Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, July 14, 2025

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 07/15/2025 10:06 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Invest 93L (40%) will continue to gradually approach and move across the Florida Peninsula from the east before re-emerging over the northeastern gulf waters tonight and early Wednesday morning.
  • Scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms have already developed along East-Central Florida and we will continue to see additional showers and thunderstorms can be expected by the afternoon and evening hours.
  • Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected throughout the day, peaking in the afternoon and evening hours with the help of tropical moisture and daytime heating (70-near 100% chance of rain). 
    • Embedded strong to severe thunderstorms may be possible, and will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph), and torrential downpours.
  • The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for Flash Flooding across Nature Coast and the central Peninsula, with a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) statewide with intense rainfall rates and repeated rounds of heavy rainfall leading to an increased chance for flash flooding.
    • Rainfall totals of 1-3" can be expected across the state, with locally higher totals upwards of 4-7" possible.
  • Hot and humid conditions can be expected throughout the state this afternoon, with high temperatures reaching the upper 80s to middle 90s this afternoon.
    • Heat index values will reach the upper 90s to triple digits (100-108-degrees) across North and Central Florida.
    • Heat Advisories will go into effect across portions of the Panhandle and Big Bend as heat index values upwards of 108-degrees can be expected.
  • Scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms will likely continue throughout the overnight hours, especially across the northern Peninsula closer towards Invest 93L  as it moves across the state overnight (30-70% chance of rain).
  • Low temperatures will remain in the lower 70s and lower 80s.
  • A moderate risk for rip currents can be expected along Panhandle and the Florida East Coast with persistent onshore winds. 

 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report