Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, December 4, 2025

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 12/04/2025 10:15 AM EST

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Showers and embedded thunderstorms are ongoing this morning across the western Panhandle as southwesterly flow ushers in abundant tropical moisture ahead of the next approaching frontal system.
  • Scattered to widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms will slide eastward across the remainder of the Panhandle this afternoon (55-90% chance of rain), with isolated activity spreading eastward towards Northeast Florida this evening and early tonight (15-30% chance of rain).
    • Although there is no organized risk for flash flooding, locally heavy rainfall may lead to some instances of nuisance flooding across the western Panhandle, especially in urban and low-lying/poor drainage locations.
    • A few embedded thunderstorms could be locally strong and capable of heavy downpours and lightning.
    • Rainfall totals will generally remain below 1" across the Western Panhandle, though locally higher amounts upwards of 2-3" cannot be ruled out in any areas that receive repeated rounds of heavy downpours.
  • Relative humidities will approach critical thresholds (35-40% RH values) across the Big Bend and Northeast Florida early this afternoon which may lead to locally sensitive wildfire conditions given the ongoing severe drought.
  • Shower activity may subside across the Panhandle overnight, though a few isolated to widely scattered showers will still linger (40-60% chance of rain) before another round of activity develops towards daybreak Friday morning across the western Panhandle (75-90% chance of rain).
  • Across Central and South Florida, high pressure and dry conditions will continue to prevail.
    • High temperatures will remain the warmest across the central and southern tiers of the state reaching the middle 70s to lower 80s.
  • Cloud cover and rainfall will keep temperatures much cooler across the Panhandle today, only reaching the 50s.
  • Low temperatures will remain the coolest over the Panhandle overnight, hovering in the middle 40s to lower 50s as the shower activity lingers.
  • Lows will dip into the upper 50s to lower 60s across Northeast and Central Florida, with coastal Southeast Florida only reaching the lower 70s.
  • There is a moderate risk for rip currents for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.

 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report