Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, December 13, 2025

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Areas of patchy dense fog have developed this morning across much of the Panhandle and Big Bend, and Dense Fog Advisories will remain in effect through mid-morning.
  • Any area of patchy fog should dissipate later this morning as sunny and dry conditions prevail with rainfall chances near zero nearly statewide.
  • However, across the Florida Keys and the southern Peninsula, an upper-level disturbance will emerge out of the Gulf and approach later today.
    • A few isolated to widely scattered showers may break out late this afternoon, mainly across the Florida Keys (25-35% chance of rain).
  • High temperatures today will warm into the lower to middle 70s across North Florida and the middle to upper 70s in Central and South Florida. A few areas across coastal Southeast Florida may reach the lower 80s this afternoon.
  • The upper-level disturbance will continue to traverse across the southern Peninsula overnight bringing scattered showers and a few embedded thunderstorms, mainly south of Lake Okeechobee (40-70% chance of rain).
    • Although there is no organized risk for flash flooding, a few locally heavy downpours cannot be ruled out in any locally strong thunderstorm activity.
    • Rainfall totals will remain generally below 0.5", however localized totals upwards of 1-1.5" cannot be ruled out.
  • Mostly dry conditions will continue across North and Central Florida, however the next potent cold front will begin to approach the western Panhandle by daybreak Sunday morning.
    • Although moisture will be limited out ahead of this front, a few isolated showers may develop across the western Panhandle after midnight tonight (25-35% chance of rain).
  • Calm conditions will promote another night of patchy dense fog development, especially across the Big Bend, Suwannee Valley, and Central Florida.
  • Low temperatures will dip into the upper 40s to lower 50s for North Florida, middle to upper 50s in Central Florida, and lower to middle 60s in South Florida. Coastal Southeast Florida will see lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s.
  • A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for Panhandle, Space Coast, and Treasure Coast beaches today with a high risk for rip currents across Southeast Florida beaches where surf of 2-4' will persist.

 

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Morning Situation Report