Office of Legislative Affairs - "The Friday Wrap-Up"

In a dramatic shift, the 2024 elections have propelled Republicans back into the White House and the U.S. Senate, with California still pivotal in determining the final composition of the U.S. House of Representatives. As of this report, a number of high-stakes congressional races across the state remain uncalled. The next few weeks will likely see an additional 5.5 million ballots counted statewide, aligning with historical turnout levels seen in California’s presidential elections, projected between 14 and 16 million votes by final certification.

As of the latest updates, Republican House incumbents have mostly retained leads. Among the key battlegrounds, California’s 47th Congressional District (CD) in Orange County remains exceptionally close, with Republican Scott Baugh leading Democrat Dave Min by a narrow margin of just over 3,000 votes as of this writing. Other closely watched races include CD 45, where incumbent Michelle Steel has a lead in a highly competitive environment fueled by the highest level of independent expenditures nationwide. Additionally, the CD 49 race between Democrat Mike Levin and Republican Matt Gunderson has attracted significant attention, with Levin holding a slender lead as late ballots continue to be counted.

Orange County has also seen notable activity in down-ballot races. The looming departure of State Senate District (SD) 36 incumbent Republican Janet Nguyen, who is leading in the Orange County Board of Supervisors District 1 race, is expected to trigger a special election next year. Meanwhile, Republican incumbents, including Laurie Davies (Assembly District 74), have maintained leads, though the race continues to be too close to call.

In another significant race, State Senator Josh Newman (SD 37) is in one of Orange County’s most consequential races. Currently trailing former Assemblyman Steve Choi by over 14,000 votes, this battleground seat has drawn considerable attention and funding, with its outcome potentially tipping the legislative balance in the state.

With substantial shifts in voter attitudes since the 2020 Presidential Election, the outcomes of these races will not only shape California’s representation but also impact state legislative dynamics on pressing issues from crime and homelessness to minimum wage reforms, as seen through various state propositions. The coming weeks promise to provide a clearer picture as California’s remaining ballots are meticulously counted.

Precision will continue to keep you informed as new developments emerge. Please note that the results and percentages reported here are based on vote counts from the day after the election. With votes still being processed, final percentages may vary slightly; refer to official election sources for the latest updates.

Statewide Ballot Measures

California State Assembly Races

AD 01 - Republican vs. Republican (Open)

Heather Hadwick (R) - Farmer/Emergency Manager - 62.5% ✔️

Tenessa Audette (R) - Businesswoman, Redding Mayor - 37.5%

Incumbent: Megan Dahle (R) - ran for SD 1

Primary Results: Hadwick 35.6%/Audette 29.2%/Mezzano 25.5%/Hunt 9.6%

Leans: Safe Republican

Counties: Alpine, Amador (P), El Dorado (P), Lassen, Modoc, Nevada, Placer (P), Plumas, Shasta, Sierra, and Siskiyou

Cities: Alturas, Amador City, Anderson, Colfax, Dorris, Dunsmuir, Etna, Fort Jones, Grass Valley, Jackson, Loyalton, Montague, Mount Shasta, Nevada City, Plymouth, Portola, Redding, Shasta Lake, South Lake Tahoe, Susanville, Sutter Creek, Tulelake, Weed, Yreka, and the town of Truckee

AD 02 - Democrat vs. Republican (Open)

Chris Rogers (D) - Santa Rosa Councilmember/Non-Profit Executive - 66.1% ✔️

Michael Greer (R) - Retired Special Educator - 33.9%

Incumbent: Jim Wood (D) - opted not to run for his final term

Primary Results: Greer 27.6%/Rogers 19.3%/Hicks 18.3%

Leans: Democratic

Counties: Del Norte, Humboldt, Mendocino, Sonoma (P), and Trinity

Cities: Arcata, Blue Lake, Cloverdale, Crescent City, Eureka, Ferndale, Fort Bragg, Fortuna, Healdsburg, Point Arena, Rio Dell, Santa Rosa (P), Sebastopol, Trinidad, Ukiah, Willits, and the town of Windsor

AD 03 - Democrat vs. Republican

James Gallagher (R*) - Assemblyman/Farmer/Businessman - 64.9% ✔️

Aaron Draper (D) - Professor/Photographer - 35.1%

Primary Results: Gallagher 66%/Draper 31.6%

Leans: Safe Republican

Counties: Butte, Glenn, Placer (P), Sutter, Tehama, and Yuba

Cities: Biggs, Chico, Corning, Gridley, Lincoln (P), Live Oak, Marysville, Orland, Oroville, Red Bluff, Tehama, Wheatland, Willows, Yuba City, and the town of Paradise

AD 04 - Democrat vs. Republican

Cecilia Aguiar-Curry (D*) - Assemblymember/Farmer - 65.8% ✔️

Darren Ellis (R) - Doctoral student - 34.2%

Primary Results: Aguiar-Curry 99.2%/Ellis .7%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Colusa, Lake, Napa, Sonoma (P), and Yolo

Cities: American Canyon, Calistoga, Clearlake, Colusa, Davis, Lakeport, Napa, Sonoma, St. Helena, West Sacramento, Williams, Winters, Woodland, and Yountville

AD 05 - Democrat vs. Republican

Neva Parker (D) - California Senate Consultant - 38.2%

Joe Patterson (R*) - Assemblymember - 61.8% ✔️

Primary Results: Parker 29.5%/Patterson 58.2%

Leans: Safe Republican

Counties: El Dorado (P), Placer (P), and Sacramento (P)

Cities: Auburn, Lincoln (P), Loomis, Placerville, Rocklin, and Roseville

AD 06 - Democrat vs. Republican (Open)

Maggie Krell (D) - Deputy Attorney General - 64.9% ✔️

Niki Ellis (R) - International Trade Advocate - 35.1%

Incumbent: Kevin McCarty (D) - ran for Sacramento Mayor

Primary Results: Krell 25%/Ellis 14.6%/Romero 14%/Villescaz 13.3%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Sacramento (P)

Cities: Sacramento (P)

AD 07 - Democrat vs. Republican (Competitive/Republican Incumbent)

Porsche Middleton (D) - Citrus Heights Councilmember - 46.3%

Josh Hoover (R*) - Assemblymember - 53.7% ✔️

Primary Results: Hoover 52.7%/Middleton 29.3%/Chalamcheria 18%

Leans: Republican

Counties: Sacramento (P)

Cities: Citrus Heights, Folsom, and Rancho Cordova

Notes: The California Republican Party contributed $206,000 to Hoover's campaign, the second-highest amount spent by the party this year. The turnout gap was less than in many other races, with the registered electorate favoring Democrats by 5.1%, while the voting electorate favored them by 0.7%. In the past, the turnout rate among registered Republicans in presidential elections had typically been around 2% ahead of registered Democrats, and a similar result this year would have produced a voting electorate favoring Democrats by around 4%. Hoover had the funding advantage, raising about $1.3 million, with $232,000 in independent expenditures supporting his campaign, while Middleton raised about $670,000.

AD 08 - Republican vs. Republican (Open)

George Randanovich (R) - Family Business Owner - 47.4%

David Tangipa (R) - Small Business Owner - 52.6% ✔️

Incumbent: Jim Patterson (R) - termed out

Primary Results: Radanovich 36.1%/Tangipa 31.2%/Helsel 29.6%

Leans: Safe Republican

Counties: Calaveras (P), Fresno (P), Inyo, Madera (P), Mariposa, Mono, and Tuolumne

Cities: Angels, Bishop, Clovis (P), Fresno (P), Sonora, and the town of Mammoth Lakes

AD 09 - Republican vs. Independent

Heath Flora (R*) - Parent/Farmer/Assemblyman - 70.4% ✔️

Tami Nobringa (AI) - Retired Advertising Businesswoman - 29.6%

Primary Results: Flora 73.2%/Nobringa 24.4%

Leans: Safe Republican

Counties: Amador (P), Calaveras (P), Sacramento (P), San Joaquin (P), and Stanislaus (P)

Cities: Escalon, Galt, Hughson, Ione, Isleton, Lathrop, Lodi, Manteca, Oakdale, Ripon, Riverbank, and Waterford

AD 10 - Democrat vs. Republican

Stephanie Nguyen (D*) - Assemblymember/Mother - 65.4% ✔️

Vinaya Singh (R) - Retired Application Engineer - 34.6%

Primary Results: Nguyen 67.7%/Singh 32.4%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Sacramento (P)

Cities: Elk Grove and Sacramento (P)

AD 11 - Democrat vs. Republican

Lori D Wilson (D*) - Assemblymember - 57.8% ✔️

Dave Ennis (R) - Professional Civil Engineer - 42.2%

Primary Results: Wilson 50.2%/Ennis 26.1%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Contra Costa (P), Sacramento (P), and Solano

Cities: Benicia, Dixon, Fairfield, Oakley, Rio Vista, Suisun City, Vacaville, and Vallejo

AD 12 - Democrat vs. Republican

Damon Connolly (D*) - Assemblymember - 75.0% ✔️

Andy Poshadley (R) - Winemaker/Business Owner - 25.0%

Primary Results: Connolly 77.5%/Poshadley 12%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Marin, San Francisco (P), and Sonoma (P)

Cities: Belvedere, Cotati, Larkspur, Mill Valley, Novato, Petaluma, Rohnert Park, San Rafael, Santa Rosa (P), Sausalito, and the communities of Corte Madera, Fairfax, Ross, San Anselmo, and Tiburon

AD 13 - Democrat vs. Republican (Open)

Rhodesia Ransom (D) - Business Owner/Mother - 55.4% ✔️

Denis Aguilar Mendez (R) - Non-Profit Director - 44.6%

Incumbent: Carlos Villapudua (D) - lost bid for reelection in the primary

Primary Results: Ransom 41.%/Aguilar Mendez 37.9%/Villapudua 20.5%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: San Joaquin (P)

Cities: Stockton and Tracy

AD 14 - Democrat vs. Democrat

Buffy Wicks (D*) - Assemblymember/Mom - 69.4% ✔️

Margot Smith (D) - Retired Social Scientist - 30.6%

Primary Results: Wicks 73.5%/Smith 17.1%/Utkarsh Jain 9.4%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Alameda (P) and Contra Costa (P)

Cities: Albany, Berkeley, El Cerrito, Hercules, Oakland (P), Piedmont, Pinole, Richmond, and San Pablo

Notes: Although this race is Dem vs. Dem, it has been a quiet one, with little fundraising. This may be partially due to Wicks’ opponent being 94 years old.

