Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for September 04th, 2025
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 09/04/2025 10:00 AM EDT
You are subscribed to the State Watch Office Morning Situation Report via GovDelivery.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- A very similar day to yesterday is expected across the Sunshine state as a cold front remains stalled over the southern Peninsula bringing a wet day to South Florida.
- Showers and embedded thunderstorms are moving onshore across South Florida this morning and additional rounds of activity will continue throughout the day (70-80% chance of rain).
- More scattered activity is expected across Central Florida and the I-4 corridor (30-55% chance of rain).
- The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding across South Florida today for repeated downpours that could lead to localized flash flooding.
- Dry conditions persist throughout North Florida; however, a shower or embedded thunderstorm cannot be ruled out for Northeast Florida or the Big Bend coasts along the sea breeze (15-25% chance of rain).
- High temperatures will remain in the upper 80s to lower 90s across the state this afternoon.
- Heat index values from the Suwannee Valley and throughout the Peninsula will remain in the middle to upper 90s, with a few localized areas reaching the lower 100s.
- Showers and thunderstorms will likely continue overnight across South Florida as they move inland and eastward from the gulf waters (40-60% chance of rain).
- Elsewhere across the state mostly dry conditions can be expected.
- Low temperatures will remain in the upper 60s to lower 70s across North Florida and middle 70s to lower 80s elsewhere.
- A moderate risk for rip currents will continue for Panhandle and East Coast beaches today as breezy onshore winds and elevated swells persist.
- Coastal Flood Advisories remain in effect for portions of the tidal St. Johns River and the Northeast Florida coast for minor coastal flooding and nuisance tidal flooding near and during times of high tide.
- The St. Johns River at Astor has risen into minor flood stage, and will continue to see elevated water levels throughout the week.
- From the National Hurricane Center (NHC):
- Tropical Atlantic: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical disturbance over the eastern tropical Atlantic west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands have started to become better organized. Environmental conditions are favorable for development of this system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend over central tropical Atlantic while moving slowly toward the west northwest at 5 to 10 mph. The system is likely to move faster toward the west or west-northwest thereafter and reach the waters east of the Lesser Antilles by the middle of next week.
- Formation chance through 48 hours... medium... 50%
- Formation chance through 7 days... high... 80%.
Thank you!
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.