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Alaska Department of Health & Social Services Weekly Case Update
April 25 – May 1, 2021
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Decreasing
Statewide transmission
Rt 0.97
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HIGH
Statewide alert status
19.4
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Adequate
Hospital capacity
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Moderate
Test positivity
2.19%
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50.6%
Alaskan 16 years and older vaccinated |
Red- quickly increasing, Rt>1.2
Orange- increasing, Rt 1-1.2
Yellow-decreasing, Rt<1
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Red- 14-day average case rate per 100,000 people >10
Orange- 5-10
Yellow- <5 |
Red- <3 weeks until beyond capacity
Orange- 3-6 weeks
Yellow- >6 weeks
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Red->5%
Orange- 2-5%
Yellow- <2%
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At least one shot Estimated AK population 16 and older of 569,699 from census.gov (American Community Survey 2019) |
Brief Status Report
- The statewide transmission rate and daily case rates decreased slightly from last week. Case rates continued to rise in Fairbanks with decreases in most other regions. Nearly twice as many Alaskans are hospitalized and on ventilators due to COVID-19 infections this week compared to last week. 98% of all patients who have been hospitalized due to COVID-19 infections have been unvaccinated.
- Alaska is currently the twelfth most vaccinated state per capita for adults 18+. 50% of the State/IHS vaccine allocation so far has been administered.
Case Trends and Predictions
- 887 cases were reported in Alaskans last week. This was an 18.6% decrease from the week before. Case rates increased significantly in Fairbanks with slight increases in the Southern Southeast, YK Delta, and Northwest regions.
- Case rates decreased in all other regions this week compared to the week prior.
- The estimated statewide daily growth rate as of May 2, 2021 is -0.67% and new cases are expected to halve every 103 days based on current modeling.
Regional Case Trends
Behavioral Health Region |
Case rates Mar 21– Mar 27 |
Case rates Mar 28– Apr 3 |
Case rates Apr 4– Apr 10 |
Case rates Apr 11– Apr 17 |
Case rates Apr 18– Apr 24 |
Case rates Apr 25– May 1 |
Anchorage Municipality |
22.0 |
25.7 |
22.8 |
21.0 |
17.2 |
13.0 |
Fairbanks North Star Borough |
13.7 |
16.2 |
17.0 |
18.3 |
37.1 |
50.1 |
Interior Region except Fairbanks |
40.9 |
30.0 |
16.6 |
17.1 |
20.7 |
17.6 |
Juneau City and Borough |
3.8 |
5.4 |
8.1 |
9.4 |
7.4 |
7.2 |
Kenai Peninsula Borough |
6.7 |
11.8 |
15.5 |
20.1 |
19.3 |
12.4 |
Matanuska-Susitna Region |
40.9 |
49.2 |
46.9 |
48.2 |
40.6 |
28.1 |
Northern Southeast Region |
6.3 |
7.4 |
8.1 |
11.6 |
9.5 |
3.5 |
Northwest Region |
4.5 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
7.4 |
7.6 |
Southern Southeast Region |
4.7 |
5.4 |
6.1 |
5.8 |
11.9 |
19.9 |
Southwest Region |
5.6 |
5.1 |
10.1 |
9.3 |
5.1 |
4.3 |
Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta Region |
26.4 |
25.9 |
20.1 |
11.6 |
12.4 |
14.6 |
Statewide |
20.1 |
23.5 |
22.3 |
22.0 |
21.8 |
19.4 |
Vaccines Status Update
Reported vaccinations as of May 3, 2021.
