Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for October 30th, 2025

Good morning,

 

• In the wake of yesterday’s cold frontal passage, dry and cool air will spread across the state today with mostly sunny skies on tap.
• Breezy post-frontal winds are expected statewide today, with wind gusts of 15-25 mph across the state and a few gusts upwards of 30 mph along coastal areas.
• Onshore winds may allow a few isolated showers across West-Central Florida today, though any activity will be light and brief (15-20% chance of rain).
• High temperatures will be much cooler today, quite a few degrees below normal for this time of year, in the wake of the frontal passage yesterday.
• Highs will reach the middle to upper 60s across North Florida, low to middle 70s for Central Florida, and middle to upper 70s for South Florida.
• Low temperatures will dip into the lower to middle 40s for North Florida, with a few locations possibly getting into the upper 30s.
• Some patchy fog may develop in the fog-prone areas of the Suwannee Valley by daybreak.
• Upper 40s to lower 50s are expected across Central Florida and upper 50s to middle 60s for South Florida.
• The Florida Keys will remain the warmest overnight with lows only reaching the lower 70s.
• Breezy winds and large ocean swells in the wake of yesterday's cold front, and offshore Hurricane Melissa, will bring a high risk for rip currents nearly statewide.
• Large ocean swells will continue to bring elevated surf to all Florida beaches today, with wave heights of 3-5' statewide. A High Surf Advisory is in effect for coastal Gulf County where some waves may reach upwards of 6'.
• Coastal Flood Advisories for tidal portions of the St. Johns River where water levels have risen to 1-1.5’ above normally dry ground leading to instances of minor tidal and coastal flooding.
• From the National Hurricane Center (NHC):
• Hurricane Melissa is located about 215 miles northeast of the Central Bahamas and moving north-northeastward at 21 mph. An accelerated northeastward motion is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Melissa is expected to pass to the northwest of Bermuda later today and tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph with higher gusts. Slight strengthening is possible today before weakening likely begins on Friday. Melissa poses no direct threat to Florida.

 

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Morning Situation Report