Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, October 31, 2025

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 10/31/2025 09:55 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • A cool, dry, and sunny day is on tap for the Sunshine State as a high-pressure system begins to build back across the Southeast U.S.
  • Winds will remain light today, though relative humidities will approach critical thresholds this afternoon across North Florida which may lead to locally sensitive wildfire conditions, especially given the ongoing drought conditions.
  • Some very minor low-level moisture could allow for a brief sprinkle across the Florida Keys, though any activity will remain very light and brief (10-15% chance of rain).
  • Temperatures will remain much cooler than normal for this time of year, with middle to upper 60s expected across North Florida.
  • Highs will reach the lower to middle 70s across Central and South Florida, with coastal areas of South Florida and the Keys reaching the upper 70s to lower 80s.
  • Dry conditions will continue to prevail statewide tonight.
  • Low temperatures will dip into the upper 30s to middle 40s for North Florida, with a few locations possibly getting into the middle 30s.
    • Instances of patchy frost cannot be ruled out for rural and elevated locations across the Panhandle.
    • Additionally, some patchy fog may develop in the fog-prone areas of the Suwannee Valley by daybreak.
  • Upper 40s to lower 50s are expected across Central Florida and upper 50s to middle 60s for South Florida. The Florida Keys will remain the warmest overnight with lows only reaching the lower 70s.
  • Ocean swells will begin to relax today with diminishing surf, though lingering effects will still bring a moderate to high risk for rip currents statewide.
  • Coastal Flood Advisories have been allowed to expire for tidal portions of the St. Johns River, though localized instances of minor tidal and coastal flooding cannot be ruled out today near and during times of high tide.
  • From the National Hurricane Center (NHC):
    • Hurricane Melissa is located 255 miles north of Bermuda and is moving northeastward at 41 mph. This general motion is expected to continue into Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Melissa is expected to pass south of the Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland as a post-tropical cyclone tonight. Melissa poses no direct threat to Florida.

 

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Morning Situation Report