Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, August 26, 2025

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 08/26/2025 09:53 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • A weak cold front will move through the northern Peninsula today before stalling north of the I-4 corridor bringing mostly dry conditions across North Florida.
  • Ahead of this front, daily scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop throughout the afternoon and evening hours across the Peninsula, with the greatest chance across Central Florida (40-80% chance of rain).
  • Showers and embedded thunderstorms continue to move onshore along the Florida West Coast, and these will continue to move eastward throughout the day.
  • The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding along coastal West-Central Florida for repeated downpours over the same areas leading to localized flash flooding.
    • Rainfall totals of 1-2" can be expected, with locally higher totals upwards of 3-4' especially for the West Coast.
  • High temperatures will throughout the state will remain in the upper 80s to lower 90s this afternoon.
    • Drier conditions will keep heat index values in the lower to middle 90s throughout North Florida.
    • Muggy conditions continuing throughout Central and South Florida will create heat index values in the upper 90s to middle 100s.
  • Shower and thunderstorm activity will generally taper off throughout the evening and overnight hours leading to mostly dry conditions.
    • A few showers may linger along the coastal waters and adjacent coastlines overnight (20-40% chance of rain).
  • Low temperatures will fall back into the middle to upper 60s throughout North Florida, while low temperatures will remain in the middle to upper 70s and lower 80s for Central and South Florida.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents continues for numerous beaches across the state, while a low risk has returned to the West Coast.
  • River Flood Warnings have been issued for the Little Manatee and St. Johns River at Astor as water levels are forecast to gradually rise into minor flood stage through the next few days.
  • From the National Hurricane Center (NHC):
    • Tropical Storm Fernand is about 635 miles east-northeast of Bermuda and moving northeastward at 14 mph. A slightly faster northeast motion is anticipated over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph. Continued weakening is expected, and Fernand is likely to become a post-tropical cyclone later tonight or early Wednesday before dissipating Thursday.

 

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Morning Situation Report