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Prepared by Precision Advocacy
The California State Legislature officially reconvened in Sacramento on Monday, marking the commencement of the second half of the 2025-26 legislative session.
This month, lawmakers are focused on advancing two-year bills, with policy committee hearings starting promptly on Tuesday. The urgency is driven by the January 31 deadline for two-year measures to advance out of its house of origin. Two-year bills that fail to pass out of their house of origin by the end of the month will not proceed through the legislative process this year.
Governor Gavin Newsom delivers his State of the State address on January 8. This annual address provides the governor with an opportunity to outline his priorities for the upcoming year, often setting the tone for the legislative and budgetary debates that will dominate the session.
Approximately 2,500 new bills are anticipated to be introduced between now and the bill introduction deadline on February 20.
The new Senate leader, Senate pro Tem Monique Limón announced her leadership team and committee assignments for the 2026 session last month, elevating several allies to key positions. Of particular importance, she replaced influential chairs on the Budget and Appropriations committees, which will now be led by Senators John Laird (D-Santa Cruz) and Sabrina Cervantes (D-Riverside) respectively.
Governor Gavin Newsom’s 2026-27 Budget Proposal
The 2026-27 budget proposal from Governor Newsom is scheduled for release on January 9 at 10 a.m. Notably, the Director of the Department of Finance, rather than the governor himself, is expected to present the proposal to the media. We will circulate an analysis next week highlighting the budget's most significant effects on Orange County.
November Revenues. The Department of Finance (DOF) and State Controller released reports on November’s revenues as compared to the 2025-26 governor’s budget proposal.
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Tax Revenues
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DOF November
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DOF Fiscal YTD
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Controller Fiscal YTD
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Personal Income
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$543 million above projections
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$6.311 billion above projections
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$6.213 billion above projections
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Corporation
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$59 million below projections
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$320 million below projections
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$287.101 million below projections
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Sales and Use
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$169 million below projections
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$265 million below projections
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$276.446 million below projections
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Total Revenues
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$454 million above projections
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$6.422 billion above projections
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$6.443 billion above projections
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California Revenue Projections and the 2026 Budget Outlook. Recent preliminary data suggests California's General Fund revenues are significantly exceeding earlier projections, primarily driven by strong income tax receipts:
- Through November, the 2025-26 budget year was trending well above projections.
- Preliminary December figures are also expected to show positive results.
- Total personal income taxes were roughly $2.7 billion above the monthly estimate.
- Corporate income tax payments were about $300 million above June 2025 projections.
- Assuming stable sales tax and other revenue sources, these income tax tallies would place cumulative General Fund revenues approximately $12 billion above the June 2025 budget estimates over the budget window (2024-25, 2025-26, and 2026-27).
- As noted by the Legislative Analyst’s Office (LAO) in its November fiscal outlook, the bulk of these higher revenues appear linked to the artificial intelligence investment boom, a sector the LAO has cautioned could be an investment bubble that may soon subside.
Expect Varying Deficit Estimates
- It is important to expect significant differences between the deficit estimates provided by the LAO and the administration. Although the LAO projected an $18 billion deficit entering the 2026-27 budget year, we are anticipating that the governor’s deficit projection will be far lower.
- The LAO's projection of $11.1 billion in revenue gains was expected to be mostly offset by:
- $7 billion more in required Proposition 98 spending for schools and community colleges.
- $3.4 billion more in required Proposition 2 transfers to state reserves.
- Administration estimates for Proposition 98 spending and Proposition 2 deposits may vary significantly from the LAO’s November estimates.
Spending Estimate Variances
- The LAO projected a net $5.7 billion increase in non-Proposition 98 spending over the budget window.
- However, the administration's estimates could easily differ by several billion dollars, particularly concerning health and social services costs (potentially related to federal H.R. 1 legislation) and state administrative costs (civil service pay, benefits, and department expenses).
- Expect key spending estimates, especially in health, social services, and corrections, to change during this year’s budget process, as the legislative budget subcommittees vet the administration's proposals.
The 2026 Budget Process Ahead
- The January budget proposal may be found here upon its release on January 9.
- Legislative staff will analyze the proposal's details and release summaries shortly thereafter.
- Trailer bill language is legally due from the administration by February 1.
- The governor's proposals will undergo review by both houses’ legislative budget subcommittees. These subcommittees will then begin budget hearings, which will involve analyzing, hearing presentations, and receiving public comment on every element of the budget. These hearings are anticipated to start next month and run through May.
- Budget discussions are expected to generate new proposals and alternatives to close the deficit from both the executive and legislative branches over the next six months.
- The May revision - updated revenue, spending, and administrative proposals - will be released on or before May 14.
- The final June 2026 budget will balance the 2026-27 state budget, drawing heavily on the administration’s May revenue estimates and a combination of spending proposals from the governor and the legislature.