AD 15 - Democrat vs. Republican (Open)

Anamarie Avila Farias (D) - Contra Costa County Board of Education Trustee - 63.4% ✔️

Sonia Ledo (R) - Businesswoman - 36.6%

Incumbent: Tim Grayson (D) - ran for SD 09

Primary Results: Ledo 31.9%/Avila Farias 30.4%/Wilson 25.5%/Mitchoff 12.3%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Contra Costa (P)

Cities: Antioch, Brentwood, Clayton, Concord, Martinez, Pittsburg, Pleasant Hill, and Walnut Creek (P)

AD 16 - Democrat vs. Republican

Rebecca Bauer-Kahan (D*) - Assemblymember/Mother - 63.5% ✔️

Joseph Rubay (R) - Business Principal/Father - 36.5%

Primary Results: Bauer-Kahan 65.5%/Rubay 34.5%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Alameda (P) and Contra Costa (P)

Cities: Lafayette, Livermore, Orinda, San Ramon, and the towns of Danville and Moraga

AD 17 - Democrat vs. Republican

Matt Haney (D*) - Assemblymember - 83.9% ✔️

Manuel Noris-Barrera (R) - Real Estate Businessman - 16.1%

Primary Results: Haney 81.9%/Noris-Barrera 12.5%/Duke 5.6%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: San Francisco (P)

Cities: San Francisco (P)

AD 18 - Democrat vs. Independent

Mia Bonta (D*) - Assemblymember - 77.9% ✔️

Andre Sandford (AI) - Housing Program Manager - 22.1%

Primary Results: Bonta 84.9%/Sandford 5.3%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Alameda (P) and San Francisco (P)

Cities: Alameda, Emeryville, Oakland (P), and San Francisco (P)

AD 19 - Democrat vs. Democrat (Open)

Catherine Stefani (D) - County Supervisor - 61.3% ✔️

David Lee (D) - Educator - 38.7%

Incumbent: Phil Ting (D) - termed out

Primary Results: Stefani 57%/Lee 29%/Flamenco 7.3%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: San Francisco (P) and San Mateo (P)

Cities: Daly City, San Bruno (P), San Francisco (P), South San Francisco (P), and the town of Colma

AD 20 - Democrat vs. Republican

Liz Ortega (D*) - Assemblymember - 68.4% ✔️

Sangeetha Shanbhogue (R) - No Designation - 31.6%

Primary Results: Ortega 99.3%/Shanbhogue .5%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Alameda (P)

Cities: Dublin (P), Hayward, Pleasanton (P), San Leandro, and Union City

AD 21 - Democrat vs. Republican

Diane Papan (D*) - Assemblymember - 72.2% ✔️

Mark Gilham (R) - Small Business Owner - 27.8%

Primary Results: Papan 75.3%/Gilham 24.7%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: San Mateo (P)

Cities: Atherton (P), Belmont, Brisbane, Burlingame, East Palo Alto, Foster City, Menlo Park (P), Millbrae, Redwood City, San Bruno (P), San Carlos, San Mateo, South San Francisco (P), and the town of Hillsborough

AD 22 - Democrat vs. Republican

Jessica Seif (D) - Child Advocate/Businesswoman - 43.0%

Juan Alanis (R- Incumbent) - Assemblymember - 57.0% ✔️

Primary Results: Alanis 57.6%/Seif 42.4%

Leans: Toss Up

Counties: Merced (P) and Stanislaus (P)

Cities: Ceres, Gustine, Modesto, Newman, Patterson, and Turlock

Notes: This race was a rematch between Alanis and Self. In 2022, voter turnout was 11% higher for Republicans in this district than for Democrats. This race was down ballot from CD 13, which may have helped with voter turnout. Democrats had about a 6% voter registration advantage in this district. Alanis raised about $1 million to Self’s $200,000.

AD 23 - Democrat vs. Democrat

Marc Berman (D*) - Assemblymember - 61.0% ✔️

Lydia Kou (D) - Palo Alto Mayor - 39.0%

Primary Results: Berman 57.4%/Kou 20.3%/Mattammal 11.4%/Marson 11%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: San Mateo (P) and Santa Clara (P)

Cities: Campbell, Half Moon Bay, Los Altos, Menlo Park (P), Mountain View, Pacifica, Palo Alto, San Jose (P), Saratoga, and the towns of Atherton (P), Los Altos Hills, Portola Valley, and Woodside

AD 24 - Democrat vs. Republican

Alex Lee (D*) - State Assemblymember - 63.0% ✔️

Bob Brunton (R) - Small Business Owner - 37.0%

Primary Results: Lee 68.3%/Brunton 22.4%/Souza 9.2%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Alameda (P) and Santa Clara (P)

Cities: Fremont, Milpitas, Newark, and San Jose (P)

AD 25 - Democrat vs. Republican

Ash Kalra (D*) - Assemblymember - 65.4% ✔️

Ted Stroll (R) - Retired Appellate Attorney - 34.6%

Primary Results: Kalra 51.5%/Stroll 26.2%/Ngo 22.3%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Santa Clara (P)

Cities: San Jose (P)

AD 26 - Democrat vs. Democrat (Open)

Patrick Ahrens (D) - Foothill de Anza Governing Board Member - 58.0% ✔️

Tara Sreekrishnan (D) - Santa Clara County School Board Member - 42.0%

Incumbent: Evan Low (D) - running for CD 16

Primary Results: Ahrens 34.4%/Sreekrishnan 26.9%/Song 21.9%/Din 12%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Santa Clara (P)

Cities: Cupertino, San Jose (P), Santa Clara, and Sunnyvale

Notes: Assemblymember Evan Low’s bid for the open Congressional District (CD) 16 left his Santa Clara County-area Assembly seat vacant, leading to a contest between two Democrats: Patrick Ahrens, Low’s district director, and Tara Sreekrishnan, a staffer for Sen. Dave Cortese. Both candidates raised around $1 million, but independent expenditures added $3.7 million to the race. Santa Clara Forward, a PAC supporting Ahrens backed by healthcare and tech groups, spent $996,962 on his behalf. Meanwhile, Nurses and Educators, a PAC supporting Sreekrishnan and funded by labor and community groups, invested $884,420 in her campaign and $330,257 on attack ads against Ahrens. Sreekrishnan recently made headlines when an incident from 2019 resurfaced with a video of her egging a vehicle and residence.

AD 27 - Democrat vs. Republican (Competitive/Incumbent Democrat)

Joanna Garcia Rose (R) - Auditor/Mother - 47.7%

Esmeralda Soria (D*) - Assemblymember - 52.3% ✔️

Primary Results: Soria 49.1%/Garcia Rose 50.9%

Leans: Democratic

Counties: Fresno (P), Madera (P), and Merced (P)

Cities: Atwater, Chowchilla, Coalinga, Dos Palos, Firebaugh, Fresno (P), Huron, Kerman, Livingston, Los Banos, Madera, Mendota, Merced, and San Joaquin

Notes: The March primary reflected a substantial turnout disparity, with 43% of Republicans turning out and only 27% of Democrats. Because the AD 27 race is down ballot from CD 13, which has seen more than $16 million in independent expenditures, turnout rates are likely to be much closer. There is a wide funding discrepancy between Soria and Rose, with Soria having raised about $4 million and Rose almost $1 million. Independent expenditure committees have contributed about $800,000 in support of Soria and $163,000 in opposition to Rose. Rose has benefited from $20,000 in independent expenditure support from Chris Rufer, a tomato processing and packaging company owner who frequently contributes to Libertarian and Libertarian adjacent candidates.

AD 28 - Democrat vs. Republican

Liz Lawler (R) - Retired Monte Sereno Mayor - 33.5%

Gail Pellerin (D*) - Assemblymember - 66.5% ✔️

Primary Results: Pellerin 69.2%/Lawler 30.8%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Santa Clara (P) and Santa Cruz (P)

Cities: Monte Sereno, Morgan Hill, San Jose (P), Santa Cruz, Scotts Valley, and the town of Los Gatos

AD 29 - Democrat vs. Republican

J.W. Paine (R) - Teamster Truck Driver - 35.7%

Robert Rivas (D*) - Assemblymember - 64.3% ✔️

Primary Results: Rivas 64.8%/Paine 35.2%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Monterey (P), San Benito, Santa Clara (P), and Santa Cruz (P)

Cities: Gilroy, Gonzales, Greenfield, Hollister, King City, Salinas, San Juan Bautista, Soledad, and Watsonville (P)

AD 30 - Democrat vs. Republican

Dalila Epperson (R) - Broadcast Journalist/Mom - 36.0%

Dawn Addis (D*) - State Assemblymember/Teacher - 64.0% ✔️

Primary Results: Addis 62.9%/Epperson 37.1%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Monterey (P), San Luis Obispo (P), and Santa Cruz (P)

Cities: Arroyo Grande, Atascadero, Capitola, Carmel-by-the-Sea, Del Rey Oaks, El Paso de Robles (Paso Robles), Monterey, Grover Beach, Marina, Morro Bay, Pacific Grove, Pismo Beach, San Luis Obispo, Sand City, Seaside, and Watsonville

AD 31 - Democrat vs. Republican

Joaquin Arambula (D*) - Doctor/Assemblymember - 57.9% ✔️

Solomon Verduzco (R) - Student - 42.1%

Primary Results: Arambula 60%/Verduzco 40%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Fresno (P)

Cities: Clovis (P), Fowler, Orange Cove, Parlier, Reedley (P), Sanger, Fresno (P), and Selma

AD 32 - Open vs. Republican (Open)

Vince Fong (R*) - Central Valley Assemblymember - 59.3% ✔️

Ken Weir (R) - No Designation - 40.7%

Incumbent: Vacant

Primary Results: Fong 82.4%/Weir 15.9%/Wood 1%

Leans: Safe Republican

Counties: Kern (P) and Tulare (P)

Cities: Bakersfield (P), Exeter, Maricopa, Ridgecrest, Taft, Tehachapi, and Visalia (P)

Notes: Incumbent Republican Vince Fong secured re-election in his safe Republican district without opposition before an unexpected congressional race opened. Initially unopposed for AD 32, Fong reversed his plans and entered the CD 20 race following Rep. Kevin McCarthy’s resignation announcement. Despite election code restrictions, a judge allowed Fong to remain on both ballots after a legal challenge. Fong won 82.4% in the AD 32 primary, with GOP Bakersfield Councilman Ken Weir securing the second spot as a write-in candidate. Fong also advanced in both CD 20 primaries and was elected to Congress in May. If he wins both races in November, AD 32 will be vacated, triggering a 2025 special election. AB 1784 (Pellerin), was signed by the governor in September clarifying that state law prohibits a person from running for more than one office at a primary election. It also allows a person who has filed to be a candidate at a primary election, other than a candidate for statewide office, to withdraw that candidacy until the filing deadline for that office.

