COVID-19 Alaska Weekly Case Update: April 4-10, 2021

COVID-19 Alaska Weekly Update

Alaska Department of Health & Social Services Weekly Case Update
April 4-10, 2021

Increasing

Statewide transmission
Rt 1.06

HIGH

Statewide alert status
22.3

Adequate

Hospital capacity

Moderate

Test positivity
2.94%

46.70%
Alaskan 16 years and older vaccinated

Red- quickly increasing, Rt>1.2

Orange- increasing, Rt 1-1.2

Yellow-decreasing, Rt<1

Red- 14-day average case rate per 100,000 people >10

Orange- 5-10

Yellow- <5

Red- <3 weeks until beyond capacity

Orange- 3-6 weeks

Yellow- >6 weeks

Red->5%

Orange- 2-5%

Yellow- <2%

At least one shot Estimated AK population 16 and older of 569,699 from census.gov (American Community Survey 2019)

Brief Status Report

  • Daily case rates decreased slightly from last week but statewide transmission increased for the third straight week. Anchorage, Fairbanks, and the Matanuska-Susitna regions saw a sustained rise in case rates, while Juneau, Kenai Peninsula, Northern Southeast, and Southern Southeast regions had higher rates than last week.
  • Anyone 16 years or older who lives or works in Alaska is eligible to receive a COVID-19 vaccine. Alaska was the first state to offer vaccines to everyone over a certain age without prerequisites.
  • Alaska is currently the twelfth most vaccinated state per capita. 52.3% of the State/IHS vaccine allocation so far has been administered.
  • To schedule your vaccine appointment visit covidvax.alaska.gov or call 907-646-3322. The call line is staffed Monday-Friday from 9AM-6:30PM and 9AM-4:30PM on weekends. The call line can also be used to answer general questions about vaccine safety and to request appointments to receive a specific type of vaccine. Alaskans receiving health services through a Tribal Health Organization or the Department of Defense should contact those organizations directly to determine their eligibility.
  • Nine new cases of a COVID variants of concern were detected in Alaska during the past week.

COVID-19 Alaska Weekly Update

Case Trends and Predictions

  • 1,118 cases were reported in Alaskans last week. This was a 3.6% decrease from the week before. Case rates decreased in the Anchorage and Matanuska-Susitna Regions, however case rates increased in the Fairbanks, Juneau, and Kenai regions. Overall, case rates were higher in seven of the State’s eleven regions this week compared with last week.
  • The Anchorage case rate decreased to 22.8 from 25.7 last week. The Matanuska-Susitna case rate decreased to 46.9 from 49.2 last week.
  • Fairbanks North Star Borough increased to 17.0 up from 16.2 the week before. This is the region’s highest case rate since late January. The Juneau case rate increased to 8.1 from 5.4 the week before. The Kenai Peninsula case rate increased to 15.5 from 11.8 last week. Case rates also increased in the Northern Southeast region, 8.1 from 7.4, Northwest Region at 3.7 from 3.2, Southern Southeast region at 6.1 from 5.4, and Southwest region at 10.1 from 5.1.
  • Case rates decreased in the Interior region to 16.6 from 30.0 last week and in the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta from to 20.1 from 25.9 last week.
  • The estimated statewide daily growth rate as of April 12, 2021 is 1.12% and new cases are expected to double every 61.99 days based on current modeling.

