Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, August 31, 2025

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 08/31/2025 10:00 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • This weekend’s stalled front remains draped over the northern Peninsula, and has already allowed for showers and thunderstorms to move onshore along the Nature and West-Central Florida coast this morning.
  • Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected to continue to move onshore along portions of the Florida West Coast, then move inland and become more widespread throughout the Peninsula this afternoon and evening (45-80% chance of rain).
  • The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding across Northeast Florida (mainly along the I-95 corridor) and throughout the Peninsula where locally heavy downpours from thunderstorms could lead to localized flash flooding and ponding of water.
    • Rainfall totals of 1-2" can be expected, with locally higher totals upwards of 3-4" possible.
  • Drier air will begin to filter into the Panhandle on the backside of the stalled frontal boundary, keeping shower and thunderstorm activity more isolated and closer towards the coast (20-40% chance of rain).
  • Warm and muggy conditions will continue throughout the Florida Peninsula, mainly south of the I-4 corridor, this afternoon as heat index values will reach the middle 90s to lower 100s (100-104-degrees).
  • Showers and thunderstorms will continue eastward throughout the evening before pushing offshore along the Florida East Coast during the overnight hours.
    • Showers and thunderstorms may linger throughout the overnight hours along the and east of the I-95 corridor (35-50% chance of rain).
  • Lingering ocean swells of 3-5' along the First and Space Coasts will create a moderate to high risk for rip currents. Panhandle beaches will continue to see a moderate risk for rip currents.
  • From the National Hurricane Center (NHC):
    • Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave about to move off the west coast of Africa. Environmental conditions are conducive for slow development of this system while it moves westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic this week. This system poses no threat to Florida at this time.
    • *Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0%.
    • *Formation chance through 7 days…low…30%.

 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report