AD 33 - Republican vs. Republican (Open)

Alexandra Macedo (R) - Small Business Owner - 62.9% ✔️

Xavier Avila (R) - Dairyman/Healthcare Official - 37.1%

Incumbent: Devon Mathis (R), opted not to run again

Primary Results: Macedo 44.1%/Avila 23.5%/Macareno 15.2%/Ruiz 12.5%

Leans: Safe Republican

Counties: Fresno (P), Kings, and Tulare (P)

Cities: Avenal, Corcoran, Dinuba, Farmersville, Hanford, Kingsburg, Lemoore, Lindsay, Porterville, Reedley (P), Tulare, Visalia (P), and Woodlake

AD 34 - Democrat vs. Republican

Tom Lackey (R*) - Assemblymember - 62.1% ✔️

Ricardo Ortega (D) - Los Angeles County Commissioner - 37.9%

Primary Results: Lackey 66.1%/Ortega 33.9%

Leans: Safe Republican

Counties: Kern (P), Los Angeles (P), and San Bernardino (P)

Cities: Adelanto (P), Barstow, Big Bear Lake, California City, Hesperia (P), Highland (P), Lancaster (P), Palmdale (P), Twentynine Palms, Victorville (P), and the town of Apple Valley

AD 35 - Democrat vs. Republican

Jasmeet Bains (D*) - Family Doctor/Assemblymember - 56.2% ✔️

Robert Rosas (R) - Electrical Technician/Businessman - 43.8%

Primary Results: Bains 57%/Rosas 43%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Kern (P)

Cities: Arvin, Bakersfield (P), Delano, McFarland, Shafter, and Wasco

AD 36 - Democrat vs. Republican (Competitive)

Joe “Joey” Acuña Jr. (D) - School Board Member - 49.0%

Jeff Gonzalez (R) - Certified Financial Planner - 51.0% LEADING

Incumbent: Eduardo Garcia (D) - opted not to run

Primary Results: Gonzalez 35.1%/Acuna 19.9%/Edgard Garcia 12.8%/Morse 11.3%

Leans: Democratic

Counties: Imperial, Riverside (P), and San Bernardino (P)

Cities: Blythe, Brawley, Calexico, Calipatria, Coachella, El Centro, Hemet (P), Holtville, Imperial, Indio, Needles, and Westmorland

Notes: Incumbent Democrat Assemblymember Eduardo Garcia’s last-minute decision not to run left this Democratic-leaning district open. Republicans attempted to turn this blue seat red by funding two Republicans in the primary. Although unsuccessful, Republicans turned out in the primary in much higher numbers than Democrats, with over 40% of registered Republicans casting a vote versus just under 28% of Democrats. Democrats have a 16% registration advantage in this district, however, mail in ballots are still reflecting a higher Republican voter turnout. Acuña has the funding advantage, having raised about $1.7 million to Gonzalez’ $1.2 million. However, this race remains too close to call.

AD 37 - Democrat vs. Republican

Gregg Hart (D*) - Assemblymember - 60.9% ✔️

Sari Domingues (R) - Retired Business Analyst - 39.1%

Primary Results: Hart 60.4%/Domingues 39.6%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: San Luis Obispo (P) and Santa Barbara

Cities: Buellton, Carpinteria, Goleta, Guadalupe, Lompoc, Santa Barbara, Santa Maria, and Solvang

AD 38 - Democrat vs. Republican

Steve Bennett (D*) - Assemblymember - 61.5% ✔️

Deborah “Deb” Baber (R) - Retired Publishing Executive - 38.5%

Primary Results: Bennett 61.6%/Baber 38.4%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Ventura (P)

Cities: Camarillo (P), Fillmore, Ojai, Oxnard, Port Hueneme, San Buenaventura (Ventura), and Santa Paula

AD 39 - Democrat vs. Republican

Paul Andre Marsh (R) - Community Services Liaison - 43.1%

Juan Carrillo (D*) - Assemblymember - 56.9% ✔️

Primary Results: Carrillo 53.3%/Marsh 46.7%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P) and San Bernardino (P)

Cities: Adelanto (P), Hesperia (P), Lancaster (P), Palmdale (P), and Victorville (P)

AD 40 - Democrat vs. Republican (Competitive/Incumbent Democrat)

Patrick Lee Gipson (R) - Educator - 49.3%

Pilar Schiavo (D*) - Assemblymember - 50.7% - LEADING

Primary Results: Schiavo 50.2%/Gipson 49.8%

Leans: Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Santa Clarita

Notes: Schiavo flipped this seat in 2022, defeating incumbent Republican Assemblywoman Suzette Valladares by 522 votes after redistricting resulted in an increase in the Democratic registration advantage from 5% to 13%. Valladares is running for SD 23 this election cycle. Schiavo won this year’s primary by 521 votes ahead of Gipson, with a turnout of about 47% of Republicans versus 37% of Democrats. Schiavo has raised $2.1 million and Gipson $281,500. $57,000 in independent expenditures has been spent on Schiavo’s campaign and $178,000 against Gipson’s. However, this race remains too close to call.

AD 41 - Democrat vs. Republican (Open)

Michelle Del Rosario Martinez (R) - Community Volunteer - 41.2%

John Harabedian (D) - California State Board President - 58.8% ✔️

Incumbent: Chris R. Holden (D)

Primary Results: Del Rosario Martinez 39.8%/Harabedian 29.7%/Riddle 15.5%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P) and San Bernardino (P)

Cities: Bradbury, Claremont, Duarte (P), Hesperia (P), La Cañada Flintridge, La Verne, Monrovia (P), Pasadena, Rancho Cucamonga (P), San Dimas, Sierra Madre, and Upland (P)

AD 42 - Democrat vs. Republican

Jacqui Irwin (D*) - Assemblymember - 53.5% ✔️

Ted Nordblum (R) - Local Small Businessman - 46.5%

Primary Results: Irwin 54.5%/Nordblum 45.5%

Leans: Strong Democratic, not entirely safe

Counties: Los Angeles (P) and Ventura (P)

Cities: Agoura Hills, Calabasas, Camarillo (P), Hidden Hills, Los Angeles (P), Malibu, Moorpark, Simi Valley, Thousand Oaks, and Westlake Village

AD 43 - Democrat vs. Republican (Open)

Celeste Rodriguez (D) - San Fernando Mayor - 63.9% ✔️

Victoria Garcia (R) - Commissioner/Attorney/Mother - 36.1%

Incumbent: Luz Rivas (D) - successfully ran CD 29

Primary Results: Rodriguez 43.5%/Victoria Garcia 23.5%/Walter Garcia 17.1%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Los Angeles (P) and San Fernando

AD 44 - Democrat vs. Republican (Open)

Nick Schultz (D) - Deputy Attorney General - 64.6% ✔️

Tony Rodriguez (R) - Construction Regional Manager - 35.4%

Incumbent: Laura Friedman (D) - successfully ran for CD 30

Primary Results: Schultz 28.3%/Rodriguez 25.7%/Han 16%/Asatryan 13.3%/Pierson 7.72%/Helligar 5.61%/Summer 2.02%/Pryor 1.42%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Burbank, Glendale (P), and San Fernando Valley (P)

AD 45 - Democrat vs. Republican

James Ramos (D*) - Assemblymember/Business Owner - 62.3% ✔️

Scott P. Olson (R) - No Designation - 37.7%

Primary Results: Ramos 99%/Olson 1%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: San Bernardino (P)

Cities: Fontana (P), Highland (P), Rancho Cucamonga (P), Redlands (P), Rialto (P), and San Bernardino (P)

AD 46 - Democrat vs. Republican

Jesse Gabriel (D*) - Assemblymember - 60.7% ✔️

Tracey Schroeder (R) - Teacher - 39.3%

Primary Results: Gabriel 65.5%/Schroeder 34.5%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P) and Ventura (P)

Cities: Los Angeles (P)

AD 47 - Democrat vs. Republican (Competitive/Incumbent Republican)

Christy Holstege (D) - Councilwoman/Businesswoman - 50.4% - LEADING

Greg Wallis (R*) - Assemblymember - 49.6%

Primary Results: Wallis 48.6%/Holstege 46.4%/Swain 5.1%

Leans: Toss Up

Counties: Riverside (P) and San Bernardino (P)

Cities: Banning, Beaumont, Calimesa, Cathedral City, Desert Hot Springs, Highland (P), Indian Wells, La Quinta, Palm Desert, Palm Springs, Rancho Mirage, Redlands (P), San Jacinto (P), Yucaipa, and the town of Yucca Valley

Notes: This Inland Empire race is a high-stakes rematch between Republican incumbent Assemblymember Greg Wallis and Palm Springs City Councilmember, Democrat Christy Holstege, who Wallis narrowly defeated in 2022 by just 85 votes. The district now ranks as the #4 target for the California Republican Party and #6 for California Democratic Party. In this year’s primary, Republicans turned out slightly more than Democrats (48% vs. 44%), narrowing the Democratic registration advantage from 6.1% to 3.8%, although Democratic candidates still outpolled Wallis 51.5% to 48.5%. Both candidates have raised substantial funds, with Wallis bringing in approximately $2.2 million compared to Holstege’s $3 million. Independent expenditures have shifted in Wallis’s favor since 2022, providing $1.28 million of the $1.58 million spent in the race, with $605,000 supporting his campaign and $678,000 in opposition to Holstege. Holstege has received about $300,000 in outside support, predominantly from labor unions, LGBTQ+ advocacy groups, and progressive donors. Wallis’s backers include the California Republican Party, law enforcement groups, and business interests. The influx of funding and key endorsements from both state and county party committees underscore the fierce partisan battle in this swing district, with turnout dynamics and independent expenditures poised to shape the outcome. As of this writing, this race remains too close to call.

