Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, November 20th, 2023

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
  • Dense Fog Advisories extend from Northeast Florida and throughout the interior Peninsula where low clouds and dense fog have reduced visibility to ¼ of a mile or less at times.
  • Low clouds and foggy conditions will continue to lift through the mid-morning hours as the sun continues to rise creating partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions.
  • An isolated shower or two may drift inland along the Atlantic Coast from the Atlantic waters throughout the day (15-25% chance of rain).
  • A warm front over the northern Gulf of Mexico extending from a low pressure system developing over the Central Plains will push northward into the western Panhandle and may bring an isolated shower or two through the afternoon hours (10-15% chance of rain).
  • Near to above normal temperatures for this time of year can be expected as high temperatures will reach the middle to upper 70s and low 80s.
  • A strong cold front associated with a developing low pressure system over the Central Florida will advance towards the far western Panhandle and along the I-10 corridor overnight and early Tuesday morning bringing isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms (40-60% chance of rain).
  • The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather across the western Panhandle, with a portion of Escambia County within a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) as isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible.
  • The main hazards associated with these strong to severe thunderstorms include frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph), a few isolated tornadoes and heavy downpours.
  • Ongoing drought conditions should help to limit onset flash flooding from showers and thunderstorms along the western Panhandle; however, stronger thunderstorm activity may be capable of producing a quick 1-2” leading to localized flash flooding across urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
  • A moderate risk for rip currents extends along all Panhandle and Atlantic Coast beaches due to onshore winds and developing ocean swells. A locally high risk continues for Palm Beach County beaches.
  • The St. Johns River at Astor continues to experience minor riverine flooding due to elevated water levels from several rounds of heavy rainfall last week.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report