Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, August 9th, 2025
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 08/09/2025 09:55 AM EDT
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Another wet day is expected across the state as a weak upper-level disturbance and stalled frontal boundary enhance shower and thunderstorm activity.
- Showers and thunderstorms are already ongoing this morning across coastal South Florida and will push inland throughout the morning.
- The sea breeze boundaries will also push inland this afternoon and promote scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across the Peninsula with help of daytime heating and deep tropical moisture (80-near 100% chance of rain).
- A predominate Atlantic sea breeze will focus most of the showers and storms along the East Coast early this afternoon before pushing westward throughout the day.
- The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has outlooked much of North Florida, the eastern Panhandle, and West Coast with a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding.
- Slow-moving and repeated rounds of thunderstorms will promote localized flooding concerns, especially in urban and poor-drainage locations where ponding of water and street flooding may occur.
- Any thunderstorm across the state could become locally strong to severe and capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds, and heavy downpours.
- Across the western Panhandle, only isolated to scattered showers and storms are expected with a relatively drier airmass in place (40-60% chance of rain).
- Abundant cloud cover and rainfall will limit the magnitude of temperatures across the state today.
- Afternoon high temperatures will only climb into the upper 80s to lower 90s statewide as heat index values reach into the lower to upper 90s, remaining below heat advisory criteria.
- Numerous showers and storms will remain along the West and East Coasts and adjacent coastal waters this evening and throughout the overnight hours (60-80% chance of rain), generally dissipating across interior portions of the Peninsula.
- Low temperatures will reach into the lower to upper 70s statewide.
- There is a moderate to high risk for rip currents along the Florida East Coast. Amoderate rip current risk continues for numerous Panhandle beaches.
- From the National Hurricane Center (NHC):
- Central Atlantic (96L) : Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are occurring with a tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic. Development of this system is unlikely during the next day or two due to surrounding dry air, however some gradual development is possible during the early or middle part of next week as the system moves northwestward to northward across the central Atlantic. This system poses no threat to Florida.
- *Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0%.
- *Formation chance through 7 days…low…20%.
- Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave that has now emerged offshore the west coast of Africa is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle to latter portion of next week as the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. This system poses no threat to Florida at this time but continues to be monitored.
- *Formation chance through 48 hours…low… near 0%.
- *Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40%.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.