AD 48 - Democrat vs. Republican

Blanca Rubio (D*) - Assemblymember/Teacher - 58.6% ✔️

Dan T. Tran (R) - Real Estate Businessman - 41.4%

Primary Results: Rubio 41.4%/Tran 39.5%/Tabatabai 19.1%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Azusa, Baldwin Park, Covina, Duarte (P), Glendora, Irwindale, Monrovia (P), and West Covina

AD 49 - Democrat vs. Republican

Mike Fong (D*) - Assemblymember - 59.5% ✔️

Long “David” Liu (R) - Father/Attorney/Businessman - 40.5%

Primary Results: Fong 64%/Liu 36%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles County (P)

Cities: Alhambra, Arcadia, El Monte (P), Monterey, Rosemead, San Gabriel, San Marino, South Pasadena, and Temple City

AD 50 - Democrat vs. Democrat (Open)

Robert Garcia (D) - Etiwanda School District Governing Board Member - 55.6% ✔️

Adam Perez (D) - Detective/School Board Member - 44.4%

Incumbent: Eloise Gómez Reyes (D) - successfully ran for SD 29

Primary Results: Garcia 42.3%/Perez 29.3%/Shaw 28.4%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: San Bernardino (P)

Cities: Colton, Fontana (P), Loma Linda, Ontario (P), Rancho Cucamonga (P), Redlands (P), Rialto (P), and San Bernardino (P)

Notes: The absence of a Republican on the primary ballot contributed to an undervote in this race, with more than 25% of voters taking a pass. Labor groups backed Garcia and business groups Perez. An influx of independent expenditure dollars appeared to be designed to persuade Republican voters to vote for Perez as the more moderate option. The fossil fuel industry has been supporting Perez, significant because in 2016, Eloise Reyes unseated incumbent Democrat Cheryl Brown, whose support from the fossil fuel industry was attacked. The industry has contributed about $600,000 to support Perez this year. Total independent expenditures have included $2.88 million in support of Perez and in opposition to Garcia, as well as $696,000 in support of Garcia and $576,000 in opposition to Perez.

AD 51 - Democrat vs. Republican

Rick Chavez Zbur (D*) - Assemblymember - 73.5% ✔️

Stephen Hohil (R) - Entrepreneur - 26.5%

Primary Results: Chavez Zbur 78.3%/Hohil 10.9%/Bagheri 10.8%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Beverly Hills, Los Angeles (P), Santa Monica, and West Hollywood

AD 52 - Democrat vs. Democrat (Open)

Frankie Carrillo (D) - Justice Advocate - 32.9%

Jessica Caloza (D) - Women’s Rights Advisor - 67.1% ✔️

Incumbent: Wendy Carrillo (D) - ran an unsuccessful campaign for the Los Angeles City Council to represent Council District 14

Primary Results: Caloza 29.8%/Carrillo 26.2%/Sills 12.84%/Giron 11.87%/Ruiz 7.43%/Leon 3.35%/Coronado 3.29%/Quinones 2.65%/Pittman (Grn) 1.48%/Libertino Fanara 1.26%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Glendale (P) and Los Angeles (P)

Notes: Jessica Caloza has a substantial financial advantage, raising $1.54 million to Frankie Carrillo’s $762,000. Caloza’s endorsements include the California Democratic Party,Attorney General Rob Bonta, and SEIU. Carrillo has been endorsed by Assemblymembers Juan Carrillo, Wendy Carrillo, and Luz Rivas; LA DA George Gascon; and the California Latino Legislative Caucus. Carrillo served 20 years in prison after being falsely convicted of murder at the age of 16 in a 1991 shooting. He was exonerated and his conviction was overturned in 2011 after multiple witnesses recanted their testimony. Upon his release, he sued L.A. County and a number of sheriff's deputies over civil rights violations and received a $10.1 million settlement.

AD 53 - Democrat vs. Republican (Open)

Michelle Rodriguez (D) - Public Safety Commissioner - 55.7% ✔️

Nick Wilson (R) - Law Enforcement Educator - 44.3%

Incumbent: Freddie Rodriguez (D), who termed out/spouse of candidate Michelle Rodriguez

Primary Results: Wilson 43%/Rodriguez 20.2%/Torres 16.6%/Hernandez 15.7%/Goytia 4%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P) and San Bernardino (P)

Cities: Chino (P), Montclair, Ontario (P), Pomona, and Upland (P)

AD 54 - Democrat vs. Democrat (Open)

Mark Gonzalez (D) - District Director/Caregiver - 56.6% ✔️

John Yi (D) - Public Transit Advocate - 43.4%

Incumbent: Miguel Santiago (D) - opted to run for L.A. City Council, but was unsuccessful

Primary Results: Gonzalez 45.2%/Yi 34.5%/Alaniz 20.3%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Commerce, Los Angeles (P), Montebello, and Vernon

Notes: This safe Democratic, majority-Latino district in Los Angeles County also included sizable Asian communities in Koreatown, Chinatown, and Little Tokyo. Incumbent Democrat Miguel Santiago, eligible for another term, opted instead to run for an L.A. city council seat held by Kevin de Leon but failed to advance past the primary. Nonprofit executive John Yi filed before Santiago’s announcement, while Mark Gonzalez, Santiago’s district director and chair of the L.A. Democratic Party, entered later and quickly took a considerable fundraising lead. Republican Elaine Alaniz, a neighborhood council president, also qualified. Pre-primary fundraising showed Gonzalez well ahead with over $900,000, compared to $86,000 for Yi and $5,000 for Alaniz. Limited outside spending included $50,000 from CA Commerce Club’s Citizens and Communities for Fair Government for Gonzalez. For the general election, Gonzalez was favored, backed by nearly $200,000 from Opportunity PAC and Families & Teachers United, along with $110,000 from Tomorrow California PAC. However, AD54 had the potential to become a competitive race if similar dynamics played out.

AD 55 - Democrat vs. Republican

Isaac Bryan (D*) - Assemblymember - 79.5% ✔️

Keith Cascio (R) - Software Developer - 20.5%

Primary Results: Bryan 83.9%/Cascio 16.1%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Culver City and Los Angeles (P)

AD 56 - Democrat vs. Republican

Lisa Calderon (D*) - Assemblymember/Mom - 54.0% ✔️

Jessica Martinez (R) - Whittier City Councilmember - 46.0%

Primary Results: Calderon 56.4%/Martinez 32.1%/Serrano 11.5%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Diamond Bar, El Monte (P), Industry, La Habra Heights, La Puente, Pico Rivera, South El Monte, Walnut, and Whittier

AD 57 - Democrat vs. Democrat (Open)

Efren Martinez (D) - Education Commissioner - 41.4%

Sade Elhawary (D) - Educator - 58.6% ✔️

Incumbent: Reggie Jones-Sawyer (D) - termed out

Primary Results: Martinez 32.7%/Elhawary 31.1.%/Vasquez 13.4%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Los Angeles (P)

Notes: This safe Democratic, majority-Latino district saw incumbent Democrat Reggie Jones-Sawyer term out in 2024, with five Democrats vying for the seat. The top vote-getters were Efren Martinez, an education commissioner and businessman, and Sade Elhawary, a community organizer backed by Black Los Angeles Young Democrats. Outside groups spent close to $2.1 million in the primary, divided almost evenly between the two candidates. In the general, Martinez received $275,000 from the Coalition to Restore California’s Middle Class and $225,000 from Integrity California, with We Are One LA contributing another $113,000. Elhawary’s support included $500,000 from unions, $306,000 from Uber Innovation PAC, and $262,000 from California Alliance, while pro-Elhawary PACs spent over $1 million on anti-Martinez efforts. With Martinez aligned with business and law enforcement and Elhawary backed by labor and progressive groups, the race turned into a costly showdown, with Elhawary poised to win.

