida will see high temperatures in the 60s, Central Florida will see high temperatures in the 70s and South Florida will see high temperatures in the upper 70s to near 80-degrees.
• Widespread freeze conditions will be possible across North Florida tonight and into Monday morning as much colder air arrives and breezy conditions continue overnight.
• Low temperatures across North Florida will fall into the middle to upper 20s and lower 30s closer towards the coast.
• Freeze Warnings will go into effect overnight and through the early morning hours on Monday across the Emerald Coast as temperatures as low as 27-degrees are possible, and along interior Northeast Florida for temperatures as low as 23-32-degrees.
• Cold Weather Advisories (formerly Wind Chill Advisories) will also go into effect tonight due to cold temperatures and ongoing breezy winds across North Florida. Wind chills or feels-like temperatures will fall into the teens and 20s by early Monday morning.
• Elevated winds should keep frost formation minimal; however, instances of patchy frost in shaded areas cannot be ruled out.
• Low temperatures across Central Florida will fall into the upper 30s to lower 50s and low temperatures across South Florida will fall into the middle 50s to middle 60s.
• Portions of North-Central Florida and the Nature Coast will see feels-like temperatures in the middle to upper 30s by sunrise on Monday morning.
• A moderate to high risk for rip currents can be expected nearly statewide with breezy northerly to northwesterly winds and increasing ocean swells.
• Overnight ocean swells will peak near 4-6’ along the Panhandle and Gulf Coast and 5-10’ along the Florida East Coast.
• High Surf Advisories will go into effect tonight along most of the East Coast through Monday evening for large swells and dangerous beach conditions.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report