- The legislature is required to send the governor a budget for consideration by June 15.
Informational Hearing on Factory Built Housing Technology
The Assembly Select Committee on Housing and Construction Innovation held an informational hearing earlier this week titled “Perspectives from Developers and Manufacturers” focused on modular and factory-built housing technology. The hearing was chaired by Assemblymember Buffy Wicks (D-Oakland), and was attended by Assemblymembers Jessica Caloza (D-Los Angeles), Juan Carrillo (D-Palmdale), Mark Gonzalez (D-Los Angeles), Jeff Gonzalez (R-Indio), Heather Hadwick (R-Jackson), John Harabedian (D-Pasadena), Josh Hoover (R-Folsom), Diane Papan (D-San Mateo), Sharon Quirk-Silva (D-La Palma), Rhodesia Ransom (D-Stockton), and Lori Wilson (D-Suisun City).
The hearing highlighted some of the benefits and challenges of factory built modular housing. It also showcased manufacturers and developers’ desire to update building codes and increase consistent market demand for it.
The recently established Select Committee on Housing Construction Innovation is tasked with exploring and advancing modern, cost-efficient, climate-smart approaches to building new homes in California. The findings of the committee will be summarized in a white paper expected in early 2026. The committee then plans to translate its findings into a package of legislative proposals in 2026 aimed at removing barriers and supporting responsible innovation in the construction phase of housing development.
Background. Ben Metcalf of the Terner Center for Housing Innovation at UC Berkeley addressed the wider housing affordability crisis, stating that California is projected to have a deficit of 2.5 million homes by the year 2030. At the same time, construction costs in the state are a little more than two times the cost to build housing in Colorado and Texas. Construction costs have increased faster than inflation, doubling since 2019. Two thirds of contractors cite skilled labor shortages as the main cause of cost increases. Federal changes in tariff and immigration policies are expected to stoke these inflationary pressures further.
Metcalf detailed some of the challenges and opportunities of factory-built housing as a solution to California’s housing crisis. He noted that in counties that use the design method more regularly (Japan and Sweden), cost savings of 10-20% are seen across the board. He highlighted benefits including shorter construction times, improved building quality, safer and better working conditions by eliminating major hazards such as high heat and falling, providing more stable working hours, and reducing construction material waste.
However, factory-built housing remains a very small portion of California’s housing production. Much of the manufacturing takes place out of state. Financing remains a major hurdle. As does fragmentation of the industry and regulatory interests. He encouraged policy makers to create enabling conditions to increase the market share and capabilities of factory-made housing. A strong emphasis was put on local building codes and the desire for more statewide consistency. The concept of pre-approved design was raised as a possible solution. Generally, new technology and new methods of building housing can be viewed as inherently risky given the nature of housing being the biggest investment a household makes.
Developer Perspective. The panel discussing the developer perspective featured Caleb Roope (The Pacific Companies), Lois Kim (Mutual Housing), Danny Haber (oWOW), and Don Ajamian (Emergent 3D). A major focus of the developers' comments was the difficulties associated with existing financing structures and building codes. Specifically, they noted that most current lending and financing models are based on traditional, on-site construction methods.
With modular building, the units are built in a factory, shipped to the site, assembled, siding and roofing are installed, and the project is completed. About 40% of construction is done in the factory, with the remaining work done on site to knit the manufactured pieces together and provide the finishing work. Panelists encouraged policymakers to incentivize greater adoption of modular technology to increase consistent demand including the use of tax credits and CEQA exemptions.
Like other types of production, cost savings increase as production of manufactured homes increases. Haber highlighted three areas where cost savings could be achieved including updating building codes (change plumbing standards from cast iron to include ABS plastic); reducing flat rate utility hookups which add $10,000 per unit; and financing incentives including a state-backed guarantee on permanent debt to lower permanent loan costs.
Ajamian decried that the current building codes do not allow for innovative new building techniques such as 3D concrete printing. Kim talked about the outsized impact state policies and building codes have on the financial viability of development projects.
Manufacturer Perspective. The panel discussion featuring manufacturers, Alex Shea (US-Offsite), Kevin Brown (Harbinger), Garrett Moore (TektonOS), and Apoorva Pasricha (Cloud Apartments), concluded the event. Kevin Brown of Harbinger highlighted the benefits of manufactured housing for union workers and stressed the necessity for more reliable, consistent aggregated demand. He noted that the single-project nature of most housing efforts prevents realizing the cost savings potential of scalability. Brown proposed that the state could facilitate multi-year aggregated demand for modular housing. This could be achieved through scaled procurement, standardized methods, or policies designed to expand the modular pipeline, with the goal of delivering lower-cost housing at scale.
