Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, September 3rd, 2025
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 09/03/2025 10:00 AM EDT
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Showers and thunderstorms have begun to move onshore along the Southwest Florida coast this morning, and additional rounds of activity will continue throughout the day.
- Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop across South Florida this afternoon and evening (70-80% chance of rain), with more scattered activity across Central Florida and the I-4 corridor (30-55% chance of rain).
- A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked across South Florida today for repeated downpours that could lead to localized flash flooding.
- Dry conditions persist throughout North Florida courtesy of northeasterly winds; however, a shower or embedded thunderstorm cannot be ruled out for the Northeast Florida coast along the sea breeze (15-25% chance of rain).
- Breezy wind gusts of 15-25 mph will also continue for portions of the First and Space Coasts.
- High temperatures will remain in the upper 80s to lower 90s across the state this afternoon.
- Heat index values from the Suwannee Valley and throughout the Peninsula will remain in the upper 90s to lower 100s with localized areas across the Florida Keys reaching the middle 100s.
- Showers and thunderstorms will continue through the evening and overnight hours across South Florida as they move inland and eastward from the gulf waters (50-75% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures will remain in the upper 60s to lower 70s across North Florida and middle 70s to lower 80s elsewhere.
- Oceans swells and breezy winds will create a moderate to high risk for rip currents nearly statewide. West Coast beaches will continue to see a low risk for rip currents.
- Coastal Flood Advisories remain in effect for portions of the tidal St. Johns River and the Northeast Florida coast for minor coastal flooding and nuisance tidal flooding near and during times of high tide.
- Large ocean swells of 4-5’ will persist along the Northeast Florida coast, while the rest of the East Coast will see wave heights upwards of 2-4’ throughout the afternoon and evening.
- From the National Hurricane Center (NHC):
- A tropical wave located west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions support gradual development of this system during the next several days. A tropical depression is likely to form later this week of this weekend. This system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph crossing the open waters of the tropical Atlantic through the upcoming weekend. This system poses no threat to Florida at this time.
- Formation chances through 48 hours...low...30%.
- Formation chances through 7 days...high...70%.
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