Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, June 28, 2024
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 06/28/2024 09:48 AM EDT
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Scattered showers developing and moving onshore along the Florida Panhandle and Western Peninsula coastlines this morning will build and increase in coverage and push northeastward throughout the day with the help of an upper-level disturbance (60-90% chance of rain).
- Under strengthening high pressure, a typical summertime pattern can be expected across the Peninsula this afternoon and evening with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms developing along the sea breezes (50-70% chance of rain).
- A few strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-60 mph), and heavy downpours will be possible during peak heating hours.
- Abundant moisture giving way to heavy downpours and slow-moving storms may result in instances of localized flooding across urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
- High temperatures in the upper 80s to middle 90s.
- Heat indices in the upper 90s and triple digits (100-108); Heat Advisories cannot be ruled out.
- Moderate risk for rip currents along Panhandle and East Coast; locally high-risk in Bay County.
- Showers and thunderstorms will continue throughout the evenings and early overnight hours before gradually dissipating across North Florida and the West Coast (35-60% chance of rain).
- A few showers and embedded thunderstorms may linger through the overnight hours across North Florida thanks to the upper-level disturbance (25-50% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures in the middle to upper 70s with low to middle 80s along the Southeast Coast and Keys.
- NHC is monitoring three disturbances with potential for tropical development:
- A broad area of low pressure over the western Caribbean Sea associated with a tropical wave (Invest 94L) continues to produce widespread shower and thunderstorm activity; low (30%) chance of development through 7 days; No direct threat to Florida.
- A low-pressure system located about 1500 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands (Invest 95L) is gradually becoming better defined with showers and thunderstorms also showing signs of organization; A tropical depression or tropical storm will likely form late today or on Saturday; high (90%) chance of development through 48 hours; No direct threat to Florida over next 7-10 days but will continue to be monitored.
- A tropical wave centered several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms; low (20%) chance of development through 7 days; No direct threat to Florida over next 7-10 days, at least.
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