Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, July 22nd, 2024

• High pressure over the western Atlantic and Bermuda will persist for the next few days bringing warm and humid conditions and allowing for daily showers and thunderstorms along the sea breeze.
• Isolated showers with embedded thunderstorms will gradually more inland along the Panhandle from the adjacent gulf waters throughout the morning hours and into midday, while an approaching tropical wave will bring an increase in showers and thunderstorms along portions of South Florida this morning.
• Southerly to southeasterly winds will continue to pull moisture northward from the tropics allowing for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to develop along the sea breeze (65-85% chance of rain).
• Lingering Saharan Dry Air will move slightly northward along the I-95 corridor across portions of Northeast and East-Central Florida keeping shower and thunderstorm activity more isolated to scattered in nature.
• Organized severe weather is not expected; however, locally strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-60 mph) and heavy downpours cannot be ruled out.
• The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding along portions of the far western Panhandle where multiple showers and thunderstorms moving onshore over recently saturated grounds and soils could bring localized flooding within heavy downpours throughout the day.
• High temperatures in the upper 80s to middle 90s can be expected this afternoon, with heat index values reaching the low to middle 100s.
• Earlier onset of cloud cover and thunderstorm activity will keep heat index values near or just below heat advisory criteria, but areas locally could see values briefly reach heat advisory criteria before cloud cover or thunderstorms develop.
• Areas of patchy fog could develop overnight and early Tuesday morning along portions of the Suwannee Valley and I-75 corridor following rainfall earlier in the day and calm conditions developing overnight.
• Persistent onshore winds will continue to create a moderate risk for rip currents for numerous Panhandle beaches and all Florida East Coast beaches.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.