Regional Vaccine Trends
Borough/Census Area |
Vaccination Rate for Ages 16+
April 25 |
Vaccination Rate for Ages 16+
May 2 |
1+ Dose |
Fully Vaccinated |
1+ Dose |
Fully Vaccinated |
Aleutians East Borough |
56.7% |
34% |
58.9% |
35.9% |
Aleutians West Census Area |
53.1% |
30.7% |
53.9% |
32.5% |
Anchorage Municipality |
52.8% |
45.3% |
53.8% |
47.0% |
Bethel Census Area |
68.7% |
60.1% |
69.3% |
60.9% |
Bristol Bay plus Lake and Peninsula |
63.7% |
51.8% |
65.7% |
53.8% |
Chugach-Copper River Census Area |
49.6% |
44.5% |
50.2% |
45.2% |
Denali Borough |
53.0% |
48.0% |
53.2% |
48.8% |
Dillingham Census Area |
50.1% |
41.3% |
50.6% |
42.0% |
Fairbanks North Star Borough |
40.1% |
33.9% |
41.4% |
36.6% |
Haines Borough |
66.3% |
62.0% |
66.3% |
63.1% |
Juneau City and Borough |
69.4% |
58.3% |
70.2% |
62.8% |
Kenai Peninsula Borough |
41.4% |
36.9% |
42.1% |
38.1% |
Ketchikan Gateway Borough |
55.5% |
48.4% |
56.3% |
50.3% |
Kodiak Island Borough |
59.8% |
52.7% |
60.7% |
54.5% |
Kusilvak Census Area |
69.4% |
56.7% |
70.0% |
58.0% |
Matanuska-Susitna Borough |
33.6% |
28.8% |
34.2% |
29.7% |
Nome Census Area |
72.1% |
69.3% |
72.7% |
69.9% |
North Slope Borough |
34.2% |
31.0% |
34.8% |
32.0% |
Northwest Arctic Borough |
55.7% |
50.5% |
55.9% |
51.0% |
Petersburg Borough |
72.9% |
68.4% |
73.9% |
68.8% |
Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area |
46.3% |
41.6% |
47.6% |
42.3% |
Sitka City and Borough |
69.0% |
63.1% |
69.3% |
63.6% |
Skagway Municipality |
78.2% |
74.2% |
78.2% |
74.2% |
Southeast Fairbanks Census Area |
28.4% |
23.9% |
29.8% |
25.6% |
Wrangell City and Borough |
56.6% |
52.2% |
57.0% |
53.0% |
Yakutat plus Hoonah-Angoon |
71.2% |
64.5% |
71.7% |
65.2% |
Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area |
69.6% |
62.6% |
74.6% |
69.4% |
Statewide |
49.2% |
42.4% |
50.6% |
45.1% |
- To schedule your vaccine appointment visit covidvax.alaska.gov or call 907-646-3322. The call line is staffed Monday-Friday from 9AM-6:30PM and 9AM-4:30PM on weekends. The call line can also be used to answer general questions about vaccine safety and to request appointments to receive a specific type of vaccine. Alaskans receiving health services through a Tribal Health Organization or the Department of Defense should contact those organizations directly to determine their eligibility.
New Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths
- During the week of April 25 through May 2, 2021, 887 cases were reported in Alaskans last week. This is an 18.6% decrease compared to the week prior for a total of 65,609.
- Cumulative hospitalizations increased to 1,494 with 13 reported as occurring this week. Hospitalization reports often lag and only 1,463 hospitalizations were reported at this time last week, so there are 31 hospitalizations newly reported this week including ones that began during previous weeks.
- 1 death was reported this week (342 total). It is common to take more than a week for a death to be reported, and deaths that occurred during Apr 25-May 1 may be reported in the future after death certificates are reviewed.
- 25 new nonresident cases were identified this week for a total of 2,748 cases.
Variant Tracking
Variants of Concern |
Cases Identified |
Change from last week |
First Identified in Alaska |
B.1.1.7 |
32 |
+12 |
20 December 2020 |
P.1 |
9 |
+1 |
8 February 2021 |
B.1.351 |
1 |
0 |
20 March 2021 |
B.1.427 |
1 |
0 |
30 March 2021 |
B.1.429 |
88 |
+5 |
24 December 2020 |
Health Care Capacity
- On May 2, 60 Alaskans with confirmed COVID-19 were hospitalized and 9 were reported to require a mechanical ventilator.
Total Confirmed COVID-19 Beds Occupied
Cases by Week Reported and Age Group
Cases by Week Reported and Race
Cases by Week Reported and Region
Additional informational resources:
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