AD 58 - Democrat vs. Republican (Open)

Clarissa Cervantes (D) - Councilmember/Businesswoman/Mother - 49.4%

Leticia Castillo (R) - Licensed Psychotherapist - 50.6% - LEADING

Incumbent: Sabrina Cervantes (D), who successfully ran for SD 31

Primary Results: Castillo 48.6%/Cervantes 25.9%/Fierro 25.5%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Riverside (P) and San Bernardino (P)

Cities: Corona (P), Eastvale (P), Grand Terrace, Jurupa Valley, and Riverside (P)

AD 59 - Democrat vs. Republican

Dave Obrand (D) - Deputy County Counsel - 37.9%

Phillip Chen (R*) - Assemblyman/Business Owner - 62.1% ✔️

Primary Results: Chen 63.8%/Obrand 36.2%

Leans: Safe Republican

Counties: Orange (P) and San Bernardino (P)

Cities: Anaheim (P), Brea, Chino (P), Chino Hills, Fullerton (P), Orange (P), Placentia, Villa Park, and Yorba Linda

AD 60 - Democrat vs. Republican

Corey Jackson (D*) - Assemblymember - 54.5% ✔️

Ron Edwards (R) - Small Business Owner - 45.5%

Primary Results: Jackson 51.8%/Edwards 27.1%/Diaz Nava 21.1%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Riverside (P)

Cities: Hemet (P), Moreno Valley, Perris, Riverside (P), and San Jacinto (P)

AD 61 - Democrat vs. Republican

Tina McKinnor (D*) - State Assemblymember - 75.1% ✔️

Alfonso Hernandez (R) - Restauranteur/Coach/Councilmember - 24.9%

Primary Results: McKinnor 79.5%/Hernandez 20.5%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Gardena (P), Hawthorne, Inglewood, Lawndale, and Los Angeles (P)

AD 62 - Democrat vs. Republican (Open)

Jose Luis Solache (D) - Mayor/Non Profit Director - 62.7% ✔️

Paul Jones (R) - Retired Combat Marine - 37.3%

Incumbent: Anthony Rendon (D) - termed out

Primary Results: Solache 41.4%/Jones 34.4%/Estrada 24.2%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Bellflower, Huntington Park, Lakewood, Lynwood, Maywood, Paramount, and South Gate

AD 63 - Democrat vs. Republican

Bill Essayli (R*) - Assemblymember - 57.6% ✔️

Chris Shoults (D) - Educator - 42.4%

Primary Results: Essayli 60.5%/Shoults 36.4%/Munguia 3%

Leans: Safe Republican

Counties: Riverside (P)

Cities: Canyon Lake, Corona (P), Eastvale (P), Lake Elsinore, Menifee, Norco, and Riverside (P)

AD 64 - Democrat vs. Republican

Blanca Pacheco (D*) - Assemblymember - 58.7% ✔️

Raul Ortiz Jr. (R) - Pest Control Manager - 41.3%

Primary Results: Pacheco 58.3%/Ortiz Jr. 41.7%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P) and Orange (P)

Cities: Bell, Bell Gardens, Cudahy, Downey, La Habra, La Mirada, Norwalk, and Santa Fe Springs

AD 65 - Democrat vs. Republican

Mike Gipson (D*) - Assemblymember - 69.0% ✔️

Lydia Gutierrez (R) - No Designation - 31.0%

Primary Results: Gipson 99.6%/Gutierrez .4%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Carson (P), Compton, Long Beach (P), and Los Angeles (P)

AD 66 - Democrat vs. Republican

Al Muratsuchi (D*) - Assemblymember - 58.3% ✔️

George Barks (R) - Business Owner - 41.7%

Primary Results: Muratsuchi 59.1%/Barks 40.9%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: El Segundo, Gardena (P), Hermosa Beach, Lomita, Los Angeles (P), Manhattan Beach, Palos Verdes Estates, Rancho Palos Verdes, Redondo Beach, Rolling Hills Estates, Rolling Hills, and Torrance

AD 67 - Democrat vs. Republican

Sharon Quirk-Silva (D*) - Assemblymember - 54.1% ✔️

Elizabeth “Beth” Culver (R) - Retired Entrepreneur - 45.9%

Primary Results: Quirk-Silva 52.4%/Culver 41%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P) and Orange (P)

Cities: Anaheim (P), Artesia, Buena Park, Cerritos, Cypress, Fullerton (P), Hawaiian Gardens, and La Palma

AD 68 - Democrat vs. Republican

Avelino Valencia (D*) - Assemblymember - 60.1% ✔️

Mike Tardiff (R) - Retired Businessman - 39.9%

Primary Results: Valencia 58.8%/Tardiff 41.2%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Orange (P)

Cities: Anaheim (P), Orange (P), and Santa Ana (P)

AD 69 - Democrat vs. Republican

Josh Lowenthal (D*) - Business Owner/Assemblymember - 66.2% ✔️

Joshua Rodriguez (R) - Police Officer/Father - 33.8%

Primary Results: Lowenthal 68%/Rodriguez 32%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Avalon, Carson (P), Long Beach (P), and Signal Hill

AD 70 - Democrat vs. Republican (Competitive/Republican Incumbent)

Jimmy Pham (D) - Attorney/Business Owner - 42.8%

Tri Ta (R*) - Assemblymember - 57.2% ✔️

Primary Results: Ta 59.5%/Pham 40.5%

Leans: Strong Republican

Counties: Orange County (P)

Cities: Fountain Valley, Garden Grove, Huntington Beach (P), Los Alamitos, Santa Ana (P), Seal Beach (P), Stanton, and Westminster

Notes: In the primary the electorate had a conservative lean, with 30.9% turnout among registered Democrats and 45.6% turnout among registered Republicans. Ta has raised about $700,000 and Pham $200,000 with independent expenditure committees kicking in $30,600 in support of Ta. About 75% of AD 70 voters are down ballot from the CD 45 race between Michelle Steel and Democrat Derek Tran, a hotly contested matchup which may bring more voters to the polls.

AD 71 - Democrat vs. Republican

Kate Sanchez (R*) - Assemblymember - 61.6% ✔️

Gary Kephart (D) - Software Engineer - 38.4%

Primary Results: Sanchez 63.1%/Kephart 34.2%

Leans: Safe Republican

Counties: Orange (P) and Riverside (P)

Cities: Mission Viejo, Murrieta, Rancho Santa Margarita, Temecula, and Wildomar

AD 72 - Democrat vs. Republican

Dom Jones (D) - Businesswoman/TV Personality - 39.6%

Diane Dixon (R*) - Assemblymember - 60.4% ✔️

Primary Results: Dixon 60.9%/Jones 39.1%

Leans: Republican

Counties: Orange (P)

Cities: Aliso Viejo, Huntington Beach (P), Laguna Beach, Laguna Hills, Laguna Woods, Lake Forest, Newport Beach, and Seal Beach (P)

AD 73 - Democrat vs. Republican

Cottie Petrie-Norris (D*) - Assemblymember - 54.9% ✔️

Scotty Peotter (R) - Architect/Small Businessman - 45.1%

Primary Results: Petrie-Norris 56.1%/Peotter 30.5%/Abraham 13.4%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Orange (P)

Cities: Costa Mesa, Irvine, and Tustin (P)

AD 74 - Democrat vs. Republican (Competitive/Republican Incumbent)

Laurie Davies (R*) - Assemblymember/Business owner - 52.6% ✔️

Chris Duncan (D) - San Clemente Mayor - 47.4%

Primary Results: Davies 55.4%/Duncan 44.6%

Leans: Republican

Counties: Orange (P) and San Diego (P)

Cities: Dana Point, Laguna Niguel, Oceanside, San Clemente, San Juan Capistrano, and Vista

Notes: AD 74 is a rematch between Davies and Duncan who ran in 2022, however, this year the race is much more of a target for the Democratic Party. Duncan has raised about $2.57 million with $75,000 in support of his campaign and $123,500 against. Davies has raised about $1.77 million with $168,000 in independent expenditures spent in support of her campaign and $680,000 against. The large amount of spending in opposition to Davies’ campaign stems from her support of SB 549 (Newman, Chapter 860, Statutes of 2024), which allows tribes to sue card rooms for offering card games and poker. Davies district includes Oceanside, home of the Oceans Eleven Casino. The California Cardroom Alliance IE committee has spent $680,000 in television and web ads in opposition to Davies, as well as $68,000 on mailers and polling to support Duncan.

AD 75 - Republican vs. Republican

Carl DeMaio (R) - Small Business Owner - 60.0% ✔️

Andrew Hayes (R) – Small Business Owner - 40.0%

Incumbent: Marie Waldron (R) who is termed out

Primary Results: DeMaio 42.9%/Hayes 18.7%/Juza 18.2%/Dougherty 10%/Frew 7.4%/Fernandes 2.8%

Leans: Safe Republican

Counties: San Diego (P)

Cities: Poway, San Diego (P), and Santee

Notes: DeMaio has a strong financial advantage, having raised $2.91 million to Hayes’ $1.26 million, however, the Professional Firefighters have contributed $1.3 million in opposition to DeMaio’s campaign and an assortment of entities have contributed $824,000 in support of Hayes’ campaign.

AD 76 - Democrat vs. Republican (Competitive/Open)

Darshana Patel (D) - Scientist/School Board Member - 52.3% ✔️

Kristie Bruce-Lane (R) - Businesswoman/Victims Advocate - 47.7%

Incumbent: Brian Maienschein (D) - termed out

Primary Results: Bruce-Lane 49.5%/Patel 34.2%/Rocha 16.4%

Leans: Toss Up

Counties: San Diego (P)

Cities: Escondido, San Diego (P), and San Marcos

Notes: Patel has raised $5.16 million, and has received $452,600 in independent expenditures in support of her campaign. Bruce-Lane has raised $1.67 million, and received $390,000 in independent expenditures in support of her campaign and $135,400 against.

AD 77 - Democrat vs. Republican

Tasha Boerner (D*) - Assemblymember - 59.1% ✔️

James Browne (R) - Entrepreneur/Financial Advisor - 40.9%

Incumbent: Tasha Boerner (D)

Primary Results: Boerner 56.9%/Browne 38.4%/Kupferstein 4.7%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: San Diego (P)

Cities: Carlsbad, Coronado, Del Mar, Encinitas, San Diego (P), and Solana Beach

AD 78 - Democrat (Unchallenged)

Christopher Ward (D*) - Assemblymember ✔️

Primary Results: Ward 100%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: San Diego (P)

Cities: El Cajon (P) and San Diego (P)

AD 79 - Democrat vs. Democrat (Open)

Colin Parent (D) - Councilmember - 47.5%

Lashae Sharp-Collins (D) - County Education Professional - 52.5% ✔️

Incumbent: Dr. Akilah Weber (D) - running for SD 39

Primary Results: Parent 39.6%/Sharp-Collins 30.3%/Vasquez 30.1%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: San Diego (P)

Cities: El Cajon (P), La Mesa, Lemon Grove, and San Diego (P)

Notes: Parent has raised about $1 million to Sharp Collins’ $500,000. 

