Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, August 8th, 2025
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 08/08/2025 09:49 AM EDT
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- The frontal boundary draped across North Florida will remain in place today keeping the shower and thunderstorm chances rather elevated across the Peninsula (80-90% chance of rain).
- Numerous showers and thunderstorms are ongoing across adjacent coastal waters on both the East and West Coasts this morning and will push inland with help of daytime heating.
- A predominate Atlantic sea breeze will focus most of the showers and storms along the East Coast early this afternoon before pushing westward throughout the day.
- The greatest chance of rain is across the interior and western portions of the Peninsula where slow-moving thunderstorms may lead to localized flash flooding
- The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has outlooked much of North and Central Florida, down the West Coast, with a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding; an earlier onset to flooding and ponding of wateris possible.
- Across the western Panhandle, only isolated showers or storms are expected with a relatively drier airmass in place (10-40% chance of rain).
- Any thunderstorm across the state could become locally strong to severe and capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds, and heavy downpours.
- Relatively cooler temperatures are expected statewide compared to previous days with abundant cloud cover and elevated rain chances.
- Afternoon high temperatures will climb into the upper 80s to middle 90s statewide as heat index values remain in the lower to upper 90s.
- The easterly flow across the state will keep showers and thunderstorms over the West Coast and Big Bend this evening before moving offshore and gradually dissipating after midnight (50-60% chance of rain).
- Some lingering showers and thunderstorms may remain over portions of the East Coast as well.
- Low temperatures will reach into the lower to upper 70s statewide.
- There is a moderateto high risk for rip currents along the Florida East Coast. A moderate rip current risk continues for numerous Panhandle beaches.
- From the National Hurricane Center (NHC):
- Off the Southeast U.S. : A weak area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles off the coast of North Carolina is producing a few showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow over the next day or two while it moves northeastward. The low will merge with an upper-level disturbance this weekend ending its chances for development.
- *Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10%.
- *Formation chance through 7 days…low…10%.
- Central Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this system is unlikely during the next day or two due to dry air. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive in a few days and a tropical depression could form during the early to middle part of next week while the system moves northwestward to northward over the central tropical and subtropical Atlantic. This system poses no threat to Florida at this time but continues to be monitored.
- *Formation chance through 48 hours…low… near 0%.
- *Formation chance through 7 days…medium…50%.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.