Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, December 2, 2025

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 12/02/2025 09:54 AM EST

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Widespread rainfall and embedded thunderstorms continues this morning across the Big Bend ahead of a cold front, with scattered showers further out ahead over Northeast Florida.
  • This shower and embedded thunderstorm activity will continue to push eastward across North and Central Florida today with the cold front (50-80% chance of rain).
  • Through the morning and afternoon hours embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible throughout the Big Bend and Suwannee River Valley - Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather.
    • Any strong to severe thunderstorm that develops will be capable of producing lightning, damaging wind gusts (40-60 mph), an isolated tornado or two and locally heavy rainfall.
  • There is no organized risk for flash flooding today as the rainfall will be very beneficial to help with ongoing drought conditions and dry soils.
    • Rainfall totals upwards of 1" are possible throughout the day for much of the Big Bend, Northeast and Central Florida.
  • Once the center low pressure moves further northeast later today towards the Carolina's, the cold front will push through the Peninsula and weaken keeping shower activity more isolated to scattered in nature (25-55% chance of rain).
  • Behind the cold front breezier winds will develop as high pressure shifts eastward leading to wind gusts of 15-25 mph across North and Central Florida this afternoon.
  • High temperatures will reach the middle to upper 70s across North Florida, lower 80s across Central Florida and lower to middle 80s across South Florida.
  • Drier conditions will filter into the state behind the cold front as it pushes offshore from South Florida overnight; however, a few light sprinkles or brief showers along the front may be possible (15-20% chance of rain).
  • Low temperatures will fall into the 30s along the Panhandle and 40s to lower 50s for the Big Bend and rest of North Florida, middle 50s to middle 60s across Central Florida and upper 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
    • Some patchy frost may be possible early Tuesday in shady spots along the northwestern Panhandle where temperatures approach near freezing.
    • Feels-like temperatures (wind chills) will dip into the lower to middle 30s across the Panhandle and western Big Bend and upper 30s to lower 40s across the Central Big Bend by sunrise.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents persist along all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today due to breezy winds and swells of 2-4'.
 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report (December 02, 2025)