AD 80 - Democrat vs. Republican

David Alvarez (D*) - Assemblymember - 59.2% ✔️

Michael Williams (R) - Retired Naval Officer - 40.8%

Incumbent: David Alvarez (D)

Primary Results: Alvarez 59.3%/Williams 40.7%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: San Diego (P)

Cities: Chula Vista, Imperial Beach, National City, and San Diego (P)

California State Senate

SD 01- Republican vs. Republican (Open)

Megan Dahle (R) - Farmer/Business Owner - 75.1% ✔️

David Fennell (D) - Entrepreneur - 24.9%

Incumbent: Brian Dahle (R) - termed out

Primary Results: Fennell 22.8%/Dahle 77.2%

Leans: Republican

Counties: Butte, Colusa, Glenn, Lassen, Modoc, Plumas, Shasta, Sierra, Siskiyou, Sutter, Tehama, Yuba, and Nevada (P) and Placer (P)

Cities: Alturas, Anderson, Auburn (P), Biggs, Chico, Colfax, Colusa, Corning, Dorris, Dunsmuir, Etna, Fort Jones, Grass Valley, Gridley, Live Oak, Loyalton, Marysville, Montague, Mount Shasta, Nevada City, Orland, Oroville, Portola, Red Bluff, Redding, Shasta Lake, Susanville, Tehama, Tulelake, Weed, Wheatland, Williams, Willows, Yreka, Yuba City, and the town of Paradise

SD 03 - Democrat vs. Republican

Thom Bogue (R) - City Councilman/Businessman - 38.98%

Christopher Cabaldon (D) - Educator/State Commissioner - 61.02% ✔️

Incumbent: Bill Dodd (D) - termed out

Primary Results: Bogue 27.8%/Cabaldon 26.6%/Verder-Aliga 20.5%/Elward 18.5%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Napa, Solano, Yolo, Contra Costa (P), Sacramento (P), and Sonoma (P)

Cities: American Canyon, Benicia, Brentwood, Calistoga, Cotati, Davis, Dixon, Fairfield, Isleton, Napa, Oakley, Rio Vista, Rohnert Park, St. Helena, Sonoma, Suisun City, Vacaville, Vallejo, West Sacramento, Winters, Woodland, and Yountville

SD 05 - Democrat vs. Republican

Jim McNerney (D) - Policy Advisor - 50.16% - LEADING

Jim Shoemaker (R) - Trucker/Tradesman/Businessman - 49.84%

Incumbent: Susan Talamantes Eggman (D)

Primary Results: Shoemaker 43.7%/McNerney 33.2%/Villapudua 23.1%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: San Joaquin and Alameda (P)

Cities: Dublin, Escalon, Lathrop, Livermore, Lodi, Manteca, Pleasanton, Ripon, Stockton, and Tracy

SD 07- Democrat vs. Democrat (Open)

Jesse Arreguin (D) - Berkeley Mayor - 60.15% ✔️

Jovanka Beckles (D) - AC Transit Director - 39.85%

Incumbent: Open

Primary Results: Arreguin 32.1%/Beckles 17.7%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Contra Costa (P), Alameda (P), and San Francisco (P)

Cities: Alameda, Albany, Berkeley, El Cerrito, Emeryville, Hercules, Oakland, Piedmont, Pinole, Richmond, and San Pablo, and a zero-population portion of the City and County of San Francisco

SD 09 - Democrat vs. Democrat (Open)

Tim Grayson (D) - Assemblymember/Business Owner - 55.20%✔️

Marisol Rubio (D) - Councilmember/Caregiver - 44.80%

Incumbent: Open

Primary Results: Grayson 59.6%/Rubio 40.4%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Contra Costa (P) and Alameda (P)

Cities: Antioch, Clayton, Concord, Lafayette, Martinez, Orinda, Pittsburg, Pleasant Hill, San Leandro, San Ramon, Walnut Creek, and the towns of Danville and Moraga

SD 11 - Democrat vs. Republican

Scott Wiener (D*) - State Senator - 76.73% ✔️

Yvette Corkrean (R) - Registered Nurse/Mother - 23.27%

Primary Results: Wiener 73%/Corkrean 15.1%/Cravens 8.1%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: San Mateo (P) and San Francisco (P)

Cities: Daly City, San Bruno (P), San Francisco (P), South San Francisco (P) and the town of Colma

SD 13 - Democrat vs. Republican

Josh Becker (D*) - California State Senator - 71.25% ✔️

Alexander Glew (R) -Professional Engineer/CEO - 28.75%

Primary Results: Becker 73.6%/Glew 18.8%/Lakowski 7.6%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: San Mateo (P) and Santa Clara (P)

Cities: Belmont, Brisbane, Burlingame, Campbell, Cupertino, East Palo Alto, Foster City, Half Moon Bay, Los Altos, Menlo Park, Millbrae, Monte Sereno, Mountain View, Pacifica, Palo Alto, Redwood City,  San Bruno (P), San Carlos, San Mateo, Saratoga, South San Francisco (P), and the towns of Atherton, Hillsborough, Los Altos Hills, Los Gatos, Portola Valley, and Woodside

SD 15 - Democrat vs. Republican

Dave Cortese (D*) - State Senator - 66.35% ✔️

Robert Paul Howell (R) - Cybersecurity Equipment Manufacture - 33.65%

Primary Results: Dave Cortese 69%/Robert Paul Howell 19%/Tony Loaiza 12%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Santa Clara (P)

Cities: Gilroy, Morgan Hill, and San Jose (P)

SD 17 - Democrat vs. Republican

John Laird (D*) - State Senator - 66.16% ✔️

Tony Virrueta (R) - Veterans Advocate/Father - 33.84%

Primary Results: Laird 64.5%/Virrueta 21.9%/Tao 11.6%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Monterey, San Benito, Santa Cruz and San Luis Obispo County (P)

Cities: Arroyo Grande, Atascadero, Capitola, Carmel-by-the-Sea, Del Rey Oaks, El Paso de Robles (Paso

Robles), Gonzales, Greenfield, Hollister, King City, Marina, Monterey, Morro Bay, Pacific Grove, Pismo Beach, Salinas, Sand City, San Juan Bautista, San Luis Obispo, Santa Cruz, Scotts Valley, Seaside, Soledad, and Watsonville

SD 19 - Democrat vs. Democrat (Competitive/Republican Incumbent)

Rosilicie Ochoa Bogh (R*) - State Senator - 53.14% ✔️

Lisa Middleton (D) - Palm Springs Councilmember - 46.86%

Primary Results: Ochoa Bogh 53.8%/Middleton 46.2%

Leans: Competitive

Counties: Riverside (P) and San Bernardino (P)

Cities: Banning, Barstow, Beaumont, Big Bear Lake, Calimesa, Cathedral City, Colton (P), Desert Hot Springs, Grand Terrace (P), Hemet (P), Highland (P), Indian Wells, La Quinta, Loma Linda (P), Palm Desert, Palm Springs, Rancho Mirage, Redlands (P), Twentynine Palms, and Yucaipa, and the towns of Apple Valley and Yucca Valley

SD 21 - Democrat vs. Republican

Monique Limon (D*) - California State Senator - 62.21% ✔️

Elijah Mack (R) - College Student - 37.79%

Primary Results: Limon 61.9%/Mack 38.1%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Santa Barbara, San Luis Obispo (P) and Ventura (P)

Cities: Buellton, Camarillo, Carpinteria, Fillmore, Goleta, Grover Beach, Guadalupe, Lompoc, Ojai, Oxnard, Port Hueneme, San Buenaventura (Ventura), Santa Barbara, Santa Maria, Santa Paula, and Solvang

SD 23 - Democrat vs. Republican (Competitive/Open)

Suzette Martinez Valladares (R) - Small Business Owner - 53.91% ✔️

Kip Mueller (D) - Workers Rights Attorney - 46.09%

Incumbent: Open

Primary Results: Valladares 32.8%/Mueller 29.4%/Hamburger 23.8%/Gomez 9.2%

Leans: Competitive

Counties: Los Angeles (P) and San Bernardino (P)

Cities: Adelanto, Hesperia, Lancaster, Palmdale, Santa Clarita, and Victorville

Notes: This seat is a top target for both parties with the CA Democratic Party contributing $450,920 to Mueller's campaign, and county party committees chipping in another $500,000. Valladares has received $230,394 in assistance from the CA GOP, currently making it their top race and the top single race for both parties combined. Valladares has raised $1.47 million and Mueller $2.5 million. Valladares served in AD 38 from 2020 until 2022 when she was defeated by Pilar Schiavo. Mueller has faced criticism during the race, with questions about his stated history as a former criminal prosecutor, which was clarified to establish that he spent five months working for the Department of Justice as a legal extern while he was in law school.