In his testimony, Moore spoke to the issues of local government risk mitigation and recommended a “performance-based code” for offsite building projects, where the state would set building standards and take on the risk of projects built using innovative methods within certain parameters.
To increase demand for modular units, Shea recommended a density bonus for factory-built housing; a local plan check shot clock like what was done for ADUs in 2018; third party plan checks for onsite and offsite; and securitized FBH backed commercial mortgage-backed securities and the creation of tax-exempt debt instruments like municipal bonds.
Discussion among committee members highlighted several potential advantages of factory-built housing for construction workers, such as increased workplace safety, more consistent and shorter commutes, and climate-controlled work environments. However, Assemblymember Quirk-Silva advised prudence regarding the adoption of untested technology. A question was raised by Assemblymember Papan about the impact on the overall work volume for trade laborers. In a separate exchange with panelists, Assemblymember Hoover focused on the work benefits associated with more reliable, year-round employment and reduced commute times.
The committee is set to hold another informational hearing next week focused on the view from labor and the investment community.
Upcoming Hearings
Agendas are typically posted on the committee websites in the Assembly and Senate a few days prior to the hearings. To view hearings after they take place, you may access them in the Assembly or Senate media archives where they are generally available within a few hours of committee adjournment.
Wednesday, January 14, 2026, 1:30 p.m. Assembly Communications and Conveyance Oversight Hearing: The State of Broadband Affordability
Wednesday, January 14, 2026, 1:30 p.m. Assembly Select Committee on Housing Construction Innovation Informational Hearing: Hearing #2: Perspectives from Government, Investors, and Labor
Grant Opportunities
Below is a list of the latest grant opportunities released by the state. All opportunities for local jurisdictions may be found here.
Deadline: 2/11/26 00:00 Title: Legacy Disposal Site Abatement Grant Program State Agency / Department: Department of Resources Recycling and Recovery Match Funding? 50% Estimated Total Funding:$1,500,000 Funding Method: Reimbursement(s)
Deadline: 2/12/26 16:00 Title: 2025-26 Digital Divide Grant Program Round 3 State Agency / Department: Public Utilities Commission Match Funding? No Estimated Total Funding:$200,000 Funding Method: Reimbursement(s)
Anticipated Open Date: Q1 Title: California Advanced Services Fund: Broadband Adoption Account – July 2026 Cycle State Agency / Department: Public Utilities Commission Match Funding? 15% Estimated Total Funding:$30,000,000 Funding Method: N/A
Deadline: 2/3/26 15:00 Title: Employment Pathways Technical Assistance (EPTA) grant for Program Year 2025-26 (PY 25-26) State Agency / Department: Employment Development Department Match Funding? No Estimated Total Funding:$1,500,000 Funding Method: Reimbursement(s)
Anticipated Open Date: January 5, 2026 Title: Request for Application (RFA) 25-10031: Local Training and Education Program for the Prevention of Domestic Violence (DV) State Agency / Department: Employment Development Department Match Funding? No Estimated Total Funding: $1,171,200 Funding Method: Reimbursement(s)
Governor’s Press Releases
Below is a list of the governor’s press releases beginning December 17.
January 6: Governor Newsom’s statement on Valero’s Benicia refinery update
January 6: Governor Newsom announces appointments 1.6.2026
- Martha Sanchez Cannady, of Cypress, has been appointed to the 32nd District Agricultural Association, Orange County Fair Board
- Ronald “Ron” Fiore, of San Francisco, has been reappointed to the California State Athletic Commission where he has served since 2023
- AnnMaria DeMars, of Santa Monica, has been reappointed to the State Athletic Commission where she has served since 2022
- Thomas Hudnut, of Beverly Hills, has been reappointed to the California Horse Racing Board where he has served since 2021
- Damascus Castellanos, of Pico Rivera, has been reappointed to the California Horse Racing Board where he has served since 2020
January 6: Governor Newsom lowers flags, proclaims January 7th as day of remembrance for Los Angeles fires
January 6: THIS WEEK: State finance director to hold media briefing on Governor Newsom’s 2026-27 budget
January 6: Governor Newsom issues executive order expanding protections for survivors and support for businesses
January 6: On eve of LA Fire Anniversary, Governor Newsom announces housing push to keep survivors in their communities
January 6: As federal aid stalls, Governor Newsom announces proposed effort to close insurance gaps for LA fire survivors, expands mortgage relief
January 6: One year after LA fires: California deploys firefighting resources and advanced technology, accelerates prevention efforts
January 6: Governor Newsom statement on the passing of Congressman Doug LaMalfa
January 6: Governor Newsom issues proclamation declaring 2026 statewide primary election date
January 5: Governor Newsom issues statement on Trump administration’s vaccine schedule endangering the lives of infants and children
January 5: One year after Los Angeles firestorms, California continues all-of-government community recovery efforts
January 2: Governor Newsom announces appointments 1.2.2026
