Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, June 27th, 2024

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
  • An upper-level disturbance has begun to produce a cluster of showers and embedded thunderstorms moving eastward across the Florida Panhandle with isolated showers along the Nature Coast this morning.
  • This disturbance and a frontal boundary approaching from the north will allow for higher coverage of daily scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across North Florida throughout the day today (60-85% chance of rain).
    • Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Severe Weather along the I-10 corridor; strong to severe thunderstorms producing frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-60 mph), and heavy downpours possible.
  • Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to develop along the sea breeze in the Peninsula this afternoon and evening(45-65% chance of rain).
    • A few strong to severe thunderstorms will also be possible with the sea breeze.
  • Heavy downpours and slow-moving storms may result in instances of localized flooding across urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
  • High temperatures in the upper 80s to middle 90s; Heat indices in the upper 90s to triple digits (100-105).
  • Moderate risk for rip currents along Panhandle and East Coast; locally high-risk in Bay County.
  • Drought conditions continue to deteriorate across North Florida but hold steady across Central Florida.
  • Shower and thunderstorm activity will continue through the evening and early overnight hours (15-40% chance of rain).
  • The Florida Panhandle and Nature Coast will see scattered activity continue overnight with the upper-level disturbance (35-65% chance of rain).
  • Low temperatures in the middle 70s to low 80s.
  • NHC is monitoring two tropical waves producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
    • Invest 94L is located over the western Caribbean Sea and has a low (30%) chance of development through 7 days; No direct threat to Florida.
    • Invest 95L is located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands and has a high (70%) chance of development through 7 days; This system poses no direct threat to Florida over the next 7-10 days but will continue to be monitored.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report