Alaska Department of Health & Social Services Weekly Case Update
April 11-17, 2021
Increasing
Statewide transmission
Rt 1.02
|
HIGH
Statewide alert status
22.0
|
Adequate
Hospital capacity
|
Moderate
Test positivity
2.99%
|
47.70%
Alaskan 16 years and older vaccinated |
Red- quickly increasing, Rt>1.2
Orange- increasing, Rt 1-1.2
Yellow-decreasing, Rt<1
|
Red- 14-day average case rate per 100,000 people >10
Orange- 5-10
Yellow- <5 |
Red- <3 weeks until beyond capacity
Orange- 3-6 weeks
Yellow- >6 weeks
|
Red->5%
Orange- 2-5%
Yellow- <2%
|
At least one shot Estimated AK population 16 and older of 569,699 from census.gov (American Community Survey 2019) |
Brief Status Report
- The statewide transmission rate and daily case rates were nearly unchanged from last week. Case rates decreased in Anchorage, the Southern Southeast, Southwest, and Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta regions. Case rates increased in all other regions.
- Alaska is currently the twelfth most vaccinated state per capita. 48% of the State/IHS vaccine allocation so far has been administered.
Case Trends and Predictions
- 1,129 cases were reported in Alaskans last week. This was a 1% increase from the week before. Case rates decreased in Anchorage, the Southern Southeast, Southwest, and YK Delta regions. Case rates increased in seven of the State’s eleven behavioral health regions this week compared with last week.
- Matanuska-Susitna case rate increased to 48.2 from 46.9 last week. The Fairbanks North Star Borough increased to 18.3 up from 17.0 the week before.
- The estimated statewide daily growth rate as of April 19, 2021 is 0.56% and new cases are expected to double every 124.1 days based on current modeling.
Regional Case Trends
Behavioral Health Region
|
Case rates Mar 7– Mar 13
|
Case rates Mar 14– Mar 20
|
Case rates Mar 21– Mar 27
|
Case rates Mar 28– Apr 3
|
Case rates Apr 4– Apr 10
|
Case rates Apr 11– Apr 17
|
Anchorage Municipality
|
16.5
|
16.6
|
22.0
|
25.7
|
22.8
|
21.0
|
Fairbanks North Star Borough
|
13.7
|
11.7
|
13.7
|
16.2
|
17.0
|
18.3
|
Interior Region except Fairbanks
|
30.0
|
47.1
|
40.9
|
30.0
|
16.6
|
17.1
|
Juneau City and Borough
|
6.3
|
4.3
|
3.8
|
5.4
|
8.1
|
9.4
|
Kenai Peninsula Borough
|
7.6
|
6.2
|
6.7
|
11.8
|
15.5
|
20.1
|
Matanuska-Susitna Region
|
38.5
|
36.7
|
40.9
|
49.2
|
46.9
|
48.2
|
Northern Southeast Region
|
17.2
|
6.0
|
6.3
|
7.4
|
8.1
|
11.6
|
Northwest Region
|
4.7
|
5.3
|
4.5
|
3.2
|
3.7
|
4.5
|
Southern Southeast Region
|
6.1
|
4.0
|
4.7
|
5.4
|
6.1
|
5.8
|
Southwest Region
|
4.3
|
5.3
|
5.6
|
5.1
|
10.1
|
9.3
|
Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta Region
|
29.7
|
34.1
|
26.4
|
25.9
|
20.1
|
11.6
|
Statewide
|
17.8
|
17.3
|
20.1
|
23.5
|
22.3
|
22.0
|
Vaccines Status Update
Reported vaccinations as of April 20, 2021.
Regional Vaccine Trends
Borough/Census Area
|
Vaccination Rate for Ages 16+
April 19
|
1+ Dose
|
Fully Vaccinated
|
Aleutians East Borough
|
57.0%
|
34.3%
|
Aleutians West Census Area
|
53.6%
|
30.3%
|
Anchorage Municipality
|
52.5%
|
44.5%
|
Bethel Census Area
|
69.1%
|
59.8%
|
Bristol Bay plus Lake and Peninsula
|
64.4%
|
52.4%
|
Chugach-Copper River Census Area
|
49.2%
|
43.5%
|
Denali Borough
|
53.5%
|
46.7%
|
Dillingham Census Area
|
50.1%
|
40.6%
|
Fairbanks North Star Borough
|
39.0%
|
32.0%
|
Haines Borough
|
65.9%
|
61.5%
|
Juneau City and Borough
|
68.6%
|
57.5%
|
Kenai Peninsula Borough
|
40.5%
|
35.6%
|
Ketchikan Gateway Borough
|
54.7%
|
46.6%
|
Kodiak Island Borough
|
60.5%
|
52.5%
|
Kusilvak Census Area
|
67.5%
|
54.7%
|
Matanuska-Susitna Borough
|
32.3%
|
27.2%
|
Nome Census Area
|
71.7%
|
68.9%
|
North Slope Borough
|
34.4%
|
31.1%
|
Northwest Arctic Borough
|
55.9%
|
50.0%
|
Petersburg Borough
|
73.0%
|
68.7%
|
Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area
|
45.4%
|
41.6%
|
Sitka City and Borough
|
68.6%
|
62.8%
|
Skagway Municipality
|
73.2%
|
68.7%
|
Southeast Fairbanks Census Area
|
28.2%
|
23.5%
|
Wrangell City and Borough
|
56.6%
|
51.6%
|
Yakutat plus Hoonah-Angoon
|
71.2%
|
64.9%
|
Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area
|
71.2%
|
63.5%
|
Statewide
|
47.7%
|
40.5%
|
- To schedule your vaccine appointment visit covidvax.alaska.gov or call 907-646-3322. The call line is staffed Monday-Friday from 9AM-6:30PM and 9AM-4:30PM on weekends. The call line can also be used to answer general questions about vaccine safety and to request appointments to receive a specific type of vaccine. Alaskans receiving health services through a Tribal Health Organization or the Department of Defense should contact those organizations directly to determine their eligibility.
New Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths
- During the week of April 11 through April 17, 2021 1,129 cases were reported in Alaskans last week. This is a 1% increase from the week before for a total of 63,561.
- Cumulative hospitalizations increased to 1,426 with 14 reported as occurring this week. Hospitalization reports often lag and only 1,389 hospitalizations were reported at this time last week, so there are 37 hospitalizations newly reported this week including ones that began during previous weeks.
- 19 deaths were reported this week (329 total), though all of these deaths occurred prior to April 17. It is common to take more than a week for a death to be reported, and deaths that occurred during Apr 11-17 may be reported in the future after death certificates are reviewed.
- 62 new nonresident cases were identified this week for a total of 2,695 cases.
Variant Tracking
Variants of Concern |
Cases Identified |
First Identified in Alaska |
B.1.1.7 |
15 |
20 December 2020 |
P.1 |
6 |
8 February 2021 |
B.1.351 |
1 |
20 March 2021 |
B.1.427 |
1 |
30 March 2021 |
B.1.429 |
74 |
24 December 2020 |
Health Care Capacity
- On April 19, 37 Alaskans with confirmed COVID-19 were hospitalized and 1 was reported to require a mechanical ventilator.
Total Confirmed COVID-19 Beds Occupied
Cases by Week Reported and Age Group
Cases by Week Reported and Race
Cases by Week Reported and Region
Additional informational resources:
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