Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, July 6, 2025

• Today will serve as a transition day between the recent active weather pattern and a return towards the more typical summertime pattern.
• A few showers and thunderstorms have already begun to move inland along Southwest Florida from the nearby coastal waters, and additional activity may follow along the Gulf and West Coasts.
• A more typical summertime thunderstorm pattern can be expected, with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms developing across the state (30-75% chance of rain).
• A more isolated to scattered activity is likely along the Panhandle where the sea breeze will struggle to move inland beyond the I-10 corridor and dry air lingers.
• Stronger embedded thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds and heavy downpours.
• Instances of localized flash flooding and ponding of water may be possible with heavy downpours over urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas, especially following the wet and active weather pattern last week.
• Warm and muggy conditions can be expected with temperatures in the upper 80s to middle 90s and heat index values in the upper 90s to triple digits (100-105-degrees).
• Most of the shower and thunderstorm activity will dissipate throughout the overnight hours; however, some showers and thunderstorms may linger along the Gulf and West Coasts before drifting onshore during the predawn hours on Monday (15-30% chance of rain).
• Low temperatures will fall into the 70s and lower 80s.
• A moderate risk for rip currents continues for numerous beaches across the Sunshine State, and a locally high risk cannot be ruled out along Northeast Florida beaches.
• Tropical Storm Chantal made landfall early this morning near 4:00 AM EDT near Litchfield Beach, South Carolina with maximum sustained winds near 50 mph. Tropical Storm Chantal will continue to move inland over the Carolinas today and degenerate into an upper-level low pressure system on Monday. An elevated surf and rip current risk can be expected along Northeast Florida beaches through the weekend.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report