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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, July 17th, 2025

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 07/17/2025 10:04 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2

Meteorological Summary:

The weak area of low pressure, identified as Invest 93L, advances westward along the northern Gulf Coast, keeping Florida embedded within deep southerly flow and moisture again today.
Invest 93L (30%) maintains a low chance of development. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and chances for flash flooding will persist for the north-central Gulf Coast.
Scattered showers and an isolated embedded thunderstorm are already moving onshore the Florida Panhandle (70-95% chance of rain).
A few stronger thunderstorms capable of producing gusty winds, frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall rates will be possible.
Repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms may lead to instances of flooding and ponding water along the Florida Gulf Coast.
There is a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding along the Florida Panhandle and immediate West Florida coastline, with a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for the far western Florida Panhandle.
The overall pattern works to return to typical summertime in the Florida Peninsula, one more day of enhanced moisture will prompt scattered to numerous shower and thunderstorm development (65-85% chance of rain).
Afternoon high temperatures will reach the upper 80s to middle 90s statewide, with triple digit heat indices (99 to 103-degrees) likely.
Heat index values settle just below Heat Advisory criteria across Northeast Florida, with feels-like temperatures reaching 105 to 107-degrees.
Elevated rain chances remaining along the Florida Panhandle tonight (35-50%).
The rip current risk is High today across Florida Panhandle beaches with wave heights upwards of 3-4'.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

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