Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, December 7, 2025

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Another day of widespread shower and embedded thunderstorm activity can be expected across North Florida and will extend into Central Florida today helping to bring beneficial rainfall southward.
  • As the frontal system meanders along the gulf coast and northern gulf waters today, its accompanying warm front will help to bring scattered to numerous showers and embedded thunderstorms southward into Central Florida later this afternoon and evening (50-75% chance of rain).
  • The Storm Prediction center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather as strong to severe thunderstorms will be capable of producing lightning, damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph), an embedded tornado or two and locally heavy rainfall throughout Central Florida today.
    • This timing would mostly likely occur during the afternoon and into the late evening hours as the frontal systems cold front pushes through the region.
  • The heaviest rainfall is expected along the Big Bend, Northeast Florida and extending southward towards the I-4 corridor with totals of 1-2” forecast.
    • Locally higher totals upwards of 3-4” possible within thunderstorm activity or training cells which could lead to nuisance ponding of water over urban corridors.
  • As the low pressure system crosses the Peninsula, and its cold front pushes through the I-4 corridor, additional scattered to widespread showers will continue to push southward into the Peninsula throughout the overnight hours (55-80% chance of rain).
  • Drier conditions briefly return later this evening and into portions of the overnight hours for the Panhandle and Big Bend behind the passing cold front; however, one more round of scattered showers looks to move into the Panhandle overnight.
  • Instances of patchy fog will likely develop throughout the state early Monday morning with areas of locally dense fog possible at times.
  • High temperatures will be in the upper 50s to middle 60s across North Florida 70s to lower 80s across Central Florida and lower to middle 80s across South Florida.
    • These temperatures across South Florida will approach record level for this time of year.
  • Overnight low temperatures will fall into the lower to middle 60s across North Florida, middle to upper 60s across Central Florida and upper 60s to middle 70s across South Florida.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents extends along most Panhandle and East Coast beaches today, especially eastern Panhandle and Treasure Coast beaches where they could see larger wave action upwards of 3-4' this afternoon.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report