Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, June 26th, 2024
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 06/26/2024 10:01 AM EDT
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- An upper-level disturbance over the Southeast U.S. will help to bring scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening along the sea breeze with abundant moisture in place.
- Upper-level support will move overhead along the far western Panhandle, which could lead to a cluster of isolated strong to severe thunderstorms developing late this afternoon and evening – Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather.
- While confidence regarding the cluster of thunderstorms remains low, any strong to severe thunderstorms that develop could produce frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-60 mph), large hail (quarter-size) and heavy downpours.
- Isolated showers with embedded thunderstorms will move inland along the western Peninsula with the sea breeze, helping to generate scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across the Peninsula this afternoon and evening, with a few strong thunderstorms possible.
- Plenty of moisture and daytime heating processes will lead to heavy downpours at times, which could bring instances of localized flooding across urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas for portions of the East Coast.
- The large area of high pressure over the dessert southwest will begin to break down and pull away from the Sunshine State but continue to bring warm and muggy conditions statewide.
- Heat Advisories will go into effect around midday across most of North Florida as heat index values of 108-112 are expected and will create dangerous hot and humid conditions.
- Heat index values across the rest of the state will reach the upper 90s to middle 100s.
- Numerous beaches along the Panhandle and East Coast will continue to see a moderate risk for rip currents, with a locally high risk along Bay County.
- A tropical wave, Invest 94L, moving into the central Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized shower activity while it quickly moves westward at around 25 mph. Formation chances through the next 7 days are low (20%), and this system poses no direct threat to Florida.
- A second tropical wave located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Formation chances through the next 7 days are low (30%). This system poses no direct threat to Florida over the next 7-10 days but will continue to be monitored.
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