Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, May 4, 2025

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 05/04/2025 10:04 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Patchy to scattered dense fog has developed this morning across the Big Bend, and a Dense Fog Advisory remains in effect through the mid-morning hours due to reduced visibility.
  • The active weather pattern will continue across the Peninsula today as scattered to numerous showers and embedded thunderstorms move across the Peninsula ahead of a cold front (50-75% chance of rain).
  • With the help of daytime heating and the sea breeze developing, isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening from the I-75 corridor and eastward - Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather.
  • Any strong to severe thunderstorm that develops will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-60 mph), large hail (quarter-size) and heavy downpours.
    • An embedded tornado or two cannot be ruled out near the East Coast due to the sea breeze pushing inland.
  • Organized flash flooding is not expected; however, locally heavy downpours or slow-moving thunderstorms over urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas may lead to instances of localized flash flooding or ponding of water.
    • Widespread rainfall totals of 1-2" can be expected throughout the Peninsula, with locally higher totals upwards of 3-5" possible along portions of the Southeast Florida coast.
  • Sensitive wildfire conditions may return along the Panhandle as drier conditions return in the wake of the passing cold front.
  • High temperatures will reach the lower to middle 80s across North Florida and middle to upper 80s and near 90-degrees throughout Central and South Florida.
  • Shower and thunderstorm activity will generally push off the East Coast later this evening and into the early overnight hours before drier conditions return statewide, but a linger shower or thunderstorm near the coast overnight cannot be ruled out (30-50% chance of rain). 
  • Instances of fog may develop overnight and into Monday morning throughout the state, especially with wet grounds and soils from rainfall earlier in the day.
  • Low temperatures will reach the 50s to lower 60s across North Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s across Central and South Florida.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents persists along the Panhandle and Space Coast beaches.

 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report