- Patrick Eaton, of Sonora, has been appointed Deputy Director of Facility Support of the Division of Adult Institutions at the California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation
- Joseph Tuggle, of Placerville, has been appointed Associate Director, Region I of the Division of Adult Institutions at the California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation
- Patwin Horn, of Kern County, has been appointed Warden at Kern Valley State Prison, where he has served as Acting Warden since 2024
- Sircoya M. Williams, of Solano County, has been appointed Warden at the California Medical Facility
- Rafael Acevedo, of Imperial County, has been appointed Warden at Richard J. Donovan State Prison
- Kelly Santoro, of Kern County, has been appointed Warden at Salinas Valley State Prison
- Robyn Fennig, of Sacramento, has been appointed Deputy Director of Recovery Operations at the California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services
- Rhys Williams, of Orangevale, has been appointed to the Board of Environmental Safety
December 31: Governor Newsom honors fallen CAL FIRE Engineer
December 31: Federal court finally ends illegal federalization of National Guard after Trump gives up, Governor Newsom directs leadership to quickly send soldiers home to families
December 31: NUEVO EN 2026: Leyes de California que entran en vigencia en el nuevo año
December 31: NEW IN 2026: California laws taking effect in the new year
December 31: Following LA fires, Governor Newsom extends key provision to fast‑track wildfire safety window, protecting more communities across the state
December 31: California advances Jobs First agenda, expands career pathways and worker protections statewide
December 30: Governor Newsom prepositions emergency resources in Southern California ahead of New Year’s Storm
December 30: Governor Newsom announces appointments 12.30.2025
- Lilia Larin, of Chula Vista, has been reappointed to the Dental Board of California, where she has served since 2018
- Joni A. Forge, of Long Beach, has been reappointed to the Dental Board of California, where she has served since 2022
- Steven Chan, of Fremont, has been reappointed to the Dental Board of California, where he has served since 2021
- Rosalinda Olague, Rancho Cucamonga, has been reappointed to the Dental Board of California, where she has served since 2018
- Denise Pines, of Los Angeles, has been reappointed to the Osteopathic Medical Board of California, where she has served since 2021
- Gilda Dominiguez, of Covina, has been reappointed to the Speech-Language Pathology and Audiology and Hearing Aid Dispensers Board, where she has served since 2021
- Amy White, of Sloughhouse, has been reappointed to the Speech-Language Pathology and Audiology and Hearing Aid Dispensers Board, where she has served since 2021
December 30: Governor Newsom to deliver State of the State Address next week
December 29: Here’s everything (so far) Governor Newsom got done in the year that would not end
December 24: Governor Newsom proclaims state of emergency to support response in multiple counties due to late December storms
December 23: California turns winter season rain into future water supply
December 23: Governor Newsom declares states of emergency related to multiple severe weather events in 2025
December 23: Governor Newsom deploys dedicated teams to fight crime in Stockton, building on existing successful partnerships
December 23: Governor and LA Rises announce new online resource to further help LA fire survivors navigate rebuilding
December 23: Governor Newsom’s SAFE Task Force partners with Sacramento to clear encampment
December 23: Prop 1 brings new projects creating hundreds of housing units for Californians, including veterans
December 22: Governor Newsom mobilizes state resources as California braces for winter storm
December 22: Governor Newsom announces judicial appointments 12.22.2025
- Katrina Brownson, of Tulare County, has been appointed to serve as a Judge in the Tulare County Superior Court
- Sarah J. Ellenberg, of Los Angeles County, has been appointed to serve as a Judge in the Los Angeles County Superior Court
- Jonathan Eisenman, of Los Angeles County, has been appointed to serve as a Judge in the Los Angeles County Superior Court
- Erin Donovan, of Los Angeles County, has been appointed to serve as a Judge in the Los Angeles County Superior Court
- Erin Reed, of Los Angeles County, has been appointed to serve as a Judge in the Los Angeles County Superior Court
- Kevin Lee, of San Bernardino County, has been appointed to serve as a Judge in the San Bernardino County Superior Court
December 22: Governor Newsom announces $50,000 reward payout in Solano murder, rewards for other cold cases in Alameda and San Diego counties
December 22: California steps up to protect communities amid continued antisemitic actions worldwide
December 19: CalRx drives down the cost of naloxone as state program reverses nearly 400,000 overdoses
December 19: Governor Newsom provides communities $52 million to build housing and infrastructure, address homelessness
December 19: Governor Newsom announces $47 million in grants to help prevent substance use among California youth, including supports for struggling young men and boys
December 19: Governor Newsom leads seasonal storm readiness effort
December 18: As Donald Trump attempts to restrict health care for LGBTQ youth, California partners with The Trevor Project to launch statewide suicide prevention training for 988 crisis counselors
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