Alaska Department of Health & Social Services Weekly Case Update
June 6-12, 2021
|
Decreasing
Statewide transmission
Rt 0.76
|
Low
Statewide alert status
3.5
|
Adequate
Hospital capacity
|
Low
Test positivity
0.83%
|
54%
Alaskan 12 years and older are vaccinated
|
|
Red- quickly increasing, Rt>1.2
Orange- increasing, Rt 1-1.2
Yellow-decreasing, Rt<1
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Red- 14-day average case rate per 100,000 people >10
Orange- 5-10
Yellow- <5
|
Red- <3 weeks until beyond capacity
Orange- 3-6 weeks
Yellow- >6 weeks
|
Red->5%
Orange- 2-5%
Yellow- <2%
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At least one shot. Estimated AK population 12 and older of 607,022 from the US Department of Labor
|
Brief Status Report
- The overall number of reported COVID-19 cases in Alaska was lower than the previous week continuing the statewide trend that has been observed since late April. However, cases continue to be reported from most boroughs and census areas.
- Since January 1, 2021, 97% of all COVID-19 hospitalizations in Alaska have been among people who were unvaccinated.
- 54% of Alaskans aged 12 years and older have received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.
- As of June 1, anyone age 12 and older, including nonresident tourists, arriving at the Juneau, Fairbanks, or Anchorage airports is able to get a dose of vaccine free of charge at the airport
Case Trends and Predictions
- 140 cases were reported in Alaskans last week. This is a 38% decrease from the week before.
- The incidence of COVID-19 appears to be declining in most boroughs and census areas.
- We expect considerable week-to-week variability in the number of cases, especially in smaller communities or where incidence is low.
- The estimated statewide daily growth rate as of June 1 is -4.6% and new cases are expected to halve every 15.2 days based on current modeling.
Regional Case Trends
|
Behavioral Health Region
|
Case
rates
May 9–May 15
|
Case
rates
May 16–May 22
|
Case
rates
May 23–
May 29
|
Case rates May 30–June 5
|
Case rates June 6–June 12
|
|
Anchorage Municipality
|
8.2
|
5.4
|
3.8
|
3.1
|
2.5
|
|
Fairbanks North Star Borough
|
15.6
|
8.3
|
6.0
|
3.9
|
1.8
|
|
Interior Region except Fairbanks
|
14.0
|
19.4
|
25.9
|
24.4
|
13.5
|
|
Juneau City and Borough
|
7.2
|
3.8
|
3.6
|
6.7
|
7.0
|
|
Kenai Peninsula Borough
|
7.8
|
6.8
|
3.8
|
3.3
|
3.0
|
|
Matanuska-Susitna Region
|
14.8
|
8.7
|
5.9
|
4.7
|
3.6
|
|
Northern Southeast Region
|
7.7
|
5.6
|
4.2
|
4.2
|
2.5
|
|
Northwest Region
|
5.0
|
3.2
|
4.0
|
4.5
|
5.5
|
|
Southern Southeast Region
|
54.2
|
58.2
|
36.9
|
19.2
|
10.8
|
|
Southwest Region
|
2.5
|
3.2
|
3.5
|
3.8
|
3.3
|
|
Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta Region
|
6.9
|
9.6
|
9.1
|
6.9
|
5.2
|
|
Statewide
|
11.2
|
8.2
|
6.0
|
4.7
|
3.5
|
Vaccination Status
Reported vaccinations as of June 14, 2021.
Regional Vaccine Trends:
- Through May 24 this is the percent of Alaskans aged 16+ who received one more dose of vaccine. Beginning on June 1, the calculation changed to the percent of Alaskans aged 12+ who have received one or more dose of vaccine. The percentage may be lower since the number of persons eligible for the vaccine increased.