COVID-19 Alaska Weekly Update

Regional Case Trends

Behavioral Health Region

Case rates Feb 28–Mar 6

Case rates Mar 7– Mar 13

Case rates Mar 14– Mar 20

Case rates Mar 21– Mar 27

Case rates Mar 28– Apr 3

Case rates Apr 4– Apr 10

Anchorage Municipality

15.0

16.5

16.6

22.0

25.7

22.8

Fairbanks North Star Borough

15.1

13.7

11.7

13.7

16.2

17.0

Interior Region except Fairbanks

13.0

30.0

47.1

40.9

30.0

16.6

Juneau City and Borough

5.8

6.3

4.3

3.8

5.4

8.1

Kenai Peninsula Borough

6.8

7.6

6.2

6.7

11.8

15.5

Matanuska-Susitna Region

36.5

38.5

36.7

40.9

49.2

46.9

Northern Southeast Region

32.6

17.2

6.0

6.3

7.4

8.1

Northwest Region

4.0

4.7

5.3

4.5

3.2

3.7

Southern Southeast Region

9.0

6.1

4.0

4.7

5.4

6.1

Southwest Region

4.5

4.3

5.3

5.6

5.1

10.1

Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta Region

16.2

29.7

34.1

26.4

25.9

20.1

Statewide

16.8

17.8

17.3

20.1

23.5

22.3

Vaccines Status Update

COVID-19 Alaska Weekly Update
Reported vaccinations as of April 12, 2021.

New Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths

  • During the week of April 4 through April 10, 2021 1,118 cases were reported in Alaskans last week. This is a 3.6% decrease from the week before for a total of 62,469 cumulative cases reported in Alaskans.
  • Cumulative hospitalizations increased to 1,389 with 8 reported as occurring this week. Hospitalization reports often lag and only 1,370 hospitalizations were reported at this time last week, so there are 19 hospitalizations newly reported this week including ones that began during previous weeks.
  • One new death of an Alaskan resident was reported this week (310 total), though the death occurred prior to this April 4. It is common to take more than a week for a death to be reported, and deaths that occurred during Apr 4-10 may be reported in future as death certificates are reviewed.
  • 33 new nonresident cases were identified this week for a total of 2,633 cases.

COVID-19 Alaska Weekly Update

Variant Tracking

  • 9 new COVID variant cases were detected during the week of Apr 4-10
  • Cumulative list of variants of concern identified in Alaska:

Test date

Patient City

Acquisition

Variant

Week identified

12/20/2020

Anchorage

Travel

UK/ B1.1.7

1/24-1/30

1/13/2021

Anchorage

Travel

UK/ B1.1.7

2/14-2/20

2/8/2021

Anchorage

Community acquired

Brazil/ P.1

2/21-2/27

2/8/2021

Anchorage

Secondary

Brazil/ P.1

2/28-3/6

2/13/2021

Anchorage

Secondary

Brazil/ P.1

4/4-4/10

2/15/2021

Eagle River

Secondary

Brazil/ P.1

2/28-3/6

2/15/2021

Anchorage

Community acquired

Brazil/ P.1

2/28-3/6

2/15/2021

Eagle River

Community acquired

Brazil/ P.1

2/28-3/6

3/7/2021

Juneau

Community acquired

UK/ B1.1.7

4/4-4/10

3/11/2021

Wasilla

Travel

UK/ B1.1.7

3/28-4/3

3/16/2021

Anchorage

Travel

UK/B1.1.7

4/4-4/10

3/17/2021

Petersburg

Secondary

UK/ B1.1.7

4/4-4/10

3/20/2021

Anchorage

Community acquired

South Africa/ B.1.351

4/4-4/10

3/20/2021

OOS

Travel

UK/ B1.1.7

4/4-4/10

3/20/2021

Anchorage

Community acquired

UK/ B1.1.7

4/4-4/10

3/26/2021

Anchorage

Community acquired

UK/ B1.1.7

4/4-4/10

3/26/2021

Anchorage

Under investigation

UK/ B1.1.7

4/4-4/10

  • Alaska’s Public Health Laboratories continue to monitor for variants of concern and are adjusting surveillance practices and public outputs to include the B.1.427 and B.1.429 cases, however they are not yet included in this table

Health Care Capacity

On April 12, 38 Alaskans with confirmed COVID-19 were hospitalized and 7 were reported to require a mechanical ventilator.

Total Confirmed COVID-19 Beds Occupied

COVID-19 Alaska Weekly Update

Cases by Week Reported and Age Group

COVID-19 Alaska Weekly Update

Cases by Week Reported and Race

COVID-19 Alaska Weekly Update

Cases by Week Reported and Region

COVID-19 Alaska Weekly Update

Additional informational resources: