Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, July 24, 2024

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 07/24/2024 09:45 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • A tropical wave moving northwestward from the Bahamas is currently producing isolated showers with a few thunderstorms along the Panhandle and Big Bend coastline.
  • Moisture being pulled northward from the tropics will help to aid additional scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across North Florida throughout the day as a near stationary front remains draped over the U.S. Southeast (70-95% chance of rain).
  • The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding across the Panhandle and extending towards the I-75 corridor where heavy downpours could lead to instances of localized flooding.
  • Throughout the Peninsula, the typical summertime thunderstorm pattern can be expected to develop this afternoon and evening, with the greatest coverage across the western Peninsula as the Atlantic sea breeze will push further west (55-70% chance of rain).
  • Any thunderstorm that develops could become strong to severe and will be capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-50 mph) and heavy downpours.
  • Warm and muggy conditions can be expected with the help of high pressure over the western Atlantic extending across the state.
  • High temperatures in the upper 80s to middle 90s can be expected with heat index values reaching the upper 90s to middle 100s.
  • While heat index values remain just below heat advisory criteria, areas locally along the I-75 corridor and portions of South Florida could see values briefly reach criteria before cloud cover or thunderstorms move in overhead.
  • Showers and thunderstorms may linger just offshore or along the immediate Panhandle and Big Bend coastline overnight and early Thursday morning before attempting to push inland during the predawn hours (20-40% chance of rain).
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents can be expected for all Florida East Coast beaches due to surf of 2-4’ and slightly stronger onshore winds. Numerous Panhandle beaches will continue to see a moderate risk for rip currents.

 

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Morning Situation Report