Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, September 02, 2025

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 09/02/2025 10:01 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Onshore winds this morning will bring showers and thunderstorms inland along the Florida East Coast with the help of a non-tropical upper-level disturbance just off the coast.
  • Wet and active weather will continue across the Peninsula today as the stalled frontal boundary remains draped across South Florida.
  • Daytime heating and the daily sea breeze will help to create scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, with the greatest chance across the eastern Peninsula (55-70% chance of rain).
  • Locally gusty winds can be expected for portions of the East Coast, with gusts reaching upwards of 15-20 mph, locally stronger gusts of 25 mph possible.
  • Drier conditions will continue to filter into the Panhandle, keeping showers and thunderstorms closer towards the northeast coast along the sea breeze
  • High temperatures will remain in the upper 80s to lower 90s throughout most of the state, with portions of South Florida approaching the middle 90s.
  • Heat index values from the Suwannee Valley and throughout the Peninsula will remain in the upper 90s to middle 100s this afternoon.
  • Showers and thunderstorms will continue to push offshore from the East Coast later this evening and into the overnight hours before another round of showers move onshore from gulf waters (20-40% chance of rain).
  • Low temperatures will remain in the middle to upper 60s and lower 70s throughout North Florida, while the rest of the state will see low temperatures in the middle 70s to lower 80s.
  • The moderate to high risk for rip currents persists for nearly all Panhandle and East Coast beaches.
  • Coastal Flood Advisories have been posted for tidal portions of the St. Johns River and along the Northeast Florida coast as elevated tides, onshore winds and surf will lead to instances of minor coastal and tidal flooding near and during times of high tide over the next few days.
  • The St. Johns River at Astor has risen into minor flood stage, and will continue to see elevated water levels throughout the week.
  • From the National Hurricane Center NHC):
    • A tropical wave located south of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions support gradual development of this system during the next several days. A tropical depression is likely to form later this week of this weekend. This system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph crossing the open waters of the tropical Atlantic through the upcoming weekend. This system poses no threat to Florida at this time.
      • Formation chances through 48 hours...low...30%.
      • Formation chances through 7 days...high...70%.

 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report