Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, September 28th, 2023.
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 09/28/2023 09:58 AM EDT
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Another day of numerous showers and thunderstorms late this morning and continuing into the afternoon and evening hours across the Peninsula (60-100% chance of rain).
- An isolated strong to severe thunderstorm or two capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (45-55 mph), and heavy downpours cannot be ruled out.
- Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding from Northeast Florida, along the I-4 corridor and south through Central and South Florida as tropical moisture will allow showers and thunderstorms to produce heavy and intense downpours.
- Coastal Flood Warnings have been issued along the Northeast Florida coast through Friday as minor to moderate coastal flooding and coastal erosion is expected at or near high tide.
- Small Craft Advisories and High Surf Advisories have been issued along the Northeast Coast as seas of 6-9’ and winds of 15-25 kts are expected with large breaking waves of 5-7’ in the surf; Small Craft Advisory in Panhandle with seas of 3-5’ and wind gusts up to 25 kts.
- Tidal portions of the St. Johns River may see minor flooding at or near high tide.
- Moderate to high risk for rip currents Florida Panhandle and East Coast.
- High temperatures in the 70s and 80s statewide; lows in the upper 60s to low 80s overnight.
- As of 5:00 AM EDT, Tropical Storm Philippe was located 560 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands and moving west-northwestward at 5 mph. A slow west-northwestward to westward motion is forecast over the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph and little change in strength is expected over the next day or so, followed by slow weakening this weekend. Philippe poses no direct threat to Florida over the next 5-7 days, at least.
- Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure (Invest 91L) located about halfway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development and a tropical depression or storm is expected to form later today or Friday as it moves northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. There is a high (90%) chance for development over the next 24 hours and 7 days. The system poses no direct threat to Florida at this time.
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