Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, August 30th, 2025
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 08/30/2025 09:39 AM EDT
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Showers and thunderstorms are ongoing this morning across the western Panhandle associated with an upper-level disturbance passing through along a stalled cold front.
- This cluster of rain will continue to move south and eastward across the western Panhandle through this morning (55-85% chance of rain).
- By the afternoon, additional showers and thunderstorms will develop statewide during peak heating hours along the sea breeze boundaries.
- A predominate Gulf sea breeze will focus these showers and thunderstorms mainly over the central and eastern Peninsula (60-85% chance of rain) with some scattered activity expected across the Panhandle and Western Peninsula as well (40-60% chance of rain this afternoon).
- Ample tropical moisture and some slow-moving showers and thunderstorms may lead to localized flash flooding and ponding of water, especially in urban areas or locations with saturated soils.
- The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has outlooked much of the state under a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding for localized flooding concerns.
- Rainfall totals of 1-2” can be expected, with locally higher totals upwards of 2-4” possible.
- Some thunderstorms that develop today could be locally strong to severe and capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-50 mph), and heavy downpours.
- Abundant cloud cover will limit the magnitude of the heat statewide today.
- High temperatures will only reach the middle to upper 80s across North Florida while Central and South Florida will see temperatures climb into the lower to middle 90s.
- Although muggy conditions will persist, heat index values will remain in the middle 80s to lower 90s across the Panhandle and middle 90s to lower 100s for Central and South Florida, including the Keys.
- Shower and thunderstorm activity will gradually subside with loss of daytime heating across the state but some lingering showers may remain over the East Coast before drifting offshore after midnight (30-50% chance of rain).
- Some showers may drift back onshore over the West Coast of Florida early Sunday morning.
- Low temperatures will fall back into the upper 60s to lower 70s across North Florida and middle 70s to lower 80s throughout Central and South Florida.
- There is a moderate risk of rip currents across most Panhandle beaches today. First Coast and Space Coast beaches can also expect a moderate risk of rip currents.
- From the National Hurricane Center (NHC):
- Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some slow development of this system while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic next week. Formation chances are low (near 0%) over the next 48 hours and low (30%) in the next 7 days.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.