Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, November 17th, 2024.
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 11/17/2024 09:58 AM EST
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- High pressure over the Southeast U.S. will bring pleasant conditions across the state throughout the day with a chance for isolated sprinkles along portions of Space and Treasure Coast (near 0-15% chance of rain).
- Mostly light winds can be expected during the daytime hours, but stronger wind gusts of 10-15 mph will develop south of the I-4 corridor and wind gusts of 15-20 mph will develop across the Florida Keys.
- Relative humidity values will remain above critical thresholds today; however, locally sensitive wildfire conditions cannot be ruled across portions of the Panhandle and Big Bend due to expanding drought conditions.
- High temperatures will reach the middle to upper 70s and low 80s across the state this afternoon.
- Mostly dry and calm conditions will return statewide overnight, with patchy fog possible overnight or early Monday morning throughout North Florida.
- Onshore winds and ocean swells of 4-6' will continue to create a high risk for rip currents along the Florida East Coast. A moderate risk can be expected for several Panhandle beaches.
- King Tides will linger along the Florida East Coast and through the Florida Keys creating instances of minor to locally moderate coastal flooding near and during times of high tide. Coastal Flood Advisories and Statements remain in effect.
- Elevated tides and onshore winds have nearly stalled discharge rates along the St. Johns River at Astor which remains in moderate flood stage. Water levels continue to very slowly decline within minor to moderate flood stage for the Withlacoochee River near Holder and Dunnellon.
- The National Hurricane Center (NHC) continues to monitor:
- Tropical Storm Sara: As of 7:00 AM EST, Sara is located about 60 miles south-southeast of Belize City and is moving west-northwestward at 5 mph. This general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected through tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Sara will make landfall in Belize later this morning or around midday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph with higher gusts. Only small fluctuations in strength are anticipated until landfall. Weakening is forecast after the storm moves inland, and dissipate is expected over the southern portion of Yucatan Peninsula tonight or on Monday. While Sara is not expected to survive its trek across the Yucatan Peninsula, a plume of enhanced moisture/remnants of Sara are likely to be drawn northward across the Gulf of Mexico ahead of an approaching cold front Tuesday/Wednesday, bringing the potential for heavy rainfall and isolated severe thunderstorms for portions of Florida.
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