Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for October 29th, 2025

• Some patchy fog this morning along portions of Northeast and Central Florida should gradually lift and dissipate over the next couple of hours.
• Another cold front will approach the Panhandle this morning then sweep through North Florida during the daytime hours.
• This front will have just enough moisture ahead of it to create scattered showers as it moves eastward throughout the day, with the best chance for activity along the Panhandle and western Big Bend (25-65% chance of rain).
• Behind this front, breezy conditions will develop with winds reaching upwards of 15-20 mph and gusts reaching 20-30 mph.
• Stronger wind gusts closer towards the Panhandle coast will reach upwards of 35-40 mph, and a Wind Advisory will go into effect along Gulf County this afternoon.
• The front from earlier in the week continues to linger along the southern Peninsula and near the Keys which will help create isolated to scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms near the Southeast Florida coast (20-40% chance of rain).
• High temperatures will reach the upper 60s to middle 70s across North Florida, upper 70s to lower 80s across Central Florida and middle 80s across South Florida.
• As the front moves through Northeast Florida and Central Florida tonight it will still have enough moisture to produce some isolated to widely scattered showers along its immediate boundary heading into the late evening and overnight (15-25% chance of rain).
• Low temperatures will dip into the middle to upper 40s across North Florida, 50s to lower 60s across Central Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
• Breezy winds and large ocean swells associated with a strong cold front moving through the state will bring a high risk for rip currents nearly statewide.
• Large ocean swells associated with a passing cold front and breezy post-frontal winds will create wave heights of 5-8’ along the Panhandle this afternoon and evening, and a High Surf Advisory has been issued for coastal Gulf County.
• Coastal Flood Advisories for tidal portions of the St. Johns River where water levels have risen to 1-1.5’ above normally dry ground leading to instances of minor tidal and coastal flooding.
• Hurricane Melissa: As of 8:00 AM EDT, Melissa is located about 45 miles northwest of Guantanamo, Cuba and is moving north-northeastward at 14 mph. A faster northeastward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the core of Melissa is expected to move offshore of eastern Cuba this morning, move across the southeastern or central Bahamas later today, and pass near or to the west of Bermuda late Thursday and Thursday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph with higher gusts. Melissa is expected to remain a powerful hurricane when it moves across the Bahamas later today and passes near Bermuda on Thursday night. Melissa poses no direct threat to Florida; however, this system continues to be closely monitored

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report