SD 25 - Democrat vs. Republican

Sasha Renee Perez (D) - Alhambra Vice Mayor - 57.95% ✔️

Elizabeth Wong Ahlers (R) - Crescenta Valley Councilmember - 42.05%

Incumbent: Anthony Portantino (D) - termed out

Primary Results: Wong Ahlers 35.7%/Renee Perez 32.9%/Yiu 17.5%/Armenta 9.5%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P) and San Bernardino (P)

Cities: Alhambra, Arcadia, Claremont, Glendale, Glendora, La Cañada Flintridge, Monrovia,

Monterey Park, Pasadena, Rancho Cucamonga (P), Rosemead, San Gabriel, San Marino, Sierra Madre, South Pasadena, Temple City, and Upland (P)

SD 27 - Democrat vs. Republican

Henry Stern (D*) - State Senator - 58.36% ✔️

Lucy Volotzky (R) - Mother/Business Owner - 41.64%

Primary Results: Stern 44.1%/Volotzky 38.1%/Collins 17.8%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Ventura (P) and Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Simi Valley, Bell Canyon, Oak Park, Thousand Oaks, Lake Sherwood, Santa Rosa Valley, and Moorpark, Toluca Lake, North Hollywood, Valley Glen, Studio City, Sherman Oaks, Encino,

Tarzana, Woodland Hills, West Hills, Chatsworth, Northridge, Porter Ranch, and Granada Hills

SD 29 - Democrat vs. Republican

Eloise Gomez Reyes (D*) - Assemblymember/Attorney/Businesswoman - 55.24% ✔️

Carlos Garcia (R) - Business Owner - 44.76%

Incumbent: Open - seat changed due to redistricting

Primary Results: Gomez Reyes 45%/Garcia 32%/Torres Hazelton 13%/O’Brien 10%

Leans: Democratic

Counties: San Bernardino County (P)

Cities: Rialto, and San Bernardino, Colton (P), Fontana (P), Grand Terrace (P), Highland (P), Rancho Cucamonga (P), Redlands (P), Upland (P), and a zero-population split of Loma Linda

SD 31 - Democrat vs. Republican

Sabrina Cervantes (D) - California State Assemblymember - 53.37% ✔️

Cynthia Navarro (R) - Educator/Parent/Businesswoman - 46.63%

Incumbent: Richard Roth (D) - termed out

Primary Results: Navarro 45.9%/Cervantes 39.4%/Farooq 14.8%

Leans: Democratic

Counties: Riverside (P) and San Bernardino (P)

Cities: Eastvale, Jurupa Valley, Moreno Valley, Perris, San Jacinto, Corona (P), Fontana (P), Menifee (P), and Riverside (P), and zero-population split of Hemet

SD 33 - Democrat vs. Republican

Lena Gonzalez (D*) - California State Senator - 67.19% ✔️

Mario Paz (R) - Accountant - 32.81%

Primary Results: Gonzalez 68.6%/Paz 17.1%/Hardie 14.4%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Avalon, Bell, Bell Gardens, Commerce, Cudahy, Huntington Park, Lakewood, Long Beach, Lynwood, Maywood, Paramount, Signal Hill, and South Gate

SD 35 - Democrat vs. Democrat (Open)

Laura Richardson (D) - Businesswoman/Housing Advocate - 51.41% ✔️

Michelle Chambers (D) - Community Justice Advocate - 48.59%

Incumbent: Steve Bradford (D) - termed out

Primary Results: Richardson 27.8%/Chambers 24.5%/Spencer 18.8%/Other Candidates 28%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Carson, Compton, Gardena (P), Hawthorne, Inglewood, Lawndale, and Los Angeles (P)

Notes: The primary saw a poor turnout of around 20% in this district, with labor groups backing Chambers, and business groups backing Richardson. Independent expenditures in the general election totaled about $8 million, with Richardson receiving $2.44 million in support and $2.14 million in opposition. Chambers has received $1.7 million in support and $1.46 million in opposition. The campaign has been particularly unseemly with Chambers publishing a website and Richardson’s campaign targeting area Latino leaders assailing Chambers over her alleged use of a racial slur during a closed session city council meeting several years ago.

SD 37 - Democrat vs. Republican (Competitive/Democratic Incumbent)

Josh Newman (D) - State Senator - 47.86%

Steve Choi (R) – Small Business Owner - 52.14%✔️

Incumbent: Dave Min (D) - running for CD 47

Primary Results: Newman 30.1%/Choi 21.7%/Miles 14%/Selleck 10.1%/Mahajer 8.3%

Leans: Competitive

Counties: Orange (P)

Cities: Aliso Viejo, Anaheim (P), Costa Mesa, Fullerton (P), Irvine, Laguna Niguel, Laguna Woods, Lake Forest, Orange (P), Placentia (P), Santa Ana (P), Tustin, Villa Park, and Yorba Linda (P)

SD 39 - SD 33 - Democrat vs. Republican

Akilah Weber (D*) - Assemblymember/Medical Doctor - 60.84% ✔️

Bob Divine (R) - Retired Navy Commander - 39.16%

Incumbent: Toni Atkins (D) - termed out

Primary Results: Weber 60.7%/Divine 39.3%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: San Diego (P)

Cities: Coronado, El Cajon, La Mesa, Lemon Grove, and San Diego (P)

Congressional Race Details

CD 3 - Competitive Race: Republican Incumbent

Kevin Kiley (R*) - Congressman - 57.5% ✔️

Jessica Morse (D) - Wildfire Prevention Official - 42.5%

Primary Results: Kiley 55.9%/Morse 42.1%

Leans: Republican

Counties: Placer, Nevada, Mono, Sierra, Inyo, Plumas and Alpine, Yuba (P), Sacramento (P), and El Dorado (P)

Cities: Auburn, Bishop, Colfax, Folsom, Grass Valley, Lincoln, Loyalton, Nevada City, Portola, Rocklin, Roseville, and South Lake Tahoe, and the towns of Loomis, Mammoth Lakes, and Truckee.

CD 9 - Competitive Race: Democratic Incumbent

Josh Harder (D*) - Congressman/Father - 50.7% - LEADING

Kevin Lincoln (R) - Mayor of Stockton - 49.3%

Primary Results: Harder 49.7%/Lincoln 30%/McBride 12.8%/Jafri 7.5%

Leans: Republican

Counties: Contra Costa (P), San Joaquin(P), and Stanislaus (P)

Cities: Escalon, Lodi, Manteca, Ripon, Stockton, and Tracy, and Brentwood (P)

CD 12 - Open Democratic

Lateefah Simon (D) - Non-Profit Foundation President - 63.0% ✔️

Jennifer Tran (D) - Professor/Chamber President - 37.0%

Incumbent:Barbara Lee (D)

Primary Results: Simon 55.9%/Tran 14.9%/Daysog 11.2%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Alameda (P)

Cities: Alameda, Albany, Berkeley, Emeryville, Oakland, Piedmont, and San Leandro (P)

CD 13 - Competitive Race: Republican Incumbent

John Duarte (R*) - Farmer/Valley Congressman - 51.4% ✔️

Adam Gray (D) -Small Businessman/Educator - 48.6%

Primary Results: Duarte 54.9%/Gray 45.1%

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Merced, Fresno (P), Madera (P), San Joaquin (P), and Stanislaus (P)

Cities: San Joaquin, Patterson, Livingston, Dos Palos, Los Banos, Kerman, Madera, Atwater, Huron, Ceres, Mendota, Merced, Firebaugh, Lathrop, Coalinga, Newman, Gustine, Chowchilla, Modesto (P) and Turlock (P)

CD 16 - Open Democratic

Sam Liccardo (D) - San Jose Mayor - 59.9% ✔️

Evan Low (D) - Assemblymember - 40.1%

Primary Results: Liccardo 21.1%/Low-D 16.6%/Simitian 16.6%

Incumbent: Anna Eshoo (D)

Leans: Safe Democratic

Counties: Santa Clara (P) and San Mateo (P)

Cities: Palo Alto, Pacifica, Los Altos, Saratoga, Monte Sereno, Campbell, Mountain View, Half Moon Bay, the towns of Los Gatos, Woodside, Los Altos Hills, and Portola Valley, Menlo Park (P), San Jose (P), and the town of Atherton (P)

CD 21 - Open Democratic

Jim Costa (D*) - Farmer/Representative - 50.4% - LEADING

Michael Maher (R) - Valley Business Owner - 49.6%

Primary Results: Costa 52.95%/Maher 47.05%

Leans: Democratic

Counties: Fresno (P) and Tulare (P)

Cities: Dinuba, Exeter, Farmersville, Fowler, Fresno (P), Kingsburg, Orange Cove, Parlier, Reedley, Sanger, Selma, Visalia (P), and Woodlake

CD 22 - Competitive Race: Republican Incumbent

David Valadao (R*) - Farmer/Congressman - 55.0% ✔️

Rudy Salas (D) - College Teacher - 45.0%  

Primary Results: Salas 31.3%/Valadao 32.7%/Mathys 22%/Hurtado 14%

Leans: Republican

Counties: Kern (P), Kings (P), and Tulare (P)

Cities: Arvin, Avenal, Bakersfield(P), Corcoran, Delano, Hanford (P), Lindsay, McFarland, Porterville, Shafter, Tulare (P), and Wasco

CD 27 - Competitive Race: Republican Incumbent

Mike Garcia (R*) - Farmer/Congressman - 51.2% ✔️

George Whiteside (D) -Aerospace Business/Father - 48.8%

Primary Results: Whiteside 32.8%/Garcia 54.9%/Hill 12.2%

Leans: Competitive

Counties: Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Lancaster, Los Angeles (P), Palmdale, and Santa Clarita

CD 40 - Competitive Race: Republican Incumbent

Young Kim (R*) - Farmer/Congressman - 56.8% ✔️

Joe Kerr (D) - Retired Firefighter - 43.2%

Primary Results: Kim 56.4%/Kerr 25.6%/Damikolas 18%

Leans: Republican

Counties: Orange (P), Riverside (P), and San Bernardino (P)

Cities: Aliso Viejo, Lake Forest, Mission Viejo, Rancho Santa Margarita, Tustin, Villa Park, Anaheim (P), Brea (P), Chino Hills (P), Corona (P), Laguna Hills (P), Laguna Woods (P), Orange (P), and Yorba Linda (P)

CD 41 - Competitive Race: Republican Incumbent

Ken Calvert (R*) - Congressman - 50.5% - LEADING

Will Rollins (D) -Counterterrorism Law Attorney - 49.5%

Primary Results: Calvert 53%/Rollins 38.4%/Nevenic 8.6%

Leans: Republican

Counties: Riverside (P)

Cities: Calimesa, Canyon Lake, Corona (P), Eastvale (P), Indian Wells, Lake Elsinore, La Quinta, Menifee, Norco, Palm Desert, Palm Springs, Rancho Mirage, Riverside (P), and Wildomar

CD 45 - Competitive Race: Republican Incumbent

Michelle Steel (R*) - U.S. Representative - 52.5% ✔️

Derek Tran (D) - Workers Rights Advocate - 47.5%

Primary Results: Steel 54.9%/Tran 15.9%/Nguyen-Penaloza 15.6%/Hunt 8.4%

Leans: Republican

Counties: Orange (P), Los Angeles (P)

Cities: Artesia, Brea (P), Buena Park, Cerritos, Cypress, Fountain Valley, Fullerton (P), Garden Grove (P), Hawaiian Gardens, La Palma, Lakewood (P), Los Alamitos, Placentia, Westminster, and Yorba Linda (P)

CD 47 - Open Target

Scott Baugh (R) - Orange County Business Owner - 50.6% - LEADING

Dave Min (D) - State Senator/Dad - 49.4%

Primary Results: Baugh 32.1%/Min 25.9%/Weiss 19.4%/Ukropina 14.8%

Incumbent: Katie Porter (D)

Leans: Competitive

Counties: Orange (P)

Cities: Costa Mesa, Huntington Beach, Irvine, Laguna Beach (P), Laguna Hills (P), Laguna Woods (P), Newport Beach, and Seal Beach

CD 49 - Competitive: Democratic Incumbent

Mike Levin (D*) - US Representative - 50.9% - LEADING

Matt Gunderson (R) - Small Business Owner - 49.1%

Primary Results: Levin 51%/Gunderson 25.7%/Wilkinson 11%/Monroe 10%

Leans: Competitive Democratic

Counties: Orange (P) and San Diego (P)

Cities: Carlsbad, Dana Point, Del Mar, Encinitas, Laguna Beach (P), Laguna Niguel, Oceanside, San Clemente, San Juan Capistrano, Solana Beach, and Vista

Governor’s Press Releases

Below is a list of the governor’s press releases beginning October 30.

