Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, June 30th, 2024
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 06/30/2024 09:55 AM EDT
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Abundant moisture will continue to build ahead of frontal boundary approaching the Mid-Atlantic U.S. helping to bring scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening along the sea breeze collisions (65-85% chance of rain).
- The greatest coverage for shower and thunderstorms activity will be across the Panhandle, Big Bend, I-75 corridor and South Florida throughout the afternoon and evening hours.
- While organized severe weather is not expected, strong to locally severe thunderstorms will be possible throughout the afternoon and evening. These thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-50 mph) and torrential downpours.
- The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding across the I-10 corridor and throughout the western Peninsula, west of the I-95 corridor, where slow-moving showers and thunderstorms will be capable of producing heavy and intense downpours that could bring localized flash flooding for urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
- Abundant moisture and high pressure will bring warm and muggy conditions across the state will create high temperatures in the low to middle 90s and heat index values in the upper 90s to middle 100s.
- Heat Advisories will go into effect along the far western Panhandle later this morning where heat index values will reach 108-110, creating dangerously hot and humid conditions.
- While heat advisories are not anticipated elsewhere across the state due to the timing of anticipated rain, heat index values could reach criteria locally along portions of the Panhandle and Big Bend.
- As of 8:00 AM EDT, Major Hurricane Beryl was located about 420 miles east-southeast of Barbados and moving westward at 21 mph, and a quick westward to west-northwestward motions is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph with stronger gusts, and continued rapid strengthening is forecast over the next day or so. Beryl poses no direct threat to Florida over the next 5-7 days but will continue to be monitored.
- Invest 94L over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over southern portions of the Bay of Campeche and environmental conditions appear conducive for further development. A short-lived tropical depression could form before the system moves inland over Mexico on Monday morning. There is a medium chance (50%) for development over the next 48 hours and next 7 days. This system poses no direct threat to Florida but will bring elevated surf and a high risk for rip currents along Panhandle beaches through the early part of next week.
- Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of low pressure (Invest 96L) located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle part of this week while it generally moves westward at 15-20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. There is a medium chance (40%) chance for development over the next 48 hours and a high chance (70%) over the next 7 days. This system poses no direct threat to Florida over the next 7-10 days but will continue to be monitored.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.