|
Borough/Census Area
|
May 16
|
May 24
|
June 1
|
June 7
|
June 14
|
|
Aleutians East Borough
|
66.7%
|
77.7%
|
81.7%
|
83.9%
|
84.6%
|
|
Aleutians West Census Area
|
58.1%
|
63.1%
|
63.7%
|
64.7%
|
66.6%
|
|
Anchorage Municipality
|
56.3%
|
57.3%
|
55.9%
|
56.7%
|
57.3%
|
|
Bethel Census Area
|
70.4%
|
71.4%
|
67.7%
|
68.5%
|
69.4%
|
|
Bristol Bay plus Lake and Peninsula
|
77.4%
|
78.1%
|
76.5%
|
77.3%
|
78.3%
|
|
Denali Borough
|
56.0%
|
58.8%
|
60.5%
|
62.0%
|
62.4%
|
|
Dillingham Census Area
|
53.1%
|
53.8%
|
56.2%
|
56.7%
|
57.1%
|
|
Fairbanks North Star Borough
|
44.0%
|
45.2%
|
44.4%
|
45.2%
|
45.9%
|
|
Haines Borough
|
66.6%
|
67.2%
|
66.3%
|
66.7%
|
66.9%
|
|
Juneau City and Borough
|
72.6%
|
74.0%
|
72.8%
|
73.8%
|
74.5%
|
|
Kenai Peninsula Borough
|
44.2%
|
45.0%
|
43.6%
|
44.3%
|
44.8%
|
|
Ketchikan Gateway Borough
|
59.4%
|
61.2%
|
59.5%
|
60.4%
|
61.1%
|
|
Kodiak Island Borough
|
62.7%
|
63.7%
|
61.8%
|
62.5%
|
63.0%
|
|
Kusilvak Census Area
|
70.7%
|
72.2%
|
67.4%
|
69.4%
|
71.0%
|
|
Matanuska-Susitna Borough
|
36.5%
|
37.3%
|
35.6%
|
36.2%
|
36.7%
|
|
Nome Census Area
|
74.4%
|
76.1%
|
75.7%
|
76.8%
|
78.0%
|
|
North Slope Borough
|
34.7%
|
35.3%
|
34.5%
|
34.9%
|
35.5%
|
|
Northwest Arctic Borough
|
58.3%
|
59.4%
|
56.7%
|
57.3%
|
57.8%
|
|
Petersburg Borough
|
76.2%
|
77.0%
|
62.1%
|
62.7%
|
63.5%
|
|
Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area
|
50.1%
|
51.8%
|
59.3%
|
62.7%
|
63.7%
|
|
Sitka City and Borough
|
71.1%
|
72.1%
|
70.0%
|
71.1%
|
71.7%
|
|
Skagway Municipality
|
78.7%
|
79.2%
|
78.3%
|
78.5%
|
79.0%
|
|
Southeast Fairbanks Census Area
|
31.2%
|
31.6%
|
29.9%
|
30.6%
|
31.2%
|
|
Valdez-Cordova Census Area
|
-
|
-
|
57.0%
|
57.7%
|
58.5%
|
|
Wrangell City and Borough
|
58.7%
|
58.9%
|
57.9%
|
59.4%
|
59.6%
|
|
Yakutat plus Hoonah-Angoon
|
72.6%
|
73.7%
|
73.3%
|
73.6%
|
74.5%
|
|
Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area
|
75.6%
|
76.1%
|
71.9%
|
72.3%
|
73.7%
|
|
Statewide
|
52.9%
|
53.7%
|
52.0%
|
53%
|
54%
|
- To schedule your vaccine appointment visit covidvax.alaska.gov or call 907-646-3322. The call line is staffed Monday-Friday from 9AM-6:30PM and 9AM-4:30PM on weekends.
- You can also visit vaccines.gov or find clinics in your area by texting your zip code to GETVAX (438829) in English, or VACUNA (822862) for Spanish.
New Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths
- During the week of June 6 through June 12, 2021, 140 cases were reported in Alaskans. This is a 38% decrease compared to the week prior, for a total of 67,866 cases.
- Cumulative hospitalizations increased to 1,590 with 2 reported as occurring this week. Hospitalization reports often lag and only 1581 hospitalizations were reported at this time last week, so there are 9 hospitalizations newly reported this week including ones that began during previous weeks.
- Four deaths were reported this week, however none of these occurred during the previous week (366 total). It is common to take more than a week for a death to be reported, and deaths that occurred during June 6–June 12 may be reported in the future after death certificates are reviewed.
- 10 new nonresident cases were identified this week for a total of 2,832 cases.
Vaccine Breakthrough Cases
- Vaccine breakthrough (VB) infections of COVID are those detected in a person who is more than 2 weeks beyond their second dose of a 2-dose series or the only dose of a 1-dose series. All VB cases are investigated by the Section of Epidemiology but only VB cases associated with hospitalization or death are reported to the CDC.
- From January 1–June 12, 2021, Alaska has recorded one death and thirteen hospitalizations resulting from a VB infection among Alaska residents. These counts are provisional and subject to change as more data are compiled. In that same time frame, a total of 21,580 cases, 493 hospitalizations, and 102 deaths were reported. 97% of all hospitalizations to date were unvaccinated people.
- Specimens from VB infections (regardless of severity) are prioritized for sequencing and described in the weekly Alaska Genomics Report
Variant Tracking
|
Variants of Concern
|
Cases Identified
|
Change From Last Week
|
First Identified in Alaska
|
|
Alpha (B.1.1.7)
|
294
|
+64
|
20 December 2020
|
|
Beta (B.1.351)
|
5
|
0
|
20 March 2021
|
|
Gamma (P.1)
|
38
|
+10
|
8 February 2021
|
|
Delta (B.1.617.2/AY.1)
|
2
|
+2
|
30 May 2021
|
|
Epsilon (B.1.427)
|
7
|
0
|
30 March 2021
|
|
Epsilon (B.1.429)
|
128
|
+4
|
24 December 2020
|
|
Variants of Interest
|
Cases Identified
|
Change From Last Week
|
First Identified in Alaska
|
|
Iota (B.1.526)
|
21
|
+4
|
4 February 2021
|
|
Eta (B.1.525)
|
1
|
0
|
16 March 2021
|
|
Zeta (P.2)
|
4
|
0
|
27 January 2021
|
Health Care Capacity
- On June 14, 21 Alaskans with confirmed COVID-19 were hospitalized and 3 were reported to require a mechanical ventilator.
Total Confirmed COVID-19 Beds Occupied
Cases by Week Reported and Age Group
Cases by Week Reported and Race
Cases by Week Reported and Region
Additional informational resources:
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