November 6: California secures federal assistance to support response to Mountain Fire

November 6: Governor Newsom on the 2024 Presidential Election

November 4: Governor Newsom sues Norwalk for unlawful homeless shelter ban

November 4: Governor Newsom statement on passing of Quincy Jones

November 2: The California Weekly

November 1: Governor Newsom proclaims Native American Heritage Month

November 1: Governor Newsom takes action to support communities recovering from fires

November 1: Governor Newsom reaches agreement with La Habra Heights on violations of state housing law

November 1: Building on long history of tech & innovation, California selected as headquarters for the National Semiconductor Technology Center

October 31: Governor Newsom announces appointments 10.31.24

• Vickie Sakamoto, of Sacramento, has been appointed Assistant State Fire Marshal at the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection (CAL FIRE.)
• Donald Butz, of Carlsbad, has been appointed to the State Board of Fire Services. Butz has been Fire Chief at the Lakeside Fire Protection District since 2016
• Zoraida Diaz, of Hercules, has been appointed to the State Board of Fire Services. Diaz has been Fire Chief for the City of Fremont since 2023
• Janet Ruiz, of Oceanside, has been appointed to the State Board of Fire Services
• Yvette Roland, of Los Angeles, has been reappointed to the State Bar Court of California

October 31: ICYMI: “Incarceration, violent crime, and property crime rates lower than they were 30 years ago”

October 31: California launches new program to improve public safety by reducing homelessness and recidivism

October 30: California claims victory against Huntington Beach’s NIMBY attempt to challenge state housing law

Federal Elections Recap

Presidential Race

Donald Trump is projected to secure the necessary electoral college votes to defeat Vice President Kamala Harris making him the President-Elect of the United States. The key to the Trump campaign’s success was their ability to flip the battleground states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Georgia, while holding North Carolina. By focusing on immigration, crime, and the economy, President-Elect Trump managed to break up the coalition that led President Joe Biden to victory four years ago.

In the run-up to Election Day, all major polls indicated that the race would be extremely tight, and no clear frontrunner had emerged. As of November 6^th, former President Trump has secured 51.77% of the national popular vote, while Vice President Harris has 48.33%.  The key swing states of Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin were all decided by less than 2.5% and provided the Trump campaign with 45 electoral college votes, effectively closing any viable path to victory for Vice President Harris, who conceded the race on Wednesday. In addition to the battleground states, Trump made significant gains in traditionally deep-blue states like New York and New Jersey.

While polling and analysis in the coming days and weeks will provide additional insight, Vice President Harris was seemingly unable to shake the critiques of the Biden Administration and failed to convince voters that she could bring change on key issues such as inflation and the economy. Harris also underperformed, compared to the Biden campaign in 2020, with women, young voters, and independents.

A victory by the Trump campaign will now trigger a significant transition in Administration.  Leading up to the swearing-in on January 20, 2025, President-Elect Trump and his advisors will work to fill out key leadership positions within the Administration.  All of President Biden’s appointees will be replaced and new leadership and direction will be implemented over the course of the first several months of the new presidency.  Additionally, President-Elect Trump and his team will begin working on the various policies and proposals that they will look to enact upon assuming office in January.  The most immediate actions will be done through Executive Orders, either establishing new Orders or repealing Executive Orders put in place by the Biden Administration, while legislative proposals work their way through Congress.

U.S. Senate Race

After the race for President, the highest profile federal contest in California was the race for the California Senate seat that is currently held by Senator Laphonza Butler.  As was widely expected, Congressman Adam Schiff defeated Steve Garvey in California’s U.S. Senate race. While votes are still being tabulated, Schiff has secured 57.3% of the total vote, which tracks nearly identically to the vote received by Vice President Harris in the state.  Senator-Elect Schiff will be sworn-in to the Senate when the final vote is certified by the California Secretary of State.

Nationally, after the strong performance by Donald Trump at the top of the ticket, Republicans are on track to regain the majority in the US Senate by winning at least 53 seats, with additional seats being too close to call at this point.  The change in control of the Senate means that the Republicans will now select a new Majority Leader, as well as make changes to committee make up, to reflect the change in majority party. While Senate Republicans will not have enough members to overcome the filibuster in the Senate, President-Elect Trump could be heading to the White House with Senate Republican’s biggest majority in years. 

U.S. House of Representatives – Orange County Races

In California’s 38^th Congressional District, Rep. Linda Sánchez has a double-digit lead over challenger Eric Ching. The seat which is mostly within Los Angeles County includes portions of northern Orange County.

In California’s 40th Congressional District, Incumbent Rep. Young Kim’s race was officially called by several media networks as she defeated Joe Kerr to retain her seat.

In California’s 45th Congressional District, Democrat Derek Tran challenged Republican Rep. Michelle Steel. Steel is maintaining a slim lead in the vote count over Tran with over 66% of the vote tabulated.

In California’s 46th Congressional District, Rep. Lou Correa cruised to re-election. His race was called with only 57% of the vote in as he built an insurmountable lead over David Pan. This seat is rated D+15, this is the reason for the quick call whereas other more competitive races are still outstanding.

California’s 47th Congressional District is an open race as incumbent Katie Porter opted to run for U.S. Senate, thus vacating this competitive seat. State Senator Dave Min and former State Assembly Republican Leader Scott Baugh ran for the open seat where Baugh is currently leading by 3,000 votes, 50.6% to 49.4%. Min led early in the count and Baugh gained traction as election day votes were counted.  Given the competitive nature of this race, and the number of resources that each side spent to secure the seat, it is likely that the final outcome of this seat may not be known for some time.  If Scott Baugh holds on to his lead, this seat will be a major pickup for Republicans and go a long way toward maintaining control of the House.

In California’s 49th Congressional District, Incumbent Rep. Mike Levin is hoping to fend off a fierce challenge from Matt Gunderson. With nearly 66% of the vote counted, Levin barely leads with 51%.

Legislation Introduced by Orange County Delegation

There was no legislation introduced by the Orange County congressional delegation this week.

Friday 11/8

Why California mortgage rates keep rising despite Fed rate cuts -- The answer lies in the bond market. While the Fed controls short-term borrowing rates, mortgage rates are more directly influenced by the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond. Aidin Vaziri in the San Francisco Chronicle$ -- 11/8/24

The California Legislature set a record for women in office and could see historic gender parity -- California’s Senate will reach gender parity, but depending on the outcome of some close contests, that could extend to the whole Legislature. Sameea Kamal CalMatters -- 11/8/24

Thursday 11/7

Bonta proposes warning labels on social media sites but says it’s still too early for AI -- California’s top law enforcement officer is worried enough about the harms posed by social media that he is sponsoring a bill to affix cigarette-like warning labels to social media sites and apps. Chase DiFeliciantonio in the San Francisco Chronicle$ --11/7/24

Severe California droughts increasingly likely, scientists say -- Similar severe droughts will become much more likely in the western United States, according to a study published Wednesday, led by scientists at UCLA, the National Integrated Drought Information System and the University of Colorado Boulder. Jack Lee in the San Francisco Chronicle$ Ian James in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/7/24

Wednesday 11/6

Why Californians got tougher on crime: Bleak downtowns and attention-getting retail thefts -- Californians overwhelmingly backed Prop. 36 to lengthen criminal sentences for certain theft and drug offenses, and to direct more people to drug treatment after convictions. Voters’ views changed on public safety after the COVID-19 pandemic. Nigel Duara and Joe Garcia CalMatters -- 11/6/24

Proposition 33, the rent control statewide ballot measure, is rejected by California voters -- California voters on Tuesday rejected an effort to allow stronger rent control laws in California, the third time such a measure was turned down in recent years. Andrew Khouri in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/6/24

Tuesday 11/5

California regulators are pressed to come clean on gasoline prices -- California regulators are poised to vote Friday on a measure intended to accelerate the state’s transition away from fossil fuels by imposing tougher carbon-reduction requirements for gasoline and diesel. Russ Mitchell in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/5/24

State sues Southern California city that banned new homeless shelters -- The state of California filed suit against Norwalk on Monday, alleging the southeastern Los Angeles County city’s moratorium on new homeless shelters and supportive housing violates half a dozen housing laws. Liam Dillon in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/5/24

Monday 11/4

Low-profile environmental measures could bring big changes to California -- Bay Area voters will decide ballot questions on parks, wildfires, farms, even a plan to close a major highway. Paul Rogers in the San Jose Mercury$ -- 11/4/24

Cal State University system shifts focus to careers, not just degrees -- The 23-campus Cal State University system is shifting its goalpost. Four-year degrees are still important but so are good jobs as consumers question the value of college. Andrew J. Campa in the Los Angeles Times$ -- 11/3/24