Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, June 18th, 2024
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 06/18/2024 09:58 AM EDT
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- High pressure over the Carolina’s and western Atlantic waters will continue to bring partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies throughout the Sunshine State.
- Drier conditions will limit shower and thunderstorm activity, but breezy onshore winds will bring isolated to widely scattered showers and a few rumbles of thunder along the East Coast with the greatest coverage over Treasure Coast (35-50% chance of rain).
- Any showers and possible thunderstorms that develop should remain light and brief in nature throughout the afternoon and evening hours.
- A strong pressure difference between the area of high pressure and Potential Tropical Cyclone (PTC) One over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico will create breezy wind gusts of 20-25 mph nearly statewide, with the strongest wind gusts upwards of 30 mph along the East Coast.
- Heat index values will reach the low to middle 90s across East Florida with the help of breezy onshore winds, and middle to upper 90s across the Panhandle and West Florida with value reaching triple digits (100-102) for portions of West-Central and Southwest Florida.
- Breezy onshore winds will continue bring isolated showers onshore from the Atlantic waters along the eastern Peninsula throughout the overnight hours (25-40% chance of rain).
- Dangerous beach and boating conditions can be expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches due to elevated surf of 3-6’ and a high risk for rip currents.
- As of 8:00 AM EDT, Potential Tropical Cyclone (PTC) One was located about 420 miles southeast of Brownsville, Texas and moving northward at 6 mph with maximum winds near 40 mph. Some increase in strength is likely during the next 36 hours, and the disturbance is likely to become a tropical storm by Wednesday as it approaches the western Gulf coast. This system poses no direct threat to Florida but will bring dangerous surf and boating conditions and a high risk for rip currents along Panhandle beaches throughout the week.
- An area of cloudiness and showers located several hundred miles east of the Bahamas is associated with a surface trough and upper-level area of low pressure. Formation chances through the next 48 hours remain low (10%), as well as over the next 7 days (20%). This system continues to be monitored, but regardless of development will bring increasing rain chances, elevated surf and a high rip currents along the Florida East Coast by middle to latter portions of this week.
- Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Formation chances are low (20%) through the next 7 days. This system poses no direct threat to Florida at this time.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.