Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for August 6th, 2025

• A rinse and repeat pattern from the last few days can be expected with a frontal boundary remaining stalled along North Florida.
• Scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms are moving onshore along the Panhandle coast, and will continue to move inland throughout the day and becoming more widespread (60-80% chance of rain).
• The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has maintained a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding along the I-10 corridor for possible flash flooding and ponding of water with repeated rounds of heavy downpours.
• Rainfall totals of 1-2" can be anticipated, with locally higher totals upwards of 3-5" possible with repeated heavy downpours.
• Areas that have already seen locally heavy rainfall over the last few days could see an earlier onset to possible flash flooding with additional downpours today.
• The typical summertime thunderstorm pattern can be expected throughout the Peninsula with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms developing along the sea breeze collision (45-75% chance of rain).
• Any thunderstorm that develops may produce frequent lightning, gusty winds and heavy downpours.
• High temperatures in the upper 80s to upper 90s can be expected throughout the state this afternoon.
• Heat index values in the upper 90s to upper 100s can also be expected, with the greatest values across Central and South Florida following a later start to thunderstorm activity.
• Heat Advisories will go into effect across South Florida near midday for dangerously hot and humid conditions creating heat index values of 110-degrees.
• Showers and thunderstorms throughout the late evening and into the overnight hours will dissipate and move offshore; however, lingering rounds of showers and embedded thunderstorms may begin to drift back onshore early Thursday morning (30-40% chance of rain).
• Low temperatures will remain in the 70s and lower 80s, with the Keys low temperatures in the middle 80s.
• A moderate risk for rip currents can be expected for Panhandle and East Coast beaches, with a locally high risk persisting along Palm Beach County.
• From the National Hurricane Center:
• Tropical Storm Dexter: As of 5:00 AM EDT, Dexter is located about 405 miles south-southeast of Halifax, Nova Scotia and moving east-northeastward at 13 mph. This motion is expected to continue with some increase in forward speed over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours while the system becomes extratropical cyclone. Dexter poses no direct threat to Florida.
• Off the Southeast U.S. : A weak area of low pressure has from a surface disturbance several hundred miles off the coast of the southeastern U.S. However, this system is currently producing only limited shower and thunderstorm activity and development is likely to be slow to occur during the next few days. Thereafter, environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development. A tropical depression could still form by this weekend as the low initially drifts westward before turning northward to northeastward by the weekend. This system poses no direct threat to Florida at this time; however, it could bring elevated rain chances and rip currents along portions of the East Coast later in the week and into the weekend.
• *Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10%.
• *Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40%.
• Central Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave over the eastern tropical Atlantic continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development during the next few days. A tropical depression could form late this week or over the weekend as the system moves generally west-northwestward to northwestward across the central tropical or subtropical Atlantic. This system poses no threat to Florida at this time but continues to be monitored.
• *Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 20%.
• *Formation chance through 7 days…medium…50%.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report