Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, August 8th, 2025

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Today will be a repeat of the last couple of days as a frontal boundary remains stalled over southern Georgia and the Panhandle.
  • Scattered showers and thunderstorms moving onshore this morning across the Panhandle and portions of the Big Bend will continue to move inland before becoming more widespread in nature (65-85% chance of rain).
  • Abundant moisture will continue to help aid heavy and intense downpours leading to an increased potential for localized flooding.
  • The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding across the Panhandle and portions of the I-10 corridor for localized flash flooding in repeated downpours.
    • Rainfall totals of 1-3" can be expected, with locally higher totals upwards of 3-5" possible.
    • Areas that have seen locally heavy rainfall over the last few days may see an earlier onset to possible flash flooding with additional heavy downpours today.
  • The typical summertime thunderstorm pattern can be expected across the Peninsula with scattered to numerous thunderstorms developing along the sea breeze (45-75% chance of rain).
  • Any thunderstorm that develops throughout the state may become locally strong to severe and produce frequent lightning, gusty winds and heavy downpours.
  • Hot and humid conditions can be expected with temperatures reaching the upper 80s to upper 90s and heat index values in the upper 90s and triple digits (100-110-degrees).
    • Heat Advisories will go into effect across South Florida midday for dangerously hot and humid conditions creating heat index values upwards of 110-degrees.
  • Showers and thunderstorms will continue throughout the evening and into the early overnight hours, with the exception of a few rounds of activity.
  • By early Wednesday morning, showers and thunderstorms will begin to drift back onshore along the Panhandle (30-40% chance of rain).
  • Low temperatures will remain in the 70s and lower 80s overnight.
  • There is a moderate to high risk for rip currents along numerous East Coast beaches, with a moderate risk returning for Panhandle beaches.
  • From the National Hurricane Center:
    • Tropical Storm Dexter will continue to move northeastward towards the northern Atlantic waters through the next few days.
    • A weak disturbance several hundred miles off the Southeast U.S. Coast is expected to form into an area of low pressure in a day or so. Formation chances are low (10%) through the next 48 hours and medium (40%) through the next 7 days.
    • A tropical wave over the far eastern tropical Atlantic is currently producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity and could see gradual development during the next few days as it moves west-northwestward. Formation chances remain low (near 0%) through the next 48 hours and medium (50%) through the next 7 days.
 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report